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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
26.12.2025 12:30
Birmingham
FT
1 - 1
Derby
St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Referee: Ben Toner, England
Birmingham
Match Timeline
Derby
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
15'
D. Gray ↔ L. Koumas
Birmingham
⚽
27'
P. Agyemang · Assist: R. Brewster
Derby
🟨
29'
Joe Ward
Derby
🟨
39'
Joe Ward
Derby
🟥
39'
Joe Ward
Derby
🔄
46'
B. Brereton Diaz ↔ E. Adams
Derby
🔄
46'
R. Brewster ↔ C. Nelson
Derby
🟨
49'
Christoph Klarer
Birmingham
🔄
58'
E. Cashin ↔ A. Sampsted
Birmingham
🔄
58'
M. Ducksch ↔ K. Furuhashi
Birmingham
⚽
64'
J. Robinson
Birmingham
🟨
71'
Jay Stansfield
Birmingham
🟨
71'
Sondre Klingen Langås
Derby
🟨
74'
Seung-Ho Paik
Birmingham
🔄
78'
M. Leonard ↔ W. T. Willumsson
Birmingham
🔄
78'
↔ L. Dykes
Birmingham
🔄
85'
P. Agyemang ↔ K. Jackson
Derby
🟥
90+2'
Christoph Klarer
Birmingham
🔄
90+6'
S. Langas ↔ C. Forsyth
Derby

Birmingham vs Derby Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Birmingham Win 0%
Draw 0%
Derby Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Birmingham1.36
Derby1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Birmingham Birmingham
WWDLW
30 GF / 29 GA
Derby Derby
WLDWL
31 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
12
BTTS Yes
16
12
Over 2.5
11
3.59
Shots on Goal
3.32

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Birmingham Birmingham 22 matches
Derby Derby 22 matches
Birmingham Statistic Derby
8 Wins 8
5 Draws 7
9 Losses 7
30 Goals For 31
29 Goals Against 30
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
12 BTTS Yes 16
17 Over 1.5 17
12 Over 2.5 11
6 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 2
3.59 Shots On Goal 3.32
13.77 Total Shots 9.68
5.32 Corners 5.09
55.1% Ball Possession 42%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Birmingham won 3 times, Derby won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:27 from Birmingham's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Birmingham 4-2-3-1 / Derby 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Birmingham wins 3, draws 4, Derby wins 8

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Away
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham Home
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
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