PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio da Luz
Referee: J. Pinheiro
Benfica
Match Timeline
SC Braga
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
46'
Rafa Silva
Benfica
48'
P. Victor · Assist: V. Gomez
SC Braga
🟨
56'
Lukáš Horníček
SC Braga
🟨
57'
Leonardo Lelo
SC Braga
🔄
61'
F. Ivanovic ↔ V. Pavlidis
Benfica
VAR
65'
Vangelis Pavlidis
Benfica
🔄
67'
G. Martinez ↔ M. Dorgeles
SC Braga
🔄
74'
F. Navarro ↔ R. Zalazar
SC Braga
🔄
76'
L. Barreiro ↔ D. Lukebakio
Benfica
🔄
82'
L. Lelo ↔ Gabriel Moscardo
SC Braga
🟨
87'
Amar Dedić
Benfica
88'
Gorby · Assist: M. Dorgeles
SC Braga
VAR
90+2'
Andreas Schjelderup
Benfica
🟨
90+6'
Victor Gómez
SC Braga
🟨
90+3'
Vítor Carvalho
SC Braga
90'
V. Pavlidis
Benfica

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 7.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 28.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
7.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
28.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Benfica Win 57.7%
Draw 8%
SC Braga Win 34.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Benfica1.48
SC Braga1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Benfica Benfica
WWDLW
85 GF / 37 GA
SC Braga SC Braga
WLDWL
97 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.85
Average Goals Scored
1.87
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
21
BTTS Yes
25
26
Over 2.5
29
5.48
Shots on Goal
4.35

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Benfica Benfica 46 matches
SC Braga SC Braga 52 matches
Benfica Statistic SC Braga
28 Wins 29
11 Draws 13
7 Losses 10
85 Goals For 97
37 Goals Against 48
1.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.87
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
21 BTTS Yes 25
37 Over 1.5 38
26 Over 2.5 29
11 Over 3.5 17
20 Clean Sheets 23
8 Failed To Score 6
5.48 Shots On Goal 4.35
15.87 Total Shots 10.58
6.59 Corners 4.71
54.8% Ball Possession 54.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Benfica expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and SC Braga in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward SC Braga having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Benfica arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 76 points compared to SC Braga in 4 on 57, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward SC Braga.

Benfica Analysis

Benfica approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 76 points after 32 outings. With 22 wins, 10 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 69:22, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by V. Pavlidis (21 goals), A. Schjelderup (7 goals), F. Ivanovic (6 goals), with creative support from A. Schjelderup (5 assists), L. Barreiro (5 assists), V. Pavlidis (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 11 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

SC Braga Analysis

SC Braga come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 57 points from 32 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 16 wins, 9 draws, and 7 losses, while the 60:32 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on R. Zalazar (16 goals), R. Horta (14 goals), P. Victor (8 goals), with creative support from R. Zalazar (5 assists), R. Horta (4 assists), P. Victor (4 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Benfica won 7 times, SC Braga won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:21 from Benfica's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92%)
Predicted formations: Benfica 4-2-3-1 / SC Braga 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Benfica wins 7, draws 4, SC Braga wins 4
Stats
Benfica Benfica
SC Braga SC Braga
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
2
8 Corner Kicks 2
6 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 1
52% Ball Possession 48%
24 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Goal 2
8 Shots off Goal 1
8 Blocked Shots 2
16 Shots insidebox 2
8 Shots outsidebox 3
0 Goalkeeper Saves 6
469 Total passes 443
385 Passes accurate 354
3.19 expected_goals 0.21
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Benfica
Formation
SC Braga
A. Trubin
A. Trubin
A. Dedic
A. Dedic
T. Araujo
T. Araujo
A. Silva
A. Silva
S. Dahl
S. Dahl
F. Aursnes
F. Aursnes
L. Barreiro
L. Barreiro
G. Prestianni
G. Prestianni
Rafa Silva
Rafa Silva
A. Schjelderup
A. Schjelderup
F. Ivanovic
F. Ivanovic
L. Hornicek
L. Hornicek
G. Lagerbielke
G. Lagerbielke
Vitor Carvalho
Vitor Carvalho
L. Lelo
L. Lelo
V. Gomez
🎯
V. Gomez
J. Moutinho
J. Moutinho
D. E. Tiknaz
D. E. Tiknaz
G. Martinez
G. Martinez
Gorby
Gorby
P. Victor
P. Victor
F. Navarro
F. Navarro
Benfica 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
A. Trubin
G
17
A. Dedic
🟨 87'
D
44
T. Araujo
D
4
A. Silva
D
26
S. Dahl
D
8
F. Aursnes
M
18
L. Barreiro
↓ 76'
M
25
G. Prestianni
M
27
Rafa Silva
⚽ 46'
M
21
A. Schjelderup
M
9
F. Ivanovic
↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
24
S. Soares
G
16
Manu
M
64
G. Oliveira
D
7
Bruma
F
11
D. Lukebakio
↑ 76'
F
14
V. Pavlidis
⚽ 90' ↑ 61'
F
6
A. Bah
D
10
G. Sudakov
M
5
E. Barrenechea
M
SC Braga 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
L. Hornicek
🟨 56'
G
14
G. Lagerbielke
D
6
Vitor Carvalho
🟨 90+3'
D
5
L. Lelo
↓ 82' 🟨 57'
D
2
V. Gomez
🎯 48' 🟨 90+6'
M
8
J. Moutinho
M
34
D. E. Tiknaz
M
77
G. Martinez
↓ 67'
M
29
Gorby
⚽ 88'
F
18
P. Victor
⚽ 48'
F
39
F. Navarro
↓ 74'
F
Substitutes
12
T. Sa
G
53
J. Noro
41
Y. da Rocha
M
20
M. Dorgeles
🎯 88' ↑ 67'
M
15
P. Oliveira
D
10
R. Zalazar
↑ 74'
M
9
A. El Ouazzani
F
17
Gabriel Moscardo
↑ 82'
M
90
Luisinho
M
Last matches: Benfica
16.05.26
Pri
Benfica
Estoril
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Benfica
Famalicao
2
2
D
25.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Moreirense
4
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Sporting CP
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Nacional
2
0
W
06.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Casa Pia
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Benfica
Guimaraes
3
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Benfica
Arouca
2
1
W
08.03.26
Pri
Benfica
FC Porto
2
2
D
02.03.26
Pri
Benfica
GIL Vicente
2
1
W
25.02.26
UEF
Benfica
Real Madrid
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Benfica
AVS
3
0
W
17.02.26
UEF
Benfica
Real Madrid
0
1
L
13.02.26
Pri
Benfica
Santa Clara
2
1
W
08.02.26
Pri
Benfica
Alverca
2
1
W
01.02.26
Pri
Benfica
Tondela
0
0
D
28.01.26
UEF
Benfica
Real Madrid
4
2
W
25.01.26
Pri
Benfica
Estrela
4
0
W
21.01.26
UEF
Benfica
Juventus
0
2
L
17.01.26
Pri
Benfica
Rio Ave
2
0
W
Last matches: SC Braga
07.07.26
Fri
SC Braga
Buxton
3
1
W
03.07.26
Fri
SC Braga
São João Ver
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
SC Braga
Estrela
2
2
D
07.05.26
UEF
SC Braga
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
03.05.26
Pri
SC Braga
Estoril
1
1
D
30.04.26
UEF
SC Braga
SC Freiburg
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Santa Clara
1
2
L
23.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Casa Pia
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Famalicao
2
2
D
16.04.26
UEF
SC Braga
Real Betis
4
2
W
12.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Arouca
1
0
W
08.04.26
UEF
SC Braga
Real Betis
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Moreirense
1
0
W
22.03.26
Pri
SC Braga
FC Porto
1
2
L
18.03.26
UEF
SC Braga
Ferencvarosi TC
4
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
SC Braga
Ferencvarosi TC
0
2
L
07.03.26
Pri
SC Braga
Sporting CP
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
SC Braga
Nacional
2
1
W
21.02.26
Pri
SC Braga
Guimaraes
3
2
W
14.02.26
Pri
SC Braga
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
H2H: Benfica vs SC Braga
11.05.26
H2H
Benfica
SC Braga
2
2
D
07.01.26
H2H
Benfica
SC Braga
1
3
L
28.12.25
H2H
SC Braga
Benfica
2
2
D
17.05.25
H2H
SC Braga
Benfica
1
1
D
26.02.25
H2H
Benfica
SC Braga
1
0
W
08.01.25
H2H
Benfica
SC Braga
3
0
W
04.01.25
H2H
Benfica
SC Braga
1
2
L
27.04.24
H2H
Benfica
SC Braga
3
1
W
10.01.24
H2H
Benfica
SC Braga
3
2
W
17.12.23
H2H
SC Braga
Benfica
0
1
W
06.05.23
H2H
Benfica
SC Braga
1
0
W
09.02.23
H2H
SC Braga
Benfica
1
1
D
30.12.22
H2H
SC Braga
Benfica
3
0
L
01.04.22
H2H
SC Braga
Benfica
3
2
L
07.11.21
H2H
Benfica
SC Braga
6
1
W
Last matches: Benfica
25.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Moreirense
4
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Nacional
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Benfica
Guimaraes
3
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Benfica
FC Porto
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
Benfica
AVS
3
0
W
17.02.26
UEF
Benfica
Real Madrid
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Benfica
Alverca
2
1
W
28.01.26
UEF
Benfica
Real Madrid
4
2
W
25.01.26
Pri
Benfica
Estrela
4
0
W
03.01.26
Pri
Benfica
Estoril
3
1
W
22.12.25
Pri
Benfica
Famalicao
1
0
W
10.12.25
UEF
Benfica
Napoli
2
0
W
05.12.25
Pri
Benfica
Sporting CP
1
1
D
09.11.25
Pri
Benfica
Casa Pia
2
2
D
05.11.25
UEF
Benfica
Bayer Leverkusen
0
1
L
25.10.25
Pri
Benfica
Arouca
5
0
W
26.09.25
Pri
Benfica
GIL Vicente
2
1
W
23.09.25
Pri
Benfica
Rio Ave
1
1
D
16.09.25
UEF
Benfica
Qarabag
2
3
L
12.09.25
Pri
Benfica
Santa Clara
1
1
D
H2H at home: Benfica
11.05.26
H2H
Benfica
SC Braga
2
2
D
07.01.26
H2H
Benfica
SC Braga
1
3
L
26.02.25
H2H
Benfica
SC Braga
1
0
W
08.01.25
H2H
Benfica
SC Braga
3
0
W
04.01.25
H2H
Benfica
SC Braga
1
2
L
27.04.24
H2H
Benfica
SC Braga
3
1
W
10.01.24
H2H
Benfica
SC Braga
3
2
W
06.05.23
H2H
Benfica
SC Braga
1
0
W
07.11.21
H2H
Benfica
SC Braga
6
1
W
Last matches: SC Braga
07.07.26
Fri
SC Braga
Buxton
3
1
W
07.05.26
UEF
SC Braga
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
26.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Santa Clara
1
2
L
23.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Casa Pia
1
0
W
16.04.26
UEF
SC Braga
Real Betis
4
2
W
04.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Moreirense
1
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
SC Braga
Ferencvarosi TC
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
SC Braga
Nacional
2
1
W
14.02.26
Pri
SC Braga
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
02.02.26
Pri
SC Braga
AVS
4
0
W
29.01.26
UEF
SC Braga
GO Ahead Eagles
0
0
D
18.01.26
Pri
SC Braga
Tondela
1
0
W
03.01.26
Pri
SC Braga
Estrela
3
3
D
19.12.25
Pri
SC Braga
Estoril
0
1
L
11.12.25
UEF
SC Braga
Nice
1
0
W
06.12.25
Pri
SC Braga
Famalicao
2
1
W
01.12.25
Pri
SC Braga
Arouca
4
0
W
27.11.25
UEF
SC Braga
Rangers
1
1
D
02.11.25
Pri
SC Braga
FC Porto
1
2
L
05.10.25
Pri
SC Braga
Sporting CP
1
1
D
H2H away: SC Braga
11.05.26
H2H
Benfica
SC Braga
2
2
D
07.01.26
H2H
Benfica
SC Braga
1
3
W
26.02.25
H2H
Benfica
SC Braga
1
0
L
08.01.25
H2H
Benfica
SC Braga
3
0
L
04.01.25
H2H
Benfica
SC Braga
1
2
W
27.04.24
H2H
Benfica
SC Braga
3
1
L
10.01.24
H2H
Benfica
SC Braga
3
2
L
06.05.23
H2H
Benfica
SC Braga
1
0
L
07.11.21
H2H
Benfica
SC Braga
6
1
L