ARMENIA PREMIER LEAGUE
02.05.2026 12:00
Football Academy Stadium
BKMA
Match Timeline
Alashkert
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
K. Nalbandyan
Alashkert
56'
M. Toure
Alashkert
79'
S. Kirakosyan
BKMA
82'
P. Manukyan
BKMA

BKMA vs Alashkert Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 75%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 27.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 52.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
75%
-
BTTS BTTS No
27.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
52.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
BKMA Win 25%
Draw 0%
Alashkert Win 75%
Expected Goals (xG)
BKMA1
Alashkert1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
BKMA BKMA
WWDLW
25 GF / 34 GA
Alashkert Alashkert
WLDWL
34 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.09
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
0.87
14
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

BKMA BKMA 23 matches
Alashkert Alashkert 23 matches
BKMA Statistic Alashkert
4 Wins 13
9 Draws 4
10 Losses 6
25 Goals For 34
34 Goals Against 20
1.09 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 0.87
14 BTTS Yes 11
18 Over 1.5 17
12 Over 2.5 9
7 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Alashkert's more proactive style and BKMA's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Alashkert. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Alashkert having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Alashkert carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 43 points while BKMA sit 7 on 21, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

BKMA Analysis

From their first 23 matches, BKMA have collected 21 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 4 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 25:34 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through N. Hovhannisyan (7 goals), G. Petrosyan (6 goals), A. Askaryan (2 goals), with creative support from V. Afyan (5 assists), N. Hovhannisyan (2 assists), L. Bashoyan (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Alashkert Analysis

Alashkert come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 43 points after 23 matches. They have recorded 13 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a 34:20 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on K. Nalbandyan (10 goals), M. Toure (9 goals), Caio Henrique (3 goals), with creative support from O. Farayola (6 assists), K. Drammeh (3 assists), K. Nalbandyan (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, BKMA won 3 times, Alashkert won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:30 from BKMA's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: BKMA wins 3, draws 3, Alashkert wins 9

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 18 6 4 50:26 24 60
W W L W W
2 27 16 8 3 61:19 42 56
W D W W W
3 27 17 4 6 37:18 19 55
W D W W L
4 27 16 5 6 42:23 19 53
W W W D D
5 27 14 7 6 43:26 17 49
L D W L W
6 27 9 4 14 27:40 -13 31
L L W W L
7
BKMA Home
27 4 11 12 30:42 -12 23
D L L D W
8 27 5 6 16 20:41 -21 21
L L L L L
9 27 2 7 18 17:51 -34 13
L D L L L
10 27 3 4 20 21:63 -42 13
D L L W L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation