ARMENIA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Football Academy Stadium
BKMA
Match Timeline
Alashkert
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
K. Nalbandyan
Alashkert
56'
M. Toure
Alashkert
79'
S. Kirakosyan
BKMA
82'
P. Manukyan
BKMA

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 75%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 27.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 52.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
75%
-
BTTS BTTS No
27.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
52.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
BKMA Win 25%
Draw 0%
Alashkert Win 75%
Expected Goals (xG)
BKMA1
Alashkert1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
BKMA BKMA
WWDLW
25 GF / 34 GA
Alashkert Alashkert
WLDWL
34 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.09
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
0.87
14
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

BKMA BKMA 23 matches
Alashkert Alashkert 23 matches
BKMA Statistic Alashkert
4 Wins 13
9 Draws 4
10 Losses 6
25 Goals For 34
34 Goals Against 20
1.09 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 0.87
14 BTTS Yes 11
18 Over 1.5 17
12 Over 2.5 9
7 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Alashkert's more proactive style and BKMA's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Alashkert. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Alashkert having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Alashkert carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 43 points while BKMA sit 7 on 21, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

BKMA Analysis

From their first 23 matches, BKMA have collected 21 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 4 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 25:34 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through N. Hovhannisyan (7 goals), G. Petrosyan (6 goals), A. Askaryan (2 goals), with creative support from V. Afyan (5 assists), N. Hovhannisyan (2 assists), L. Bashoyan (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Alashkert Analysis

Alashkert come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 43 points after 23 matches. They have recorded 13 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a 34:20 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on K. Nalbandyan (10 goals), M. Toure (9 goals), Caio Henrique (3 goals), with creative support from O. Farayola (6 assists), K. Drammeh (3 assists), K. Nalbandyan (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, BKMA won 3 times, Alashkert won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:30 from BKMA's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: BKMA - / Alashkert 4-3-3
H2H summary: BKMA wins 3, draws 3, Alashkert wins 9

Lineups

BKMA
Formation
Alashkert
D. Davtyan
D. Davtyan
A. Khachatryan
A. Khachatryan
P. Manukyan
P. Manukyan
A. Petrosyan
A. Petrosyan
G. Arakelyan
G. Arakelyan
H. Sargsyan
H. Sargsyan
M. Ayvazyan
M. Ayvazyan
D. Harutyunyan
D. Harutyunyan
P. Alekyan
P. Alekyan
N. Hovhannisyan
N. Hovhannisyan
G. Petrosyan
G. Petrosyan
A. Beglaryan
A. Beglaryan
R. Hakobyan
R. Hakobyan
Y. Matyukhin
Y. Matyukhin
Klaidher
Klaidher
A. Sadoyan
A. Sadoyan
Rafael Jesus
Rafael Jesus
E. Piloyan
E. Piloyan
O. Farayola
O. Farayola
K. Nalbandyan
K. Nalbandyan
Caio Henrique
Caio Henrique
M. Toure
M. Toure
BKMA 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
77
D. Davtyan
49
A. Khachatryan
5
P. Manukyan
⚽ 82'
6
A. Petrosyan
3
G. Arakelyan
13
H. Sargsyan
9
M. Ayvazyan
11
D. Harutyunyan
35
P. Alekyan
7
N. Hovhannisyan
10
G. Petrosyan
Substitutes
91
H. Ghazaryan
52
A. Arakelyan
14
P. Krmzyan
4
M. Avetisyan
51
S. Kirakosyan
⚽ 79'
8
S. Movsisyan
19
A. Galstyan
55
A. Movsesyan
47
H. Manukyan
23
A. Petrosyan
42
H. Sargsyan
Alashkert 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
24
A. Beglaryan
22
R. Hakobyan
4
Y. Matyukhin
44
Klaidher
15
A. Sadoyan
88
Rafael Jesus
6
E. Piloyan
10
O. Farayola
7
K. Nalbandyan
⚽ 4'
25
Caio Henrique
11
M. Toure
⚽ 56'
Substitutes
13
A. Ayvazov
5
D. Terteryan
2
S. Grigoryan
8
Y. Gareginyan
77
J. Campos
66
M. Kankanyan
18
I. D. Nduka
17
J. Sabobo
9
S. Khalil
21
J. Granado
28
U. Ajibona
73
D. Kirakosyan
Last matches: BKMA
18.07.26
Fri
BKMA
Sioni
3
1
W
15.07.26
Fri
BKMA
Gagra
1
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
BKMA
Gandzasar
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
BKMA
Shirak
2
3
L
26.05.26
Pre
BKMA
Ararat
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pre
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
2
3
L
09.05.26
Pre
BKMA
Pyunik Yerevan
0
2
L
23.04.26
Pre
BKMA
Van
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pre
BKMA
Gandzasar
1
1
D
16.04.26
Pre
BKMA
Shirak
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pre
BKMA
Shirak
0
0
D
05.04.26
Pre
BKMA
FC Noah
0
2
L
20.03.26
Pre
BKMA
FC Urartu
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pre
BKMA
FC Urartu
1
4
L
08.03.26
Pre
BKMA
FC Noah
0
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
BKMA
Van
1
0
W
31.01.26
Fri
BKMA
Van
2
2
D
06.12.25
Pre
BKMA
FC Noah
3
2
W
28.11.25
Pre
BKMA
Gandzasar
0
0
D
23.11.25
Pre
BKMA
Van
2
3
L
Last matches: Alashkert
23.07.26
UEF
Alashkert
CFR 1907 Cluj
1
1
D
16.07.26
UEF
Alashkert
Yelimay Semey
1
1
D
09.07.26
UEF
Alashkert
Yelimay Semey
1
1
D
30.06.26
Fri
Alashkert
Maccabi Tel Aviv
0
1
L
26.05.26
Pre
Alashkert
Shirak
2
0
W
16.05.26
Pre
Alashkert
Van
1
0
W
09.05.26
Pre
Alashkert
Gandzasar
3
1
W
25.04.26
Pre
Alashkert
FC Noah
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pre
Alashkert
FC Urartu
3
1
W
14.04.26
Pre
Alashkert
Ararat
2
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Alashkert
Ararat
3
2
W
06.04.26
Pre
Alashkert
Ararat-Armenia
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pre
Alashkert
Pyunik Yerevan
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pre
Alashkert
Pyunik Yerevan
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pre
Alashkert
Ararat-Armenia
1
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Alashkert
Surkhon
3
2
W
13.02.26
Fri
Alashkert
FC Orenburg
1
2
L
09.02.26
Fri
Alashkert
Ordabasy
1
2
L
09.02.26
Fri
Alashkert
Samgurali
1
3
L
05.02.26
Fri
Alashkert
Kaisar
0
0
D
H2H: BKMA vs Alashkert
02.05.26
H2H
BKMA
Alashkert
2
2
D
08.11.25
H2H
Alashkert
BKMA
2
0
L
13.09.25
H2H
BKMA
Alashkert
1
3
L
22.05.25
H2H
BKMA
Alashkert
2
0
W
27.10.24
H2H
Alashkert
BKMA
2
0
L
07.10.24
H2H
BKMA
Alashkert
1
0
W
28.04.24
H2H
Alashkert
BKMA
0
0
D
27.02.24
H2H
BKMA
Alashkert
0
6
L
25.10.23
H2H
Alashkert
BKMA
1
0
L
19.08.23
H2H
BKMA
Alashkert
0
4
L
16.05.23
H2H
Alashkert
BKMA
1
2
W
10.03.23
H2H
BKMA
Alashkert
1
1
D
30.10.22
H2H
Alashkert
BKMA
1
0
L
26.08.22
H2H
BKMA
Alashkert
2
4
L
25.05.22
H2H
BKMA
Alashkert
0
3
L
Last matches: BKMA
11.07.26
Fri
BKMA
Gandzasar
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
BKMA
Shirak
2
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
2
3
L
19.04.26
Pre
BKMA
Gandzasar
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pre
BKMA
Shirak
0
0
D
20.03.26
Pre
BKMA
FC Urartu
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pre
BKMA
FC Noah
0
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
BKMA
Van
1
0
W
31.01.26
Fri
BKMA
Van
2
2
D
02.11.25
Pre
BKMA
Pyunik Yerevan
1
2
L
19.10.25
Pre
BKMA
Ararat
4
0
W
29.09.25
Pre
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
2
2
D
13.09.25
Pre
BKMA
Alashkert
1
3
L
29.08.25
Pre
BKMA
Van
0
0
D
23.08.25
Pre
BKMA
Gandzasar
0
0
D
16.08.25
Pre
BKMA
Shirak
2
1
W
02.08.25
Pre
BKMA
FC Urartu
1
1
D
H2H at home: BKMA
02.05.26
H2H
BKMA
Alashkert
2
2
D
13.09.25
H2H
BKMA
Alashkert
1
3
L
22.05.25
H2H
BKMA
Alashkert
2
0
W
07.10.24
H2H
BKMA
Alashkert
1
0
W
27.02.24
H2H
BKMA
Alashkert
0
6
L
19.08.23
H2H
BKMA
Alashkert
0
4
L
10.03.23
H2H
BKMA
Alashkert
1
1
D
26.08.22
H2H
BKMA
Alashkert
2
4
L
25.05.22
H2H
BKMA
Alashkert
0
3
L
Last matches: Alashkert
16.07.26
UEF
Alashkert
Yelimay Semey
1
1
D
30.06.26
Fri
Alashkert
Maccabi Tel Aviv
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pre
Alashkert
Van
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pre
Alashkert
FC Urartu
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Alashkert
Ararat
3
2
W
06.04.26
Pre
Alashkert
Ararat-Armenia
1
1
D
15.03.26
Pre
Alashkert
Pyunik Yerevan
0
1
L
13.02.26
Fri
Alashkert
Surkhon
3
2
W
13.02.26
Fri
Alashkert
FC Orenburg
1
2
L
09.02.26
Fri
Alashkert
Ordabasy
1
2
L
09.02.26
Fri
Alashkert
Samgurali
1
3
L
05.02.26
Fri
Alashkert
Kaisar
0
0
D
30.01.26
Fri
Alashkert
Dobrudzha
2
0
W
22.11.25
Pre
Alashkert
FC Noah
2
2
D
03.11.25
Pre
Alashkert
Gandzasar
0
1
L
17.10.25
Pre
Alashkert
Shirak
2
1
W
29.09.25
Pre
Alashkert
Van
2
1
W
25.09.25
Pre
Alashkert
Ararat-Armenia
1
2
L
13.09.25
Pre
Alashkert
BKMA
3
1
W
22.08.25
Pre
Alashkert
FC Urartu
1
0
W
H2H away: Alashkert
02.05.26
H2H
BKMA
Alashkert
2
2
D
13.09.25
H2H
BKMA
Alashkert
1
3
W
22.05.25
H2H
BKMA
Alashkert
2
0
L
07.10.24
H2H
BKMA
Alashkert
1
0
L
27.02.24
H2H
BKMA
Alashkert
0
6
W
19.08.23
H2H
BKMA
Alashkert
0
4
W
10.03.23
H2H
BKMA
Alashkert
1
1
D
26.08.22
H2H
BKMA
Alashkert
2
4
W
25.05.22
H2H
BKMA
Alashkert
0
3
W

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 18 6 4 50:26 24 60
W W L W W
2 27 16 8 3 61:19 42 56
W D W W W
3 27 17 4 6 37:18 19 55
W D W W L
4 27 16 5 6 42:23 19 53
W W W D D
5 27 14 7 6 43:26 17 49
L D W L W
6 27 9 4 14 27:40 -13 31
L L W W L
7
BKMA Home
27 4 11 12 30:42 -12 23
D L L D W
8 27 5 6 16 20:41 -21 21
L L L L L
9 27 2 7 18 17:51 -34 13
L D L L L
10 27 3 4 20 21:63 -42 13
D L L W L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation