Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
67.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Birmingham Win 67.5%
Draw 4.8%
Bristol City Win 27.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Birmingham1.6
Bristol City1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Birmingham
WWDLW
11 GF / 4 GA
Bristol City
WLDWL
10 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.25
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
3
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
3
2
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Birmingham
6 matches
Bristol City
8 matches
| Birmingham | Statistic | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 2 |
| 2 | Draws | 3 |
| 0 | Losses | 3 |
| 11 | Goals For | 10 |
| 4 | Goals Against | 10 |
| 1.83 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 2 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 10 | Total Shots | 8 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 55% | Ball Possession | 34% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Birmingham won 8 times, Bristol City won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:17 from Birmingham's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Birmingham 4-2-3-1 / Bristol City 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Birmingham wins 8, draws 2, Bristol City wins 5
Last matches: Birmingham
15.08.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
0
0
D
31.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Barcelona
2
2
D
25.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Crewe
2
1
W
22.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Burton Albion
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Solihull Moors
3
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Huddersfield
3
1
W
02.05.26
Cha
Birmingham
Portsmouth
1
1
D
25.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Bristol City
2
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Preston
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Hull City
1
1
D
12.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Wrexham
2
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Ipswich
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Blackburn
0
1
L
21.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Derby
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
QPR
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Charlton
0
1
L
02.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
3
L
25.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Millwall
0
3
L
21.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Norwich
2
1
W
Last matches: Bristol City
15.08.26
Cha
Bristol City
Millwall
0
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
Bristol City
Exeter City
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Bristol City
Plymouth
0
0
D
29.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Newcastle
4
1
W
29.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Forest Green
2
3
L
25.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Swindon Town
3
1
W
21.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Newport County
0
0
D
17.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Stockport County
0
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Bristol City
Stoke City
2
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Birmingham
1
2
L
21.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Southampton
2
2
D
18.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Norwich
2
4
L
11.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
QPR
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Sheffield Utd
1
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Charlton
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
West Brom
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
10.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
Leicester
0
2
L
07.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
Coventry
0
2
L
03.03.26
FA
Bristol City
Port Vale
0
1
L
H2H: Birmingham vs Bristol City
25.04.26
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
2
1
W
25.10.25
H2H
Bristol City
Birmingham
1
0
L
29.12.23
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
0
0
D
19.08.23
H2H
Bristol City
Birmingham
0
2
W
14.01.23
H2H
Bristol City
Birmingham
4
2
L
08.10.22
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
3
0
W
05.03.22
H2H
Bristol City
Birmingham
1
2
W
02.11.21
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
3
0
W
13.03.21
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
0
3
L
05.12.20
H2H
Bristol City
Birmingham
0
1
W
07.02.20
H2H
Bristol City
Birmingham
1
3
W
10.08.19
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
1
1
D
26.02.19
H2H
Bristol City
Birmingham
1
2
W
08.12.18
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
0
1
L
10.04.18
H2H
Bristol City
Birmingham
3
1
L
Last matches: Birmingham
31.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Barcelona
2
2
D
10.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Huddersfield
3
1
W
25.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Bristol City
2
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Preston
2
1
W
12.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Wrexham
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Blackburn
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
QPR
1
0
W
02.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
3
L
15.02.26
FA
Birmingham
Leeds
1
1
D
10.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
West Brom
0
0
D
07.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Leicester
2
1
W
24.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Stoke City
1
1
D
04.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Coventry
3
2
W
29.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Southampton
1
1
D
26.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Derby
1
1
D
13.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Charlton
1
1
D
01.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Watford
2
1
W
22.11.25
Cha
Birmingham
Norwich
4
1
W
04.11.25
Cha
Birmingham
Millwall
4
0
W
H2H at home: Birmingham
25.04.26
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
2
1
W
29.12.23
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
0
0
D
08.10.22
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
3
0
W
02.11.21
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
3
0
W
13.03.21
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
0
3
L
10.08.19
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
1
1
D
08.12.18
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
0
1
L
Last matches: Bristol City
01.08.26
Fri
Bristol City
Exeter City
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Bristol City
Plymouth
0
0
D
29.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Forest Green
2
3
L
25.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Swindon Town
3
1
W
17.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Stockport County
0
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Birmingham
1
2
L
21.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Southampton
2
2
D
11.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
QPR
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Charlton
2
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
10.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
Leicester
0
2
L
03.03.26
FA
Bristol City
Port Vale
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
Bristol City
Blackburn
2
1
W
21.02.26
Cha
Bristol City
Swansea
0
1
L
07.02.26
Cha
Bristol City
Hull City
3
2
W
20.01.26
Cha
Bristol City
Ipswich
0
2
L
17.01.26
Cha
Bristol City
Oxford United
0
0
D
29.12.25
Cha
Bristol City
Millwall
1
2
L
26.12.25
Cha
Bristol City
West Brom
2
1
W
13.12.25
Cha
Bristol City
Coventry
0
1
L
H2H away: Bristol City
25.04.26
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
2
1
L
29.12.23
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
0
0
D
08.10.22
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
3
0
L
02.11.21
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
3
0
L
13.03.21
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
0
3
W
10.08.19
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
1
1
D
08.12.18
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
0
1
W
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 15 |
Birmingham
Home
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
| 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 23 |
Bristol City
Away
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
L
|
| 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | -4 |
L
|
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One