WORLD WORLD CUP
--.--.---- --:--
Lumen Field
Referee: Said Martinez, Honduras
Belgium
Match Timeline
Senegal
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
24'
H. Diarra
Senegal
🔄
46'
C. De Ketelaere ↔ R. Lukaku
Belgium
51'
I. Sarr · Assist: M. Niakhate
Senegal
🔄
56'
K. De Bruyne ↔ N. Raskin
Belgium
🔄
56'
J. Doku ↔ D. Lukebakio
Belgium
🔄
63'
H. Vanaken ↔ D. Moreira
Belgium
🟨
64'
Brandon Mechele
Belgium
🔄
66'
P. Gueye ↔ L. Camara
Senegal
🟨
67'
Lamine Camara
Senegal
🔄
73'
H. Diarra ↔ P. M. Sarr
Senegal
🔄
73'
I. Ndiaye ↔ I. Mbaye
Senegal
🔄
78'
M. De Cuyper ↔ T. Meunier
Belgium
86'
R. Lukaku · Assist: T. Meunier
Belgium
89'
Y. Tielemans · Assist: L. Trossard
Belgium
🔄
94'
S. Mane ↔ N. Jackson
Senegal
🔄
94'
I. Jakobs ↔ M. Diouf
Senegal
🔄
96'
I. Gueye ↔ B. Sapoko Ndiaye
Senegal
🔄
109'
L. Trossard ↔ A. Onana
Belgium
VAR
120'
Youri Tielemans
Belgium
120'
Y. Tielemans
Belgium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.6%
Odds 2.19
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.03
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.6%
2.19
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.75
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.03
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.28
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Belgium Win 75.6%
Draw 12.8%
Senegal Win 11.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Belgium2.2
Senegal1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Belgium Belgium
WWDLW
19 GF / 5 GA
Senegal Senegal
WLDWL
15 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
2.71
Average Goals Scored
2.14
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
4
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
5
6.86
Shots on Goal
3.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Belgium Belgium 7 matches
Senegal Senegal 7 matches
Belgium Statistic Senegal
4 Wins 3
3 Draws 1
0 Losses 3
19 Goals For 15
5 Goals Against 10
2.71 Avg Goals Scored 2.14
0.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
4 BTTS Yes 4
6 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 1
6.86 Shots On Goal 3.86
19.14 Total Shots 9.86
5.57 Corners 4.86
55.1% Ball Possession 41.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Belgium won 1 times, Senegal won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Belgium's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (88.4%)
Predicted formations: Belgium 4-2-3-1 / Senegal 4-3-3
Missing players: Belgium 1, Senegal 1
H2H summary: Belgium wins 1, draws 0, Senegal wins 0
Stats
Belgium Belgium
Senegal Senegal
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
11
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
3
4 Corner Kicks 2
22 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 2
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Goal 5
9 Shots off Goal 11
5 Blocked Shots 3
11 Shots insidebox 10
8 Shots outsidebox 9
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
699 Total passes 639
602 Passes accurate 536
1.80 expected_goals 3.54
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Belgium
Formation
Senegal
