BFC Daugavpils
Match Timeline
Super Nova
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
No Draw
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
83.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
75.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
63.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | 1-1 |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
BFC Daugavpils Win 35.4%
Draw 16.9%
Super Nova Win 47.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
BFC Daugavpils1.41
Super Nova1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
BFC Daugavpils
WWDLW
19 GF / 28 GA
Super Nova
WLDWL
15 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
8
BTTS Yes
9
8
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
BFC Daugavpils
16 matches
Super Nova
12 matches
| BFC Daugavpils | Statistic | Super Nova |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 4 |
| 1 | Draws | 2 |
| 9 | Losses | 6 |
| 19 | Goals For | 15 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 1.75 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.75 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, BFC Daugavpils won 5 times, Super Nova won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:15 from BFC Daugavpils's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.2%)
H2H summary: BFC Daugavpils wins 5, draws 6, Super Nova wins 4
Lineups
BFC Daugavpils
Formation
Super Nova
J. Beks
G. Mihalcovs
Papa
C. Taty
Z. Ouled-Haj-M'hand
R. Skrebels
M. Sylla
A. Garzha
W. Mukwelle
J. Yakubu
R. Ndjiki
D. Veisbuks
I. Ndiaye
M. Oss
J. Cirulis
M. Tihonovics
A. Glaudans
E. Emsis
Facu
Bamba
V. Lizunovs
N. Pathe
BFC Daugavpils
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
12
J. Beks
⚽ 89'
37
G. Mihalcovs
5
Papa
20
C. Taty
34
Z. Ouled-Haj-M'hand
8
R. Skrebels
🟨 85'
7
M. Sylla
22
A. Garzha
4
W. Mukwelle
11
J. Yakubu
15
R. Ndjiki
Substitutes
1
J. Saveljevs
97
D. Kivinda
77
R. Aizups
27
M. Kopilovs
66
K. Bujanovs
19
E. Pinaskins
9
A. Traore
42
A. Saveljevs
30
L. Lozda
Super Nova
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
90
D. Veisbuks
20
I. Ndiaye
25
M. Oss
5
J. Cirulis
21
M. Tihonovics
7
A. Glaudans
↓ 74'
6
E. Emsis
14
Facu
9
Bamba
10
V. Lizunovs
27
N. Pathe
↓ 86'
Substitutes
31
T. Petrovics
18
M. Vasilevskis
↑ 74'
🟨 78'
24
R. Sitjakovs
↑ 86'
22
K. Skadmanis
3
R. Iida
23
N. Barkovskis
4
L. Berzins
19
A. Grikovs
Last matches: BFC Daugavpils
20.06.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
1
0
W
16.06.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
0
0
D
12.06.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
1
1
D
31.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
26.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
0
1
L
21.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
13.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
08.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
1
3
L
02.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
1
1
D
21.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
1
1
D
16.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
12.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
3
2
W
07.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
2
1
W
03.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
2
0
W
21.03.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
1
4
L
14.03.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
2
4
L
07.03.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
0
1
L
28.02.26
Fri
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
14.02.26
Fri
BFC Daugavpils
Suduva Marijampole
3
5
L
Last matches: Super Nova
16.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
12.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
29.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
1
2
L
24.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Riga
0
3
L
20.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Grobiņa
2
0
W
16.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Ogre United
3
1
W
11.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
1
1
D
06.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
0
1
L
01.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
L
23.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
18.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
0
2
L
14.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Riga
1
4
L
09.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Grobiņa
1
0
W
03.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Ogre United
2
1
W
22.03.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
2
1
W
15.03.26
Vir
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
08.03.26
Vir
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
L
28.02.26
Fri
Super Nova
Paide
0
1
L
21.02.26
Fri
Super Nova
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
11.02.26
Fri
Super Nova
Trans Narva
3
1
W
H2H: BFC Daugavpils vs Super Nova
16.06.26
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
0
0
D
27.04.26
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
0
1
L
25.10.25
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
2
2
D
02.08.25
H2H
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
01.06.25
H2H
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
4
1
L
15.04.25
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
1
1
D
23.09.23
H2H
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
0
1
W
05.07.23
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
2
0
W
14.05.23
H2H
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
0
4
W
01.04.23
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
3
0
W
19.02.23
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
1
4
L
29.10.22
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
1
1
D
20.08.22
H2H
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
L
21.06.22
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
1
0
W
19.04.22
H2H
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
Last matches: BFC Daugavpils
20.06.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
1
0
W
16.06.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
0
0
D
26.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
0
1
L
21.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
3
1
W
13.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
08.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
1
3
L
16.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
07.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
2
1
W
03.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
2
0
W
07.03.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
0
1
L
03.02.26
Fri
BFC Daugavpils
Hegelmann Litauen
2
1
W
17.07.25
UEF
BFC Daugavpils
Vllaznia Shkodër
2
4
L
H2H at home: BFC Daugavpils
16.06.26
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
0
0
D
27.04.26
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
0
1
L
25.10.25
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
2
2
D
15.04.25
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
1
1
D
05.07.23
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
2
0
W
01.04.23
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
3
0
W
19.02.23
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
1
4
L
29.10.22
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
1
1
D
21.06.22
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
1
0
W
Last matches: Super Nova
16.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
12.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
24.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Riga
0
3
L
20.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Grobiņa
2
0
W
06.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
0
1
L
18.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
0
2
L
09.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Grobiņa
1
0
W
03.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Ogre United
2
1
W
22.03.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
2
1
W
08.03.26
Vir
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
L
28.02.26
Fri
Super Nova
Paide
0
1
L
21.02.26
Fri
Super Nova
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
11.02.26
Fri
Super Nova
Trans Narva
3
1
W
14.01.26
Fri
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
2
5
L
H2H away: Super Nova
16.06.26
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
0
0
D
27.04.26
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
0
1
W
25.10.25
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
2
2
D
15.04.25
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
1
1
D
05.07.23
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
2
0
L
01.04.23
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
3
0
L
19.02.23
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
1
4
W
29.10.22
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
1
1
D
21.06.22
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
1
0
L
Standings
Virsliga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 42:14 | 28 | 46 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56:19 | 37 | 45 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 34:23 | 11 | 35 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:25 | -2 | 25 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 |
Super Nova
Away
|
18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 21 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
| 6 |
BFC Daugavpils
Home
|
18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20:25 | -5 | 20 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
| 7 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 17 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 12:29 | -17 | 16 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 13:33 | -20 | 16 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 16:42 | -26 | 7 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga