03.05.2026 19:00
Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra
Referee: A. Gariano
Belgrano Cordoba
Match Timeline
Sarmiento Junin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
Santiago Salle
Sarmiento Junin
🔄
36'
A. Seyral ↔ M. Garcia
Sarmiento Junin
36'
F. Gonzalez · Assist: L. Passerini
Belgrano Cordoba
🟨
39'
Agustín Falcón
Belgrano Cordoba
43'
L. Suarez
Belgrano Cordoba
🔄
46'
P. Magnin ↔ J. Contrera
Sarmiento Junin
55'
R. Hernandes · Assist: A. Sanchez
Belgrano Cordoba
🔄
65'
E. Rigoni ↔ L. Zelarayan
Belgrano Cordoba
🔄
65'
S. Longo ↔ F. Vazquez
Belgrano Cordoba
🔄
65'
R. Hernandes ↔ R. Tulian
Belgrano Cordoba
🔄
71'
L. Passerini ↔ N. Fernandez
Belgrano Cordoba
🔄
71'
T. Santamaria ↔ J. M. Cabrera
Sarmiento Junin
🔄
72'
J. Marabel ↔ Diego Churin
Sarmiento Junin
🔄
79'
A. Falcon ↔ A. J. Benitez Cabrera
Belgrano Cordoba
86'
R. Tulian
Belgrano Cordoba

Belgrano Cordoba vs Sarmiento Junin Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.4%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
82.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Belgrano Cordoba Win 83.2%
Draw 0%
Sarmiento Junin Win 16.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Belgrano Cordoba1
Sarmiento Junin0.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba
WWDLW
16 GF / 13 GA
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin
WLDWL
14 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.88
0.81
Average Goals Conceded
1
6
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
6
3
Shots on Goal
3.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 16 matches
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin 16 matches
Belgrano Cordoba Statistic Sarmiento Junin
7 Wins 7
5 Draws 1
4 Losses 8
16 Goals For 14
13 Goals Against 16
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
0.81 Avg Goals Conceded 1
6 BTTS Yes 6
8 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 1
8 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 5
3 Shots On Goal 3.6
11.07 Total Shots 10.13
3.6 Corners 3.6
50.8% Ball Possession 47.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Belgrano Cordoba expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Sarmiento Junin in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sarmiento Junin having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Belgrano Cordoba arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 18 with 109 points compared to Sarmiento Junin in 28 on 89, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sarmiento Junin. Belgrano Cordoba have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Belgrano Cordoba Analysis

Belgrano Cordoba sit 18 with 109 points after 88 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted - wins, - draws, and - defeats, and the 0:0 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on L. Zelarayan (4 goals), F. Vazquez (2 goals), L. Gutierrez (2 goals), with creative support from N. Fernandez (4 assists), L. Passerini (3 assists), E. Rigoni (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sarmiento Junin Analysis

Sarmiento Junin sit 28 with 89 points after 88 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted - wins, - draws, and - defeats, and the 0:0 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Marabel (6 goals), Diego Churin (2 goals), C. Villalba (1 goals), with creative support from J. Marabel (3 assists), J. Contrera (2 assists), Jonatan Gómez (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Belgrano Cordoba won 3 times, Sarmiento Junin won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:4 from Belgrano Cordoba's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Belgrano Cordoba 3-4-1-2 / Sarmiento Junin 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Belgrano Cordoba wins 3, draws 3, Sarmiento Junin wins 1

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
W L W D L
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
W W W D W
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
D D W D L
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W D L D W
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
D D D L W
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D W W L L
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
W D D D L
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L L L D L
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
D D D L L
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L D W D
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
D W L W W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
D L L L W
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
L W D D W
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L W L L D
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L D D L
Knockout Phase