ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
02.03.2026 20:00
St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Referee: T. Kirk
Birmingham
Match Timeline
Middlesbrough
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
13'
M. Targett · Assist: A. Morris
Middlesbrough
⚽
26'
M. Targett · Assist: H. Hackney
Middlesbrough
⚽
48'
M. Ducksch · Assist: J. Stansfield
Birmingham
🟨
58'
Tomoki Iwata
Birmingham
⚽
60'
D. Strelec · Assist: L. Ayling
Middlesbrough
🔄
61'
D. Strelec ↔ M. Whittaker
Middlesbrough
🔄
64'
P. Roberts ↔ C. Vicente
Birmingham
🔄
65'
J. Stansfield ↔ A. Priske
Birmingham
🟨
66'
Tommy Conway
Middlesbrough
🔄
72'
D. Gray ↔ Paik Seung-Ho
Birmingham
🔄
72'
B. Osayi-Samuel ↔ I. Osman
Birmingham
🔄
74'
R. McGree ↔ A. Browne
Middlesbrough
🔄
75'
T. Conway ↔ J. Sarmiento
Middlesbrough
🔄
84'
J. Panzo ↔ E. Laird
Birmingham
🟨
85'
Solomon Brynn
Middlesbrough
🟨
90+1'
Ethan Laird
Birmingham
🟨
90+4'
Callum Brittain
Middlesbrough
🟨
90'
Adilson Malanda
Middlesbrough
🔄
90+1'
H. Hackney ↔ A. Gilbert
Middlesbrough

Birmingham vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Birmingham Win 0%
Draw 0%
Middlesbrough Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Birmingham1.24
Middlesbrough1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Birmingham Birmingham
WWDLW
49 GF / 46 GA
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
WLDWL
52 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.49
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
21
BTTS Yes
20
18
Over 2.5
19
3.92
Shots on Goal
4.54

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Birmingham Birmingham 36 matches
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 35 matches
Birmingham Statistic Middlesbrough
14 Wins 18
11 Draws 9
11 Losses 8
49 Goals For 52
46 Goals Against 37
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.49
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
21 BTTS Yes 20
30 Over 1.5 25
18 Over 2.5 19
8 Over 3.5 9
8 Clean Sheets 10
8 Failed To Score 8
3.92 Shots On Goal 4.54
14.03 Total Shots 14.66
5.75 Corners 6.09
53.8% Ball Possession 58.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Birmingham won 3 times, Middlesbrough won 11 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:23 from Birmingham's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Birmingham 4-2-3-1 / Middlesbrough 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Birmingham wins 3, draws 1, Middlesbrough wins 11

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8 46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
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