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31.08.2026 19:15
Estádio da Luz
Referee: H. Carvalho
Benfica
Match Timeline
Estoril
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
31'
E. Barrenechea ↔ J. Palhinha
Benfica
⚽
40'
V. Pavlidis
Benfica
🔄
46'
Xeka ↔ J. Holsgrove
Estoril
⚽
51'
C. Lenglet · Assist: T. Araujo
Benfica
🔄
63'
Rafa Silva ↔ A. Schjelderup
Benfica
🔄
71'
A. Lacximicant ↔ Peixinho
Estoril
🔄
72'
R. Sanchez ↔ P. Carvalho
Estoril
🔄
72'
S. Andreou ↔ F. Garcia
Estoril
🟨
75'
Ismael Sierra Arnal
Estoril
🔄
80'
G. Sudakov ↔ G. Moreira
Benfica
🔄
80'
V. Pavlidis ↔ J. Duran
Benfica
🔄
80'
G. Prestianni ↔ D. Lukebakio
Benfica
🔄
82'
F. Medrano ↔ R. Guitane
Estoril
⚽
82'
Y. Begraoui · Assist: F. Medrano
Estoril

Benfica vs Estoril Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Benfica Win 82.9%
Draw 4%
Estoril Win 13.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Benfica2.42
Estoril0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Benfica Benfica
W W W D D
16 GF / 5 GA
Estoril Estoril
L L D D D
2 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
3.27
Average Goals Scored
0.71
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
8
BTTS Yes
2
9
Over 2.5
1
8.75
Shots on Goal
4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Benfica Benfica 11 matches
Estoril Estoril 7 matches
Benfica Statistic Estoril
7 Wins 1
2 Draws 3
2 Losses 3
36 Goals For 5
11 Goals Against 8
3.27 Avg Goals Scored 0.71
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
8 BTTS Yes 2
11 Over 1.5 6
9 Over 2.5 1
7 Over 3.5 0
3 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 4
8.75 Shots On Goal 4.67
22.25 Total Shots 13.67
7.5 Corners 5.67
64.6% Ball Possession 53%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Benfica won 13 times, Estoril won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:10 from Benfica's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
Predicted formations: Benfica 4-2-3-1 / Estoril 3-4-3
H2H summary: Benfica wins 13, draws 2, Estoril wins 0

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 10 0 0 25:4 21 30
W W W W W
2 10 8 1 1 27:8 19 25
W W W L W
3 10 6 3 1 23:11 12 21
W L W D D
4 10 6 3 1 15:6 9 21
W L W D W
5 10 6 2 2 13:7 6 20
W W W D L
6 10 6 2 2 15:12 3 20
W W W W W
7 10 4 3 3 8:7 1 15
D L W W D
8 10 4 2 4 12:11 1 14
W L L L D
9 10 4 2 4 13:17 -4 14
W W L D W
10 10 3 2 5 13:14 -1 11
L L W W W
11 10 2 4 4 14:14 0 10
L W L W D
12 10 2 4 4 15:19 -4 10
L L L L D
13 10 2 3 5 10:10 0 9
D W L D L
14 10 2 2 6 9:21 -12 8
L L L D L
15 10 2 1 7 10:19 -9 7
L W L L L
16 10 2 1 7 9:23 -14 7
L L W L D
17 10 2 1 7 5:19 -14 7
L W L W L
18 10 0 2 8 5:19 -14 2
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2