T. Courtois
T. Courtois
T. Castagne
T. Castagne
B. Mechele
B. Mechele
A. Theate
A. Theate
M. De Cuyper
M. De Cuyper
Y. Tielemans
⚽ 2
Y. Tielemans
H. Vanaken
H. Vanaken
L. Trossard
🎯
L. Trossard
K. De Bruyne
K. De Bruyne
J. Doku
J. Doku
C. De Ketelaere
C. De Ketelaere
M. Diaw
M. Diaw
K. Diatta
K. Diatta
P. Ciss
P. Ciss
M. Niakhate
🎯
M. Niakhate
I. Jakobs
I. Jakobs
H. Diarra
H. Diarra
I. Gueye
I. Gueye
P. Gueye
P. Gueye
I. Ndiaye
I. Ndiaye
I. Sarr
I. Sarr
S. Mane
S. Mane
Belgium 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
T. Courtois
G
21
T. Castagne
D
4
B. Mechele
🟨 64'
D
3
A. Theate
D
5
M. De Cuyper
↓ 78'
D
8
Y. Tielemans
⚽ 89' ⚽ 120'
M
20
H. Vanaken
↓ 63'
M
10
L. Trossard
🎯 89' ↓ 109'
M
7
K. De Bruyne
↓ 56'
M
11
J. Doku
↓ 56'
M
17
C. De Ketelaere
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
12
S. Lammens
G
13
M. Penders
G
6
A. Witsel
M
9
R. Lukaku
⚽ 86' ↑ 46'
F
22
A. Saelemaekers
F
23
N. Raskin
↑ 56'
M
24
A. Onana
↑ 109'
M
25
N. Ngoy
D
26
M. Fernandez-Pardo
F
19
D. Moreira
↑ 63'
F
15
T. Meunier
🎯 86' ↑ 78'
D
14
D. Lukebakio
↑ 56'
F
16
K. De Winter
D
18
J. Seys
D
Senegal 4-3-3
Starting XI
23
M. Diaw
G
15
K. Diatta
D
6
P. Ciss
D
19
M. Niakhate
🎯 51'
D
14
I. Jakobs
↓ 94'
D
21
H. Diarra
⚽ 24' ↓ 73'
M
5
I. Gueye
↓ 96'
M
26
P. Gueye
↓ 66'
M
13
I. Ndiaye
↓ 73'
F
18
I. Sarr
⚽ 51'
F
10
S. Mane
↓ 94'
F
Substitutes
1
Y. Diouf
G
3
K. Koulibaly
D
11
N. Jackson
↑ 94'
F
9
B. Dieng
F
24
A. Mendy
D
2
M. Sarr
D
8
L. Camara
↑ 66' 🟨 67'
M
7
A. Diao
F
4
A. Seck
D
12
C. Ndiaye
F
17
P. M. Sarr
↑ 73'
M
25
M. Diouf
↑ 94'
D
20
I. Mbaye
↑ 73'
F
22
B. Sapoko Ndiaye
↑ 96'
M
Last matches: Belgium
07.07.26
Wor
Belgium
USA
4
1
W
27.06.26
Wor
Belgium
New Zealand
5
1
W
21.06.26
Wor
Belgium
Iran
0
0
D
15.06.26
Wor
Belgium
Egypt
1
1
D
06.06.26
Fri
Belgium
Tunisia
5
0
W
02.06.26
Fri
Belgium
Croatia
2
0
W
01.04.26
Fri
Belgium
Mexico
1
1
D
28.03.26
Fri
Belgium
USA
5
2
W
18.11.25
Wor
Belgium
Liechtenstein
7
0
W
15.11.25
Wor
Belgium
Kazakhstan
1
1
D
13.10.25
Wor
Belgium
Wales
4
2
W
10.10.25
Wor
Belgium
FYR Macedonia
0
0
D
07.09.25
Wor
Belgium
Kazakhstan
6
0
W
04.09.25
Wor
Belgium
Liechtenstein
6
0
W
09.06.25
Wor
Belgium
Wales
4
3
W
06.06.25
Wor
Belgium
FYR Macedonia
1
1
D
23.03.25
UEF
Belgium
Ukraine
3
0
W
20.03.25
UEF
Belgium
Ukraine
1
3
L
17.11.24
UEF
Belgium
Israel
0
1
L
14.11.24
UEF
Belgium
Italy
0
1
L
Last matches: Senegal
26.06.26
Wor
Senegal
Iraq
5
0
W
23.06.26
Wor
Senegal
Norway
2
3
L
16.06.26
Wor
Senegal
France
1
3
L
09.06.26
Fri
Senegal
Saudi Arabia
0
0
D
31.05.26
Fri
Senegal
USA
2
3
L
31.03.26
Fri
Senegal
Gambia
3
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
Senegal
Peru
2
0
W
H2H: Belgium vs Senegal
01.07.26
H2H
Belgium
Senegal
3
2
W
Last matches: Belgium
21.06.26
Wor
Belgium
Iran
0
0
D
15.06.26
Wor
Belgium
Egypt
1
1
D
06.06.26
Fri
Belgium
Tunisia
5
0
W
18.11.25
Wor
Belgium
Liechtenstein
7
0
W
10.10.25
Wor
Belgium
FYR Macedonia
0
0
D
07.09.25
Wor
Belgium
Kazakhstan
6
0
W
09.06.25
Wor
Belgium
Wales
4
3
W
23.03.25
UEF
Belgium
Ukraine
3
0
W
14.11.24
UEF
Belgium
Italy
0
1
L
14.10.24
UEF
Belgium
France
1
2
L
06.09.24
UEF
Belgium
Israel
3
1
W
H2H at home: Belgium
