PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
25.01.2026 18:00
Estádio da Luz
Referee: D. Silva
Benfica
Match Timeline
Estrela
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
Kevin Höög Jansson
Estrela
🟨
33'
Ianis Stoica
Estrela
🟨
37'
Enzo Barrenechea
Benfica
⚽
42'
V. Pavlidis · Assist: S. Lopes Cabral
Benfica
🟨
45'
Fredrik Aursnes
Benfica
🟨
45'
António Silva
Benfica
🔄
46'
E. Barrenechea ↔ L. Barreiro
Benfica
🟨
52'
Jefferson Encada
Estrela
⚽
55'
V. Pavlidis
Benfica
🔄
56'
T. Moustier ↔ G. Doue
Estrela
⚽
58'
S. Lopes Cabral
Benfica
🔄
60'
G. Prestianni ↔ A. Schjelderup
Benfica
🔄
65'
K. Jansson ↔ A. Sola
Estrela
🔄
73'
G. Sudakov ↔ Rafa Silva
Benfica
🔄
73'
F. Aursnes ↔ D. Prioste
Benfica
🔄
75'
L. Antonetti ↔ Robinho
Estrela
🔄
75'
I. Stoica ↔ Rodrigo Pinho
Estrela
🔄
75'
J. Meireles ↔ Alisson Souza
Estrela
🟨
76'
Paulo Moreira
Estrela
🔄
83'
V. Pavlidis ↔ Anisio
Benfica
⚽
84'
Anisio
Benfica

Benfica vs Estrela Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Benfica Win 0%
Draw 0%
Estrela Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Benfica1.73
Estrela1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Benfica Benfica
WWDLW
49 GF / 21 GA
Estrela Estrela
WLDWL
23 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
1.28
0.72
Average Goals Conceded
1.78
10
BTTS Yes
9
13
Over 2.5
10
5.14
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Benfica Benfica 29 matches
Estrela Estrela 18 matches
Benfica Statistic Estrela
17 Wins 4
7 Draws 7
5 Losses 7
49 Goals For 23
21 Goals Against 32
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
0.72 Avg Goals Conceded 1.78
10 BTTS Yes 9
22 Over 1.5 14
13 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 8
15 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 8
5.14 Shots On Goal 3.67
15.14 Total Shots 11.28
5.66 Corners 3.33
54.7% Ball Possession 48%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Benfica won 9 times, Estrela won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:5 from Benfica's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.78 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Benfica 4-2-3-1 / Estrela 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Benfica wins 9, draws 0, Estrela wins 0

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 4 2 66:18 48 88
W L W W W
2 34 25 7 2 89:24 65 82
W W W D D
3 34 23 11 0 74:25 49 80
W D D W W
4 34 16 11 7 64:36 28 59
D D D L W
5 34 15 11 8 42:29 13 56
W D D W D
6 34 13 11 10 47:38 9 50
L L D W L
7 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
D L W L W
8 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
W W D L W
9 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
L L L W W
10 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
L D D L L
11 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
L D L W L
12 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
D L D L D
13 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
L W D W D
14 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
W L L W W
15 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
D D L L L
16 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
D W L L L
17 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
L W W D L
18 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21
D W W D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2