Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
60%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
BFC Daugavpils
32 matches
FS Jelgava
29 matches
| BFC Daugavpils | Statistic | FS Jelgava |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 7 |
| 6 | Draws | 7 |
| 16 | Losses | 15 |
| 36 | Goals For | 29 |
| 45 | Goals Against | 49 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.69 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 14 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FS Jelgava having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FS Jelgava. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
BFC Daugavpils come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 30 points after 23 matches. They have recorded 8 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, with a 29:29 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, FS Jelgava have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 25 points from 23 matches. The record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 24:39 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, BFC Daugavpils won 7 times, FS Jelgava won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:11 from BFC Daugavpils's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Lineups
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
FS Jelgava
Auda
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Riga
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Auda
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Riga
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Auda
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Hegelmann Litauen
BFC Daugavpils
Vllaznia Shkodër
FS Jelgava
Riga
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Auda
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Riga
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
Šiauliai
FS Jelgava
Nõmme United
FS Jelgava
Panevėžys
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 62:17 | 45 | 65 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 76:21 | 55 | 64 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 |
BFC Daugavpils
Home
|
26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:31 | 2 | 36 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 5 | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 26:37 | -11 | 27 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 |
FS Jelgava
Away
|
26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 25:44 | -19 | 25 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 8 | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 18:47 | -29 | 21 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 20 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 24:65 | -41 | 14 |
L
D
L
W
L
|