Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Birmingham Win 0%
Draw 0%
Middlesbrough Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Birmingham1.9
Middlesbrough1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Birmingham
WWDLW
11 GF / 4 GA
Middlesbrough
WLDWL
7 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.75
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
2
3
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
3
2
Shots on Goal
7
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Birmingham
6 matches
Middlesbrough
4 matches
| Birmingham | Statistic | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 1 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 0 | Losses | 1 |
| 11 | Goals For | 7 |
| 4 | Goals Against | 8 |
| 1.83 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.75 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 2 | Shots On Goal | 7 |
| 10 | Total Shots | 23 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 55% | Ball Possession | 76% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Birmingham won 3 times, Middlesbrough won 11 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:23 from Birmingham's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Birmingham 4-2-3-1 / Middlesbrough 4-2-2-2
H2H summary: Birmingham wins 3, draws 1, Middlesbrough wins 11
Last matches: Birmingham
15.08.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
0
0
D
31.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Barcelona
2
2
D
25.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Crewe
2
1
W
22.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Burton Albion
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Solihull Moors
3
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Huddersfield
3
1
W
02.05.26
Cha
Birmingham
Portsmouth
1
1
D
25.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Bristol City
2
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Preston
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Hull City
1
1
D
12.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Wrexham
2
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Ipswich
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Blackburn
0
1
L
21.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Derby
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
QPR
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Charlton
0
1
L
02.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
3
L
25.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Millwall
0
3
L
21.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Norwich
2
1
W
Last matches: Middlesbrough
15.08.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Lincoln
2
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Espanyol
3
3
D
25.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Huddersfield
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Celtic
1
1
D
23.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
12.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
1
2
L
09.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
2
2
D
25.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Watford
5
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
19.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
2
2
D
11.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth
0
1
L
06.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Swansea
2
2
D
03.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
14.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
0
1
L
08.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
QPR
4
0
W
02.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
H2H: Birmingham vs Middlesbrough
02.03.26
H2H
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
3
L
08.11.25
H2H
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
2
1
L
12.03.24
H2H
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
0
1
L
21.10.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
1
0
L
02.01.23
H2H
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
3
L
05.10.22
H2H
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
1
0
L
15.03.22
H2H
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
0
2
L
30.10.21
H2H
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
0
2
W
16.01.21
H2H
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
0
1
W
19.12.20
H2H
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
4
L
21.01.20
H2H
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
1
1
D
04.10.19
H2H
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
12.01.19
H2H
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
11.08.18
H2H
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
1
0
L
06.03.18
H2H
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
0
1
L
Last matches: Birmingham
31.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Barcelona
2
2
D
10.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Huddersfield
3
1
W
25.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Bristol City
2
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Preston
2
1
W
12.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Wrexham
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Blackburn
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
QPR
1
0
W
02.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
3
L
15.02.26
FA
Birmingham
Leeds
1
1
D
10.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
West Brom
0
0
D
07.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Leicester
2
1
W
24.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Stoke City
1
1
D
04.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Coventry
3
2
W
29.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Southampton
1
1
D
26.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Derby
1
1
D
13.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Charlton
1
1
D
01.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Watford
2
1
W
22.11.25
Cha
Birmingham
Norwich
4
1
W
04.11.25
Cha
Birmingham
Millwall
4
0
W
H2H at home: Birmingham
02.03.26
H2H
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
3
L
12.03.24
H2H
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
0
1
L
02.01.23
H2H
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
3
L
15.03.22
H2H
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
0
2
L
19.12.20
H2H
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
4
L
04.10.19
H2H
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
12.01.19
H2H
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
06.03.18
H2H
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
0
1
L
Last matches: Middlesbrough
18.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Celtic
1
1
D
23.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
12.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
2
2
D
19.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
2
2
D
06.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Swansea
2
2
D
21.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
08.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
QPR
4
0
W
02.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
3
1
W
16.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Coventry
1
3
L
09.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Utd
2
1
W
21.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
2
1
W
16.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
West Brom
3
2
W
10.01.26
FA
Middlesbrough
Fulham
1
3
L
01.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Derby
0
1
L
20.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
0
2
L
09.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
2
1
W
05.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
4
1
W
22.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
1
1
D
04.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
H2H away: Middlesbrough
02.03.26
H2H
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
3
W
12.03.24
H2H
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
0
1
W
02.01.23
H2H
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
3
W
15.03.22
H2H
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
0
2
W
19.12.20
H2H
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
4
W
04.10.19
H2H
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
2
1
L
12.01.19
H2H
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
2
W
06.03.18
H2H
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
0
1
W
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 4 |
Middlesbrough
Away
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 15 |
Birmingham
Home
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
| 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | -4 |
L
|
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One