Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
76.6%
|
1.22 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
1.80 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
1.82 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.75 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
BFC Daugavpils
25 matches
Super Nova
21 matches
| BFC Daugavpils | Statistic | Super Nova |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 7 |
| 4 | Draws | 3 |
| 14 | Losses | 11 |
| 27 | Goals For | 25 |
| 40 | Goals Against | 33 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.19 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.57 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Super Nova having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Super Nova.
So far, BFC Daugavpils have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 18 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, while the 19:24 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on R. Ndjiki (6 goals), A. Garzha (5 goals), J. Yakubu (4 goals), with creative support from R. Ndjiki (4 assists), J. Yakubu (3 assists), G. Mihalcovs (3 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Super Nova come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 20 points from 16 matches. The record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 18:23 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Glaudans (4 goals), V. Lizunovs (4 goals), M. Oss (3 goals), with creative support from Facu (5 assists), A. Glaudans (1 assists), V. Lizunovs (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, BFC Daugavpils won 5 times, Super Nova won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:15 from BFC Daugavpils's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Lineups
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Suduva Marijampole
BFC Daugavpils
Šiauliai
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
Paide
Super Nova
Kalju Nomme
Super Nova
Trans Narva
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Hegelmann Litauen
BFC Daugavpils
Vllaznia Shkodër
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
Paide
Super Nova
Kalju Nomme
Super Nova
Trans Narva
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 42:14 | 28 | 46 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56:19 | 37 | 45 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 34:23 | 11 | 35 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:25 | -2 | 25 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 |
Super Nova
Away
|
18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 21 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
| 6 |
BFC Daugavpils
Home
|
18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20:25 | -5 | 20 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
| 7 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 17 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 12:29 | -17 | 16 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 13:33 | -20 | 16 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 16:42 | -26 | 7 |
W
L
L
D
L
|