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TURKEY › SüPER LIG
11.10.2026 16:00
Tüpraş Stadyumu
Referee: Abdullah Bugra Taskinsoy, Türkiye
Beşiktaş
Match Timeline
Kocaelispor
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
18'
O. Kokcu · Assist: V. Cerny
Beşiktaş
⚽
27'
Show
Kocaelispor
🟨
29'
T. Bingol
Kocaelispor
⚽
31'
D. Vlahovic
Beşiktaş
🔄
39'
V. Cerny ↔ I. Fakili
Beşiktaş
🔄
61'
G. Sousa ↔ R. Rivas
Kocaelispor
🔄
71'
D. Agyei ↔ F. Aye
Kocaelispor
🔄
71'
T. Bingol ↔ T. Gulliksen
Kocaelispor
🔄
71'
S. Ozcan ↔ W. Ndidi
Beşiktaş
🔄
71'
R. Yilmaz ↔ K. Ouattara
Beşiktaş
🔄
71'
E. Topcu ↔ E. Agbadou
Beşiktaş
🟨
78'
S. Oztasdelen
Kocaelispor
🟨
78'
L. Trossard
Beşiktaş
🔄
84'
O. Kokcu ↔ K. Kayra Yilmaz
Beşiktaş
🔄
87'
O. Oztonga ↔ M. Baku
Kocaelispor
🔄
87'
U. Yildiz ↔ M. Cinan
Kocaelispor
🟨
88'
S. Inan
Kocaelispor

Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.2%
Odds 1.24
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.47
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.2%
1.24 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.91 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.47 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.21 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.73 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Beşiktaş Win 74.2%
Draw 8.9%
Kocaelispor Win 16.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Beşiktaş1.39
Kocaelispor0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Beşiktaş Beşiktaş
WWDLW
33 GF / 17 GA
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor
WLDWL
7 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.74
Average Goals Scored
1
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
8
BTTS Yes
1
9
Over 2.5
1
4.62
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 19 matches
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 7 matches
Beşiktaş Statistic Kocaelispor
12 Wins 4
2 Draws 0
5 Losses 3
33 Goals For 7
17 Goals Against 6
1.74 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
8 BTTS Yes 1
12 Over 1.5 5
9 Over 2.5 1
4 Over 3.5 0
8 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 3
4.62 Shots On Goal 4
9.62 Total Shots 12.33
6 Corners 2.83
48.5% Ball Possession 47.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Kocaelispor look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Kocaelispor. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Beşiktaş expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Kocaelispor in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kocaelispor having the stronger overall control.

Beşiktaş Analysis

Beşiktaş approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 12 points after 6 outings. They have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a 14:7 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Dušan Vlahović (5 goals), Václav Černý (2 goals), Orkun Kökçü (1 goals), with creative support from Junior Olaitan (2 assists), Orkun Kökçü (1 assists), İlhan Fakılı (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Kocaelispor Analysis

Kocaelispor come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 12 points after 6 matches. The return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 7:4, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Berkan Kutlu (2 goals), Massadio Haïdara (1 goals), Dan Agyei (1 goals), with creative support from Gonçalo Sousa (2 assists), Berkan Kutlu (1 assists), Anfernee Jamal Dijksteel (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Beşiktaş won 2 times, Kocaelispor won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:2 from Beşiktaş's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.1%)
Predicted formations: Beşiktaş 4-1-4-1 / Kocaelispor 4-3-3
Missing players: Beşiktaş 2, Kocaelispor 5
H2H summary: Beşiktaş wins 2, draws 1, Kocaelispor wins 0

Standings

Süper Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 1 1 16:11 5 16
W L W W W
2 7 4 2 1 17:9 8 14
D W W D W
3 7 4 1 2 19:6 13 13
W W D L W
4 7 4 1 2 16:5 11 13
W W L W L
5 6 4 0 2 14:7 7 12
L W W W L
6 6 4 0 2 7:4 3 12
W L W W W
7 7 3 3 1 8:6 2 12
D W D W L
8 7 2 4 1 8:8 0 10
L D W D D
9 7 3 1 3 7:9 -2 10
L D W L W
10 6 2 2 2 7:7 0 8
L D W L W
11 7 2 2 3 10:11 -1 8
D W L L D
12 7 2 2 3 7:15 -8 8
D L L L D
13 7 2 2 3 3:11 -8 8
D W L W D
14 6 2 1 3 13:12 1 7
L W W L L
15 7 1 2 4 4:8 -4 5
D D W L L
16 7 1 1 5 6:15 -9 4
L L L L L
17 6 0 3 3 11:15 -4 3
D D L L L
18 6 1 0 5 2:16 -14 3
L L L W L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig