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10.10.2026 13:00
Stadio Ciro Vigorito
Referee: Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi, Italy
Benevento
Match Timeline
Cesena
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
25'
Antonis Siatounis · Assist: David Okereke
Benevento
🟨
44'
Christian Kouan
Benevento
🔄
46'
Marco Dalla Vecchia ↔ Antonio Fiori
Cesena
🔄
46'
Emil Bohinen ↔ Matteo Guidi
Cesena
VAR
51'
Dimitri Bisoli
Cesena
🔄
62'
Davide Lamesta ↔ Christian Dalle Mura
Benevento
🔄
67'
Luca D'Andrea ↔ Alessandro Debenedetti
Cesena
🔄
68'
Riccardo Pagano ↔ Xavello Druiventak
Cesena
🔄
75'
Andrea Ciofi ↔ Vittorio Magni
Cesena
🔄
79'
Edoardo Pierozzi ↔ Raffaele Romano
Benevento
🔄
79'
David Okereke ↔ Luigi Cherubini
Benevento
🟨
81'
Luigi Cherubini
Benevento
🔄
84'
Mattia Maita ↔ Pier Luigi Simonetti
Benevento
🟨
85'
Stefano Scognamillo
Benevento
🟨
85'
Raffaele Romano
Benevento
🟨
86'
Francesco Salvemini
Benevento
⚽
90+3'
Luigi Cherubini · Assist: Pietro Saio
Benevento

Benevento vs Cesena Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 51.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
51.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Benevento Win 51.8%
Draw 17.5%
Cesena Win 30.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Benevento1.4
Cesena1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Benevento Benevento
L W W L D
6 GF / 5 GA
Cesena Cesena
D D D W D
7 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
8
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
5
3.14
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Benevento Benevento 11 matches
Cesena Cesena 10 matches
Benevento Statistic Cesena
5 Wins 4
2 Draws 5
4 Losses 1
19 Goals For 14
17 Goals Against 9
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
8 BTTS Yes 5
9 Over 1.5 8
7 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 2
3.14 Shots On Goal 3.5
12.57 Total Shots 11.5
5.14 Corners 4
43.3% Ball Possession 43.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Benevento expected to line up in 4-3-2-1 and Cesena in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cesena having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Cesena.

Benevento Analysis

Benevento are currently 7 in the standings with 7 points from 5 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, while the 6:5 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on F. Salvemini (2 goals), D. Lamesta (1 goals), E. Pierozzi (1 goals), with creative support from D. Lamesta (1 assists), M. Maita (1 assists), C. Kouan (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Cesena Analysis

Cesena sit 10 with 7 points after 5 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, while the 7:6 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on C. Shpendi (6 goals), A. Fiori (1 goals), with creative support from D. Bisoli (2 assists), M. Guidi (1 assists), X. Druiventak (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Benevento won 1 times, Cesena won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:5 from Benevento's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.5%)
Predicted formations: Benevento 4-3-2-1 / Cesena 4-3-3
H2H summary: Benevento wins 1, draws 0, Cesena wins 1

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 1 0 18:8 10 22
W W W W D
2 9 6 1 2 17:9 8 19
W W L W W
3 9 5 3 1 16:6 10 18
W W D D W
4 9 5 2 2 14:10 4 17
L W L W D
5 9 4 3 2 14:8 6 15
D W D W W
6 8 4 2 2 15:10 5 14
D W W D L
7 9 4 1 4 9:10 -1 13
W W L L L
8 9 3 4 2 10:9 1 13
L D L D W
9 9 3 3 3 13:10 3 12
D L D W L
10 9 2 5 2 10:13 -3 11
W L D L D
11 9 2 4 3 11:10 1 10
D L W D D
12 8 3 1 4 8:17 -9 10
L W D L W
13 8 2 3 3 15:13 2 9
D D L W L
14 9 2 3 4 8:11 -3 9
W L L D D
15 9 2 3 4 12:17 -5 9
L W D L L
16 8 3 3 2 9:8 1 8
W W D D D
17 9 2 1 6 8:15 -7 7
L L D L L
18 8 2 1 5 7:9 -2 7
L W W L L
19 9 1 2 6 8:18 -10 5
L D L L W
20 9 1 2 6 10:21 -11 5
D L D L L
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation