PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA

31.08.2026 19:15

Benfica

2 - 1

Estoril

Estádio da Luz

Referee: Helder Filipe Claudio Carvalho, Portugal

Benfica

Match Timeline

Estoril

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Benfica vs Estoril Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 82.9%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 71.2%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 61.1%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	82.9%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	71.2%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	61.1%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Benfica Win 82.9%

Draw 4%

Estoril Win 13.1%

Expected Goals (xG)

Benfica2.42

Estoril0.83

Recent Form (Last 5)

Benfica

WWDLW

36 GF / 11 GA

Estoril

WLDWL

5 GF / 8 GA

Key Stats

3.27

Average Goals Scored

0.71

Average Goals Conceded

1.14

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

8.75

Shots on Goal

4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Benfica 11 matches

Estoril 7 matches

Benfica	Statistic	Estoril
7	Wins	1
2	Draws	3
2	Losses	3
36	Goals For	5
11	Goals Against	8
3.27	Avg Goals Scored	0.71
1	Avg Goals Conceded	1.14
8	BTTS Yes	2
11	Over 1.5	6
9	Over 2.5	1
7	Over 3.5	0
3	Clean Sheets	2
0	Failed To Score	4
8.75	Shots On Goal	4.67
22.25	Total Shots	13.67
7.5	Corners	5.67
64.6%	Ball Possession	48.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Benfica won 13 times, Estoril won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:10 from Benfica's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (96%)

Predicted formations: Benfica 4-2-3-1 / Estoril 3-4-3

H2H summary: Benfica wins 13, draws 2, Estoril wins 0

Standings

Primeira Liga

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	FC Porto	8	8	0	0	20:4	16	24	W W W W W
2	Benfica Home	8	6	1	1	24:7	17	19	W L W W W
3	Sporting CP	8	5	3	0	20:9	11	18	W D D W W
4	Santa Clara	8	5	3	0	12:4	8	18	W D W W D
5	Arouca	8	4	2	2	11:7	4	14	W D L D W
6	Academico Viseu	8	4	2	2	11:10	1	14	W W W W L
7	GIL Vicente	7	3	2	2	6:5	1	11	W D L L D
8	Alverca	8	3	2	3	13:12	1	11	W W W L D
9	SC Braga	7	3	2	2	8:8	0	11	L D W L W
10	Estrela	8	2	4	2	14:15	-1	10	L L D W D
11	Maritimo	8	2	2	4	9:14	-5	8	L D L L L
12	Moreirense	8	2	2	4	8:15	-7	8	L D W L L
13	Famalicao	8	1	4	3	10:11	-1	7	L W D D D
14	Rio Ave	8	2	1	5	8:17	-9	7	W L D L L
15	Vitória SC	8	1	2	5	5:10	-5	5	L D L D L
16	Nacional	8	1	1	6	9:18	-9	4	L L L L L
17	Casa Pia	8	1	1	6	3:17	-14	4	L W L D L
18	Estoril Away	8	0	2	6	4:12	-8	2	L L L D L