ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
22.08.2026 11:30
St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Referee: Will Finnie, England
Birmingham
Match Timeline
Bristol City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
32'
Bright Osayi-Samuel
Birmingham
33'
S. Twine
Bristol City
42'
S. Tickle
Birmingham
🔄
46'
B. Osayi-Samuel ↔ E. Laird
Birmingham
🔄
62'
C. Vicente ↔ D. Gray
Birmingham
🔄
62'
Paik Seung-Ho ↔ P. Roberts
Birmingham
🔄
65'
J. Wallace ↔ T. Horvat
Bristol City
🔄
65'
L. Tolaj ↔ D. Ballard
Bristol City
🔄
71'
S. Twine ↔ S. Greenwood
Bristol City
🔄
71'
J. Williams ↔ G. Yah
Bristol City
🟨
78'
Patrick Roberts
Birmingham
🔄
78'
A. Priske ↔ L. Vazquez
Birmingham
🔄
84'
J. Stansfield ↔ M. Ducksch
Birmingham
85'
D. Ballard · Assist: R. Cardines
Bristol City
🟨
90+6'
Jason Knight
Bristol City
🔄
90+1'
Y. Hirakawa ↔ R. Atkinson
Bristol City
90'
D. Gray
Birmingham

Birmingham vs Bristol City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.5%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Birmingham Win 67.5%
Draw 4.8%
Bristol City Win 27.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Birmingham1.6
Bristol City1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Birmingham Birmingham
WWDLW
11 GF / 4 GA
Bristol City Bristol City
WLDWL
10 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.25
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
3
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
3
2
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Birmingham Birmingham 6 matches
Bristol City Bristol City 8 matches
Birmingham Statistic Bristol City
4 Wins 2
2 Draws 3
0 Losses 3
11 Goals For 10
4 Goals Against 10
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
3 BTTS Yes 4
4 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 4
2 Shots On Goal 0
10 Total Shots 8
8 Corners 6
55% Ball Possession 34%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Birmingham won 8 times, Bristol City won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:16 from Birmingham's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Birmingham 4-2-3-1 / Bristol City 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Birmingham 4, Bristol City 3
H2H summary: Birmingham wins 8, draws 3, Bristol City wins 4

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 3 2 0 7:1 6 11
D W W D W
2 5 3 1 1 8:5 3 10
W D W L W
3 5 3 1 1 7:4 3 10
L W W D W
4 5 3 1 1 9:7 2 10
W W W D L
5 5 3 1 1 8:6 2 10
W D L W W
6 5 3 1 1 6:7 -1 10
L D W W W
7 5 3 0 2 10:8 2 9
W L L W W
8 5 2 2 1 11:7 4 8
W W D L D
9 5 2 2 1 13:10 3 8
D L W W D
10 5 1 4 0 7:6 1 7
D D W D D
11 5 1 3 1 6:4 2 6
D W L D D
12 5 2 0 3 8:8 0 6
W L W L L
13 5 2 0 3 8:9 -1 6
W W L L L
14 5 2 0 3 7:8 -1 6
W L L W L
15 5 1 3 1 6:7 -1 6
L W D D D
16 5 1 2 2 6:7 -1 5
L D L W D
17 5 1 2 2 4:6 -2 5
L L D D W
18 5 1 2 2 4:6 -2 5
D D W L L
19 5 2 2 1 11:6 5 4
D D W W L
20 5 1 1 3 5:10 -5 4
L W L D L
21 5 1 1 3 4:9 -5 4
L L L D W
22 5 0 3 2 6:9 -3 3
L L D D D
23 5 1 0 4 5:10 -5 3
W L L L L
24 5 0 2 3 6:12 -6 2
L D L L D
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One