MALTA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Tony Bezzina Stadium
Referee: I. Barbara
Birkirkara
Match Timeline
Mosta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
32'
F. Sasere
Birkirkara
🔄
46'
F. Lopez ↔ J. Busuttil
Birkirkara
🔄
46'
M. Bolanos ↔ U. Luke
Mosta
🔄
46'
S. Zibo ↔ A. Farrugia
Mosta
🔄
59'
K. Reid ↔ J. Vrcic
Birkirkara
🔄
60'
Macula ↔ K. Fenech
Birkirkara
🔄
60'
R. Caruana ↔ C. Diamanka
Mosta
🔄
70'
S. Vassallo ↔ L. Perkins
Mosta
🔄
74'
Agius ↔ Z. Cauchi
Mosta
75'
U. Luke
Mosta
🔄
76'
A. Coppola ↔ Roni Santos
Birkirkara

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 86.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 48.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
86.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
48.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
56.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Birkirkara Win 86.5%
Draw 13.5%
Mosta Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Birkirkara1.26
Mosta1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Birkirkara Birkirkara
WWDLW
29 GF / 38 GA
Mosta Mosta
WLDWL
33 GF / 57 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
1.06
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.84
7
BTTS Yes
15
12
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Birkirkara Birkirkara 33 matches
Mosta Mosta 31 matches
Birkirkara Statistic Mosta
9 Wins 6
10 Draws 7
14 Losses 18
29 Goals For 33
38 Goals Against 57
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.84
7 BTTS Yes 15
20 Over 1.5 22
12 Over 2.5 16
5 Over 3.5 11
16 Clean Sheets 5
17 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Mosta. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Birkirkara arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 18 points compared to Mosta in 6 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Mosta having the stronger overall control.

Birkirkara Analysis

Birkirkara come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 18 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 13:13 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by K. Reid (6 goals), A. Abubakar (4 goals), D. Makoma (4 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Mosta Analysis

Mosta are currently 6 in the standings with 9 points from 15 matches. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 13:31 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through P. Emmanuel (12 goals), Leo Fernandes (4 goals), Giancarlo (3 goals), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Birkirkara won 8 times, Mosta won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:12 from Birkirkara's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (100%)
H2H summary: Birkirkara wins 8, draws 5, Mosta wins 2

Lineups

Birkirkara
Formation
Mosta
M. Martinez
M. Martinez
F. Lopez
F. Lopez
F. Sasere
F. Sasere
K. Reid
K. Reid
Macula
Macula
L. Lacunza
L. Lacunza
A. Coppola
A. Coppola
N. Cross
N. Cross
G. Acheampong
G. Acheampong
D. Makoma
D. Makoma
A. Garzia
A. Garzia
J. Farrugia
J. Farrugia
M. Bolanos
M. Bolanos
S. Cachia
S. Cachia
S. Eikwu-Ojo
S. Eikwu-Ojo
R. Caruana
R. Caruana
Agius
Agius
A. Kozic
A. Kozic
Willian
Willian
B. Farrugia
B. Farrugia
S. Zibo
S. Zibo
S. Vassallo
S. Vassallo
Birkirkara 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Martinez
2
F. Lopez
↓ 46'
7
F. Sasere
⚽ 32'
9
K. Reid
↓ 59'
11
Macula
↓ 60'
24
L. Lacunza
27
A. Coppola
↓ 76'
30
N. Cross
33
G. Acheampong
59
D. Makoma
77
A. Garzia
Substitutes
16
S. Cortis
19
M. Grech
8
L. Delicata
10
S. Dimech
14
D. Pullicino
17
K. Fenech
↑ 60'
21
K. Fenech
22
J. Busuttil
↑ 46'
41
Roni Santos
↑ 76'
50
J. Vrcic
↑ 59'
99
J. Bayo
Mosta 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
99
J. Farrugia
3
M. Bolanos
↓ 46'
5
S. Cachia
15
S. Eikwu-Ojo
20
R. Caruana
↓ 60'
21
Agius
↓ 74'
23
A. Kozic
31
Willian
33
B. Farrugia
42
S. Zibo
↓ 46'
94
S. Vassallo
↓ 70'
Substitutes
1
A. Ngoubi Demba
2
Z. Cauchi
↑ 74'
4
K. Farrugia
6
G. Costa
8
L. Perkins
↑ 70'
9
C. Diamanka
↑ 60'
13
U. Luke
⚽ 75' ↑ 46'
18
A. Farrugia
↑ 46'
19
M. Galea
30
T. Zammit
97
C. Eke
Last matches: Birkirkara
25.07.26
Fri
Birkirkara
Sliema Wanderers
2
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Birkirkara
Zabbar St. Patrick
2
1
W
24.04.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Tarxien Rainbows
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Hibernians
0
0
D
14.04.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Sliema Wanderers
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Zabbar St. Patrick
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Floriana
2
2
D
08.03.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Hamrun Spartans
0
3
L
01.03.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Naxxar Lions
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Zabbar St. Patrick
0
3
L
17.02.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Sliema Wanderers
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Mosta
0
0
D
08.02.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Valletta FC
1
0
W
03.02.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Tarxien Rainbows
5
0
W
31.01.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Marsaxlokk
0
1
L
25.01.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Gzira United
0
2
L
18.01.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Hibernians
3
0
W
11.01.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Marsaxlokk
1
2
L
07.01.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Valletta FC
0
2
L
21.12.25
Pre
Birkirkara
Hamrun Spartans
1
6
L
Last matches: Mosta
24.07.26
Fri
Mosta
Gzira United
1
1
D
17.07.26
Fri
Mosta
Birzebbuga
0
4
L
10.05.26
Pre
Mosta
Naxxar Lions
1
0
W
24.04.26
Pre
Mosta
Hibernians
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pre
Mosta
Sliema Wanderers
2
2
D
15.04.26
Pre
Mosta
Zabbar St. Patrick
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Mosta
Tarxien Rainbows
2
2
D
15.03.26
Pre
Mosta
Hamrun Spartans
2
1
W
07.03.26
Pre
Mosta
Zabbar St. Patrick
3
5
L
28.02.26
Pre
Mosta
Marsaxlokk
1
2
L
22.02.26
Pre
Mosta
Gzira United
0
1
L
18.02.26
Pre
Mosta
Tarxien Rainbows
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pre
Mosta
Birkirkara
0
0
D
08.02.26
Pre
Mosta
Sliema Wanderers
0
1
L
04.02.26
Pre
Mosta
Naxxar Lions
0
5
L
31.01.26
Pre
Mosta
Hibernians
0
1
L
25.01.26
Pre
Mosta
Floriana
1
2
L
16.01.26
Pre
Mosta
Valletta FC
0
5
L
11.01.26
Pre
Mosta
Hibernians
2
0
W
08.01.26
Pre
Mosta
Tarxien Rainbows
2
2
D
H2H: Birkirkara vs Mosta
30.04.26
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
1
1
D
14.02.26
H2H
Mosta
Birkirkara
0
0
D
21.09.25
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
2
0
W
19.04.25
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
1
0
W
08.02.25
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
2
0
W
29.11.24
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
2
0
W
29.09.24
H2H
Mosta
Birkirkara
0
1
W
09.08.24
H2H
Mosta
Birkirkara
1
2
W
24.02.24
H2H
Mosta
Birkirkara
0
2
W
21.10.23
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
0
2
L
26.04.23
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
4
3
W
11.03.23
H2H
Mosta
Birkirkara
1
1
D
29.10.22
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
1
2
L
15.03.22
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
0
0
D
12.12.21
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
2
2
D
Last matches: Birkirkara
25.07.26
Fri
Birkirkara
Sliema Wanderers
2
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Birkirkara
Zabbar St. Patrick
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Zabbar St. Patrick
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Floriana
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Zabbar St. Patrick
0
3
L
17.02.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Sliema Wanderers
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Valletta FC
1
0
W
03.02.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Tarxien Rainbows
5
0
W
31.01.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Marsaxlokk
0
1
L
18.01.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Hibernians
3
0
W
01.11.25
Pre
Birkirkara
Hamrun Spartans
0
2
L
24.09.25
Pre
Birkirkara
Naxxar Lions
1
0
W
21.09.25
Pre
Birkirkara
Mosta
2
0
W
23.08.25
Pre
Birkirkara
Gzira United
0
0
D
10.07.25
UEF
Birkirkara
Petrocub
1
0
W
H2H at home: Birkirkara
30.04.26
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
1
1
D
21.09.25
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
2
0
W
19.04.25
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
1
0
W
08.02.25
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
2
0
W
29.11.24
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
2
0
W
21.10.23
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
0
2
L
26.04.23
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
4
3
W
29.10.22
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
1
2
L
15.03.22
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
0
0
D
12.12.21
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
2
2
D
Last matches: Mosta
24.07.26
Fri
Mosta
Gzira United
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pre
Mosta
Naxxar Lions
1
0
W
24.04.26
Pre
Mosta
Hibernians
0
2
L
11.04.26
Pre
Mosta
Tarxien Rainbows
2
2
D
07.03.26
Pre
Mosta
Zabbar St. Patrick
3
5
L
22.02.26
Pre
Mosta
Gzira United
0
1
L
04.02.26
Pre
Mosta
Naxxar Lions
0
5
L
31.01.26
Pre
Mosta
Hibernians
0
1
L
25.01.26
Pre
Mosta
Floriana
1
2
L
11.01.26
Pre
Mosta
Hibernians
2
0
W
24.11.25
Pre
Mosta
Gzira United
0
1
L
02.11.25
Pre
Mosta
Tarxien Rainbows
1
0
W
24.09.25
Pre
Mosta
Valletta FC
1
4
L
21.09.25
Pre
Mosta
Birkirkara
0
2
L
13.09.25
Pre
Mosta
Hamrun Spartans
0
2
L
22.08.25
Pre
Mosta
Sliema Wanderers
1
0
W
17.08.25
Pre
Mosta
Marsaxlokk
1
3
L
H2H away: Mosta
30.04.26
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
1
1
D
21.09.25
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
2
0
L
19.04.25
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
1
0
L
08.02.25
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
2
0
L
29.11.24
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
2
0
L
21.10.23
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
0
2
W
26.04.23
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
4
3
L
29.10.22
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
1
2
W
15.03.22
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
0
0
D
12.12.21
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
2
2
D

Standings

Premier League , Opening Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 2 2 17:11 6 23
W W W L W
2 11 6 4 1 15:6 9 22
W L L W W
3 11 6 4 1 16:8 8 22
L L W L L
4 11 5 4 2 16:14 2 19
L D D W D
5 11 5 3 3 14:11 3 18
L W W W W
6 11 4 4 3 12:8 4 16
D D D L W
7 11 4 3 4 20:18 2 15
L W D L D
8 11 3 4 4 14:18 -4 13
L D L W L
9
Mosta Away
11 3 2 6 13:19 -6 11
W D L D W
10 11 2 4 5 11:14 -3 10
W L W D D
11 11 1 2 8 10:18 -8 5
L L D L D
12 11 1 2 8 8:21 -13 5
L W W D D
Championship round
Relegation Round