Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
72.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
29.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
29%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
BFC Daugavpils
19 matches
Rīgas FS
23 matches
| BFC Daugavpils | Statistic | Rīgas FS |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 17 |
| 2 | Draws | 4 |
| 11 | Losses | 2 |
| 21 | Goals For | 52 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.26 |
| 1.74 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Rīgas FS's more proactive style and BFC Daugavpils's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Rīgas FS having the stronger overall control. Rīgas FS look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Rīgas FS carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 28 points while BFC Daugavpils sit 5 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Rīgas FS. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
BFC Daugavpils arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 14 points after 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, while the 14:18 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Garzha (4 goals), J. Yakubu (4 goals), R. Ndjiki (3 goals), with creative support from R. Ndjiki (3 assists), Z. Ouled-Haj-M'hand (3 assists), A. Garzha (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Rīgas FS come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 28 points after 11 matches. They have recorded 9 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 25:9 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on J. Ikaunieks (5 goals), S. Panic (5 goals), D. Lemajic (3 goals), with creative support from R. Savalnieks (4 assists), L. Odisharia (3 assists), J. Ikaunieks (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, BFC Daugavpils won 0 times, Rīgas FS won 14 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:47 from BFC Daugavpils's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.
Lineups
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
Rīgas FS
Vestri
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
Rīgas FS
Auda
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Riga
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
Auda
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Riga
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Hegelmann Litauen
BFC Daugavpils
Vllaznia Shkodër
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
Riga
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Auda
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
Hvidovre
Rīgas FS
Dynamo Kyiv
Rīgas FS
Kolding IF
Rīgas FS
Kalju Nomme
Rīgas FS
Paide
Rīgas FS
Kalju Nomme
Rīgas FS
Hamrun Spartans
Rīgas FS
KuPS
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rīgas FS
Away
|
23 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 55:16 | 39 | 59 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 68:20 | 48 | 58 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 40 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 |
BFC Daugavpils
Home
|
23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29:29 | 0 | 30 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
| 5 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28:34 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 27 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24:39 | -15 | 25 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:35 | -20 | 20 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 38:47 | -9 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 21:59 | -38 | 13 |
L
W
L
W
L
|