PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
31.08.2026 19:15
Estádio da Luz
Referee: Helder Filipe Claudio Carvalho, Portugal
Benfica
Match Timeline
Estoril
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
31'
E. Barrenechea ↔ J. Palhinha
Benfica
40'
V. Pavlidis
Benfica
🔄
46'
Xeka ↔ J. Holsgrove
Estoril
51'
C. Lenglet · Assist: T. Araujo
Benfica
🔄
63'
Rafa Silva ↔ A. Schjelderup
Benfica
🔄
71'
A. Lacximicant ↔ Peixinho
Estoril
🔄
72'
R. Sanchez ↔ P. Carvalho
Estoril
🔄
72'
S. Andreou ↔ F. Garcia
Estoril
🟨
75'
Ismael Sierra Arnal
Estoril
🔄
80'
G. Sudakov ↔ G. Moreira
Benfica
🔄
80'
V. Pavlidis ↔ J. Duran
Benfica
🔄
80'
G. Prestianni ↔ D. Lukebakio
Benfica
🔄
82'
F. Medrano ↔ R. Guitane
Estoril
82'
Y. Begraoui · Assist: F. Medrano
Estoril

Benfica vs Estoril Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.9%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Benfica Win 82.9%
Draw 4%
Estoril Win 13.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Benfica2.42
Estoril0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Benfica Benfica
WWDLW
36 GF / 11 GA
Estoril Estoril
WLDWL
5 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
3.27
Average Goals Scored
0.71
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
8
BTTS Yes
2
9
Over 2.5
1
6.38
Shots on Goal
4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Benfica Benfica 11 matches
Estoril Estoril 7 matches
Benfica Statistic Estoril
7 Wins 1
2 Draws 3
2 Losses 3
36 Goals For 5
11 Goals Against 8
3.27 Avg Goals Scored 0.71
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
8 BTTS Yes 2
11 Over 1.5 6
9 Over 2.5 1
7 Over 3.5 0
3 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 4
6.38 Shots On Goal 4.67
6 Total Shots 13.67
4.38 Corners 5.67
40.3% Ball Possession 48.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Benfica won 13 times, Estoril won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:10 from Benfica's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
Predicted formations: Benfica 4-2-3-1 / Estoril 3-4-3
H2H summary: Benfica wins 13, draws 2, Estoril wins 0

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 6 0 0 15:2 13 18
W W W W W
2 6 5 1 0 21:4 17 16
W W W W W
3 6 4 2 0 15:6 9 14
D W W W W
4 6 4 2 0 11:4 7 14
W W D W W
5 6 3 1 2 8:5 3 10
L D W L W
6 6 2 4 0 14:12 2 10
D W D W D
7 5 3 1 1 7:5 2 10
W L W W D
8 6 2 2 2 7:9 -2 8
W W L D L
9 5 2 1 2 4:4 0 7
L L D W W
10 6 2 1 3 7:11 -4 7
L L L D W
11 6 2 1 3 7:13 -6 7
W L L W L
12 6 1 2 3 8:11 -3 5
W L D L D
13 6 0 4 2 5:7 -2 4
D D D L L
14 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L W L
15 6 1 1 4 7:11 -4 4
L L L L W
16 6 1 1 4 5:14 -9 4
D L L W L
17 6 0 2 4 2:8 -6 2
L D L L L
18 6 0 1 5 1:15 -14 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2