01.07.26
H2H
Belgium
Senegal
3
2
W
Last matches: Senegal
23.06.26
Wor
Senegal
Norway
2
3
L
16.06.26
Wor
Senegal
France
1
3
L
09.06.26
Fri
Senegal
Saudi Arabia
0
0
D
31.05.26
Fri
Senegal
USA
2
3
L
H2H away: Senegal
01.07.26
H2H
Belgium
Senegal
3
2
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.76
Draw 3.33
Home 2.19
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.26
Draw 2.25
Home 2.81
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.0 1.13
Over 1.25 1.20
Over 1.5 1.31
Over 1.75 1.38
Over 2.0 1.49
Over 2.25 1.76
Over 2.5 2.03
Over 2.75 2.30
Over 3.0 2.77
Over 3.25 3.09
Over 3.5 3.43
Under 1.0 5.49
Under 1.25 4.68
Under 1.5 3.60
Under 1.75 3.16
Under 2.0 2.72
Under 2.25 2.15
Under 2.5 1.88
Under 2.75 1.67
Under 3.0 1.48
Under 3.25 1.39
Under 3.5 1.33
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.70
Draw 3.20
Home 2.15
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.20
Home 2.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 2.40
Home 2.40
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.5 1.91
Over 3.5 3.40
Over 4.5 6.50
Over 5.5 13.00
Over 6.5 26.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 10.00
Under 1.5 3.75
Under 2.5 1.91
Under 3.5 1.33
Under 4.5 1.11
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.68
Draw 3.54
Home 2.17
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.27
Draw 2.11
Home 2.76
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.76
Draw 2.51
Home 2.46
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.02
Over 1.0 1.04
Over 1.25 1.17
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 1.75 1.37
Over 2.0 1.48
Over 2.25 1.76
Over 2.5 1.99
Over 2.75 2.22
Over 3.0 2.72
Over 3.25 3.02
Over 3.5 3.38
Over 3.75 4.18
Over 4.0 5.85
Over 4.25 6.16
Over 4.5 6.55
Over 5.0 12.00
Over 5.5 14.50
Over 6.5 26.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 9.60
Under 0.75 9.25
Under 1.0 8.30
Under 1.25 4.67
Under 1.5 3.42
Under 1.75 3.03
Under 2.0 2.60
Under 2.25 2.14
Under 2.5 1.87
Under 2.75 1.64
Under 3.0 1.44
Under 3.25 1.35
Under 3.5 1.29
Under 3.75 1.19
Under 4.0 1.10
Under 4.25 1.07
Under 4.5 1.06
Under 5.0 1.03
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.70
Draw 3.25
Home 2.14
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.85
Draw 2.12
Home 2.60
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.55
Draw 2.50
Home 2.43
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.27
Over 1.75 1.35
Over 2.0 1.46
Over 2.25 1.70
Over 2.5 1.95
Over 2.75 2.23
Over 3.0 2.70
Over 3.25 3.00
Over 3.5 3.35
Over 4.5 6.75
Over 5.5 14.00
Under 0.5 10.00
Under 1.5 3.60
Under 1.75 3.15
Under 2.0 2.75
Under 2.25 2.15
Under 2.5 1.85
Under 2.75 1.66
Under 3.0 1.47
Under 3.25 1.38
Under 3.5 1.30
Under 4.5 1.09
Under 5.5 1.01

Standings

Group G
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 1 2 0 6:2 4 5
W W W D D
2 3 1 2 0 5:3 2 5
L W D W D
3 3 0 3 0 3:3 0 3
D D D
4 3 0 1 2 4:10 -6 1
L L D
Round of 32

Missing Players

Belgium 1 missing
-
Z. Debast
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
Senegal 1 missing
-
É. Mendy
Missing Fixture Twisted Knee
OUT