12.05.2026 22:00
Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra
Referee: A. Merlos
Belgrano Cordoba
Match Timeline
Union Santa Fe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
60'
F. Gonzalez ↔ R. Hernandes
Belgrano Cordoba
🔄
60'
N. Fernandez ↔ L. Gutierrez
Belgrano Cordoba
🔄
60'
L. Morales ↔ A. Falcon
Belgrano Cordoba
65'
A. Sanchez · Assist: E. Rigoni
Belgrano Cordoba
🟨
68'
Marcelo Estigarribia
Union Santa Fe
🔄
69'
B. Cuello ↔ T. Gonzalez
Union Santa Fe
🔄
69'
R. Profini ↔ L. Menossi
Union Santa Fe
🟨
76'
Lucas Menossi
Union Santa Fe
🔄
76'
L. Zelarayan ↔ F. Vazquez
Belgrano Cordoba
🔄
85'
M. Pitton ↔ F. Fragapane
Union Santa Fe
🔄
85'
M. Estigarribia ↔ D. Diaz
Union Santa Fe
🟨
86'
Franco Fragapane
Union Santa Fe
🟨
90+5'
Mateo Del Blanco
Union Santa Fe
🔄
90+1'
E. Rigoni ↔ A. Ocampo
Belgrano Cordoba
🔄
90'
L. Vargas ↔ A. Solari
Union Santa Fe
90'
R. Hernandes · Assist: F. Vazquez
Belgrano Cordoba

Belgrano Cordoba vs Union Santa Fe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 70.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
78.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
70.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Belgrano Cordoba Win 46%
Draw 21.1%
Union Santa Fe Win 33%
Expected Goals (xG)
Belgrano Cordoba1.17
Union Santa Fe1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba
WWDLW
21 GF / 13 GA
Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe
WLDWL
28 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.56
0.72
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
6
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
9
3.18
Shots on Goal
5.47

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 18 matches
Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 18 matches
Belgrano Cordoba Statistic Union Santa Fe
9 Wins 7
5 Draws 6
4 Losses 5
21 Goals For 28
13 Goals Against 21
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
0.72 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
6 BTTS Yes 10
9 Over 1.5 14
7 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 5
10 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 4
3.18 Shots On Goal 5.47
11.29 Total Shots 16.94
3.53 Corners 5.12
50.5% Ball Possession 49.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Union Santa Fe. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Belgrano Cordoba expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Union Santa Fe in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Union Santa Fe having the stronger overall control.

Belgrano Cordoba Analysis

Belgrano Cordoba come into this tie placed 17 in their league with 112 points from 89 matches. The return of - wins, - draws, and - defeats, together with a 0:0 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by L. Zelarayan (4 goals), F. Gonzalez (3 goals), F. Vazquez (2 goals), with creative support from L. Passerini (5 assists), N. Fernandez (4 assists), E. Rigoni (2 assists), and at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around a more cautious and defensive approach.

Union Santa Fe Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Union Santa Fe arrive from a league campaign that has them 13 with 120 points after 89 matches. With - wins, - draws, and - losses plus a goal ratio of 0:0, they bring poor form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on Cristian Tarragona (8 goals), M. Estigarribia (4 goals), B. Cuello (3 goals), with creative support from J. Palacios (6 assists), R. Profini (5 assists), Mateo Del Blanco (2 assists), while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Belgrano Cordoba won 6 times, Union Santa Fe won 0 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:6 from Belgrano Cordoba's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.08 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.9%)
Predicted formations: Belgrano Cordoba 3-4-1-2 / Union Santa Fe 4-4-2
H2H summary: Belgrano Cordoba wins 6, draws 6, Union Santa Fe wins 0

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
W L W D L
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
W W W D W
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
D D W D L
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W D L D W
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
D D D L W
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D W W L L
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
W D D D L
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L L L D L
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
D D D L L
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L D W D
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
D W L W W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
D L L L W
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
L W D D W
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L W L L D
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L D D L
Knockout Phase