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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Birmingham
FT
1 - 1
Derby
St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Referee: Ben Toner, England
Birmingham
Match Timeline
Derby
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
15'
D. Gray ↔ L. Koumas
Birmingham
⚽
27'
P. Agyemang · Assist: R. Brewster
Derby
🟨
29'
Joe Ward
Derby
🟨
39'
Joe Ward
Derby
🟥
39'
Joe Ward
Derby
🔄
46'
B. Brereton Diaz ↔ E. Adams
Derby
🔄
46'
R. Brewster ↔ C. Nelson
Derby
🟨
49'
Christoph Klarer
Birmingham
🔄
58'
E. Cashin ↔ A. Sampsted
Birmingham
🔄
58'
M. Ducksch ↔ K. Furuhashi
Birmingham
⚽
64'
J. Robinson
Birmingham
🟨
71'
Jay Stansfield
Birmingham
🟨
71'
Sondre Klingen Langås
Derby
🟨
74'
Seung-Ho Paik
Birmingham
🔄
78'
M. Leonard ↔ W. T. Willumsson
Birmingham
🔄
78'
↔ L. Dykes
Birmingham
🔄
85'
P. Agyemang ↔ K. Jackson
Derby
🟥
90+2'
Christoph Klarer
Birmingham
🔄
90+6'
S. Langas ↔ C. Forsyth
Derby

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Birmingham Win 0%
Draw 0%
Derby Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Birmingham1.36
Derby1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Birmingham Birmingham
WWDLW
30 GF / 29 GA
Derby Derby
WLDWL
31 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
12
BTTS Yes
16
12
Over 2.5
11
3.59
Shots on Goal
3.32

