Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
79.5%
|
1.80 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
1.53 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.63 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.88 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
BFC Daugavpils
33 matches
Tukums
28 matches
| BFC Daugavpils | Statistic | Tukums |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 4 |
| 6 | Draws | 10 |
| 16 | Losses | 14 |
| 38 | Goals For | 45 |
| 46 | Goals Against | 55 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.61 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.96 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Tukums. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Tukums arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tukums having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
BFC Daugavpils come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 30 points from 24 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, while the 29:30 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Tukums approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 17 points from 24 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 38:48, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, BFC Daugavpils won 7 times, Tukums won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:16 from BFC Daugavpils's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Hegelmann Litauen
BFC Daugavpils
Vllaznia Shkodër
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Kalju Nomme
Tukums
Panevėžys
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 56:16 | 40 | 62 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 72:20 | 52 | 61 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 43 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 |
BFC Daugavpils
Home
|
25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 31:31 | 0 | 33 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
| 5 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 31 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 27 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 25:43 | -18 | 25 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 17:41 | -24 | 21 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 |
Tukums
Away
|
25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 40:49 | -9 | 20 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
| 10 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 23:61 | -38 | 14 |
D
L
W
L
W
|