Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
79.6%
|
1.22 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
1.80 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
52.4%
|
2.02 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.21 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.10 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
BFC Daugavpils
26 matches
Grobiņa
25 matches
| BFC Daugavpils | Statistic | Grobiņa |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 5 |
| 5 | Draws | 10 |
| 14 | Losses | 10 |
| 27 | Goals For | 26 |
| 40 | Goals Against | 41 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.04 |
| 1.54 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.64 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Grobiņa. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Grobiņa having the stronger overall control.
From their first 17 matches, BFC Daugavpils have collected 19 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 20:25 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by R. Ndjiki (7 goals), A. Garzha (5 goals), J. Yakubu (4 goals), with creative support from R. Ndjiki (4 assists), J. Yakubu (4 assists), G. Mihalcovs (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Grobiņa have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 13 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 10:26 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Puzirevskis (4 goals), A. Kholod (2 goals), R. Baravykas (2 goals), with creative support from M. Sidorovs (2 assists), A. Puzirevskis (1 assists), R. Baravykas (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, BFC Daugavpils won 7 times, Grobiņa won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:15 from BFC Daugavpils's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Suduva Marijampole
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
Riga
Grobiņa
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Tukums
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
Auda
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
Riga
Grobiņa
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Tukums
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
Auda
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
Metta / LU
Grobiņa
Hegelmann Litauen
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Hegelmann Litauen
BFC Daugavpils
Vllaznia Shkodër
Grobiņa
Riga
Grobiņa
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Auda
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Tukums
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
Metta / LU
Grobiņa
Hegelmann Litauen
Grobiņa
Suduva Marijampole
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 42:14 | 28 | 46 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56:19 | 37 | 45 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 34:23 | 11 | 35 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:25 | -2 | 25 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 21 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 |
BFC Daugavpils
Home
|
18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20:25 | -5 | 20 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
| 7 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 17 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 8 |
Grobiņa
Away
|
18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 12:29 | -17 | 16 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
| 9 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 13:33 | -20 | 16 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 16:42 | -26 | 7 |
W
L
L
D
L
|