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Birmingham Birmingham 22 matches
Derby Derby 22 matches
Birmingham Statistic Derby
8 Wins 8
5 Draws 7
9 Losses 7
30 Goals For 31
29 Goals Against 30
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
12 BTTS Yes 16
17 Over 1.5 17
12 Over 2.5 11
6 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 2
3.59 Shots On Goal 3.32
13.77 Total Shots 9.68
5.32 Corners 5.09
55.1% Ball Possession 42%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Birmingham won 3 times, Derby won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:27 from Birmingham's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Birmingham 4-2-3-1 / Derby 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Birmingham wins 3, draws 4, Derby wins 8
Stats
Birmingham Birmingham
Derby Derby
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
11
Blocked Shots
3
12 Corner Kicks 1
17 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 2
74% Ball Possession 26%
25 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Goal 1
5 Shots off Goal 1
11 Blocked Shots 3
18 Shots insidebox 3
7 Shots outsidebox 2
0 Goalkeeper Saves 8
563 Total passes 208
477 Passes accurate 115
2.98 expected_goals 0.79
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Birmingham
Formation
Derby
J. Beadle
J. Beadle
T. Iwata
T. Iwata
C. Klarer
C. Klarer
J. Robinson
⚽
J. Robinson
E. Cashin
↓
E. Cashin
M. Leonard
↓
M. Leonard
Paik Seung-Ho
Paik Seung-Ho
P. Roberts
P. Roberts
J. Stansfield
J. Stansfield
D. Gray
↓
D. Gray
M. Ducksch
↓
M. Ducksch
J. Widell Zetterstrom
J. Widell Zetterstrom
S. Langas
↓
S. Langas
D. Batth
D. Batth
M. Clarke
M. Clarke
J. Ward
J. Ward
L. Thompson
L. Thompson
B. Clark
B. Clark
C. Elder
C. Elder
B. Brereton Diaz
↓
B. Brereton Diaz
R. Brewster
🎯 ↓
R. Brewster
P. Agyemang
⚽ ↓
P. Agyemang
Birmingham 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
25
J. Beadle
G
24
T. Iwata
D
4
C. Klarer
🟨 49' 🟥 90+2'
D
6
J. Robinson
⚽ 64'
D
41
E. Cashin
↓ 58'
D
12
M. Leonard
↓ 78'
M
8
Paik Seung-Ho
🟨 74'
M
16
P. Roberts
M
28
J. Stansfield
🟨 71'
M
10
D. Gray
↓ 15'
M
33
M. Ducksch
↓ 58'
F
Substitutes
21
R. Allsop
G
23
A. Sampsted
↑ 58'
D
5
P. Neumann
D
47
G. Wynne
M
18
W. T. Willumsson
↑ 78'
M
27
K. Fujimoto
M
30
L. Koumas
↑ 15'
F
17
L. Dykes
↑ 78'
F
9
K. Furuhashi
↑ 58'
F
Derby 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
1
J. Widell Zetterstrom
G
6
S. Langas
↓ 90+6' 🟨 71'
D
4
D. Batth
D
5
M. Clarke
D
23
J. Ward
🟨 29' 🟨 39' 🟥 39'
M
16
L. Thompson
M
42
B. Clark
M
20
C. Elder
M
25
B. Brereton Diaz
↓ 46'
F
10
R. Brewster
🎯 27' ↓ 46'
F
7
P. Agyemang
⚽ 27' ↓ 85'
F
Substitutes
12
R. O'Donnell
G
3
C. Forsyth
↑ 90+6'
D
11
C. Blackett-Taylor
F
14
A. Weimann
F
15
L. Salvesen
F
19
K. Jackson
↑ 85'
F
32
E. Adams
↑ 46'
M
35
C. Nelson
↑ 46'
D
37
O. Eames
M
Last matches: Birmingham
31.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Barcelona
2
2
D
25.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Crewe
2
1
W
22.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Burton Albion
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Solihull Moors
3
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Huddersfield
3
1
W
02.05.26
Cha
Birmingham
Portsmouth
1
1
D
25.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Bristol City
2
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Preston
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Hull City
1
1
D
12.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Wrexham
2
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Ipswich
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Blackburn
0
1
L
21.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Derby
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
QPR
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Charlton
0
1
L
02.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
3
L
25.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Millwall
0
3
L
21.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Norwich
2
1
W
15.02.26
FA
Birmingham
Leeds
1
1
D
Last matches: Derby
04.08.26
Fri
Derby
Rotherham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Derby
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Derby
Mansfield Town
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
H2H: Birmingham vs Derby
21.03.26
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
L
26.12.25
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
1
1
D
30.01.22
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
2
2
D
10.09.21
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
2
0
W
24.04.21
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
1
2
W
29.12.20
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
0
4
L
22.07.20
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
1
3
L
28.09.19
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
3
2
L
19.04.19
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
2
2
D
03.11.18
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
3
1
L
13.01.18
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
0
3
L
23.09.17
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
1
1
D
08.04.17
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
1
2
L
27.12.16
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
L
16.01.16
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
0
3
W
Last matches: Birmingham
31.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Barcelona
2
2
D
10.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Huddersfield
3
1
W
25.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Bristol City
2
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Preston
2
1
W
12.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Wrexham
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Blackburn
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
QPR
1
0
W
02.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
3
L
15.02.26
FA
Birmingham
Leeds
1
1
D
10.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
West Brom
0
0
D
07.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Leicester
2
1
W
24.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Stoke City
1
1
D
04.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Coventry
3
2
W
29.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Southampton
1
1
D
13.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Charlton
1
1
D
01.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Watford
2
1
W
22.11.25
Cha
Birmingham
Norwich
4
1
W
04.11.25
Cha
Birmingham
Millwall
4
0
W
01.11.25
Cha
Birmingham
Portsmouth
4
0
W
H2H at home: Birmingham
26.12.25
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
1
1
D
10.09.21
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
2
0
W
29.12.20
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
0
4
L
22.07.20
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
1
3
L
19.04.19
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
2
2
D
13.01.18
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
0
3
L
08.04.17
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
1
2
L
Last matches: Derby
04.08.26
Fri
Derby
Rotherham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Derby
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Derby
Mansfield Town
3
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
30.01.26
Cha
Derby
Bristol City
5
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
2
1
W
17.01.26
Cha
Derby
Preston
1
0
W
29.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
2
L
15.12.25
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
3
0
W
29.11.25
Cha
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
25.11.25
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
1
W
H2H away: Derby
26.12.25
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
1
1
D
10.09.21
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
2
0
L
29.12.20
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
0
4
W
22.07.20
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
1
3
W
19.04.19
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
2
2
D
13.01.18
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
0
3
W
08.04.17
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
1
2
W

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Away
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham Home
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
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