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WORLD › WORLD CUP
--.--.---- --:--
Belgium
AET
3 - 2
Senegal
Lumen Field
Referee: Said Martinez, Honduras
Belgium
Match Timeline
Senegal
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
24'
H. Diarra
Senegal
🔄
46'
C. De Ketelaere ↔ R. Lukaku
Belgium
⚽
51'
I. Sarr · Assist: M. Niakhate
Senegal
🔄
56'
K. De Bruyne ↔ N. Raskin
Belgium
🔄
56'
J. Doku ↔ D. Lukebakio
Belgium
🔄
63'
H. Vanaken ↔ D. Moreira
Belgium
🟨
64'
Brandon Mechele
Belgium
🔄
66'
P. Gueye ↔ L. Camara
Senegal
🟨
67'
Lamine Camara
Senegal
🔄
73'
H. Diarra ↔ P. M. Sarr
Senegal
🔄
73'
I. Ndiaye ↔ I. Mbaye
Senegal
🔄
78'
M. De Cuyper ↔ T. Meunier
Belgium
⚽
86'
R. Lukaku · Assist: T. Meunier
Belgium
⚽
89'
Y. Tielemans · Assist: L. Trossard
Belgium
🔄
94'
S. Mane ↔ N. Jackson
Senegal
🔄
94'
I. Jakobs ↔ M. Diouf
Senegal
🔄
96'
I. Gueye ↔ B. Sapoko Ndiaye
Senegal
🔄
109'
L. Trossard ↔ A. Onana
Belgium
VAR
120'
Youri Tielemans
Belgium
⚽
120'
Y. Tielemans
Belgium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Belgium Win 75.6%
Draw 12.8%
Senegal Win 11.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Belgium2.2
Senegal1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Belgium Belgium
WWDLW
19 GF / 5 GA
Senegal Senegal
WLDWL
15 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
2.71
Average Goals Scored
2.14
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
4
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
5
6.86
Shots on Goal
3.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Belgium Belgium 7 matches
Senegal Senegal 7 matches
Belgium Statistic Senegal
4 Wins 3
3 Draws 1
0 Losses 3
19 Goals For 15
5 Goals Against 10
2.71 Avg Goals Scored 2.14
0.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
4 BTTS Yes 4
6 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 1
6.86 Shots On Goal 3.86
19.14 Total Shots 9.86
5.57 Corners 4.86
55.1% Ball Possession 41.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Belgium won 1 times, Senegal won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Belgium's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (88.4%)
Predicted formations: Belgium 4-2-3-1 / Senegal 4-3-3
Missing players: Belgium 1, Senegal 1
H2H summary: Belgium wins 1, draws 0, Senegal wins 0
Stats
Belgium Belgium
Senegal Senegal
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
11
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
3
4 Corner Kicks 2
22 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 2
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Goal 5
9 Shots off Goal 11
5 Blocked Shots 3
11 Shots insidebox 10
8 Shots outsidebox 9
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
699 Total passes 639
602 Passes accurate 536
1.80 expected_goals 3.54
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Belgium
Formation
Senegal
T. Courtois
T. Courtois
T. Castagne
T. Castagne
B. Mechele
B. Mechele
A. Theate
A. Theate
M. De Cuyper
↓
M. De Cuyper
Y. Tielemans
⚽ 2
Y. Tielemans
H. Vanaken
↓
H. Vanaken
L. Trossard
🎯 ↓
L. Trossard
K. De Bruyne
↓
K. De Bruyne
J. Doku
↓
J. Doku
C. De Ketelaere
↓
C. De Ketelaere
M. Diaw
M. Diaw
K. Diatta
K. Diatta
P. Ciss
P. Ciss
M. Niakhate
🎯
M. Niakhate
I. Jakobs
↓
I. Jakobs
H. Diarra
⚽ ↓
H. Diarra
I. Gueye
↓
I. Gueye
P. Gueye
↓
P. Gueye
I. Ndiaye
↓
I. Ndiaye
I. Sarr
⚽
I. Sarr
S. Mane
↓
S. Mane
Belgium 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
T. Courtois
G
21
T. Castagne
D
4
B. Mechele
🟨 64'
D
3
A. Theate
D
5
M. De Cuyper
↓ 78'
D
8
Y. Tielemans
⚽ 89' ⚽ 120'
M
20
H. Vanaken
↓ 63'
M
10
L. Trossard
🎯 89' ↓ 109'
M
7
K. De Bruyne
↓ 56'
M
11
J. Doku
↓ 56'
M
17
C. De Ketelaere
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
12
S. Lammens
G
13
M. Penders
G
6
A. Witsel
M
9
R. Lukaku
⚽ 86' ↑ 46'
F
22
A. Saelemaekers
F
23
N. Raskin
↑ 56'
M
24
A. Onana
↑ 109'
M
25
N. Ngoy
D
26
M. Fernandez-Pardo
F
19
D. Moreira
↑ 63'
F
15
T. Meunier
🎯 86' ↑ 78'
D
14
D. Lukebakio
↑ 56'
F
16
K. De Winter
D
18
J. Seys
D
Senegal 4-3-3
Starting XI
23
M. Diaw
G
15
K. Diatta
D
6
P. Ciss
D
19
M. Niakhate
🎯 51'
D
14
I. Jakobs
↓ 94'
D
21
H. Diarra
⚽ 24' ↓ 73'
M
5
I. Gueye
↓ 96'
M
26
P. Gueye
↓ 66'
M
13
I. Ndiaye
↓ 73'
F
18
I. Sarr
⚽ 51'
F
10
S. Mane
↓ 94'
F
Substitutes
1
Y. Diouf
G
3
K. Koulibaly
D
11
N. Jackson
↑ 94'
F
9
B. Dieng
F
24
A. Mendy
D
2
M. Sarr
D
8
L. Camara
↑ 66' 🟨 67'
M
7
A. Diao
F
4
A. Seck
D
12
C. Ndiaye
F
17
P. M. Sarr
↑ 73'
M
25
M. Diouf
↑ 94'
D
20
I. Mbaye
↑ 73'
F
22
B. Sapoko Ndiaye
↑ 96'
M
Last matches: Belgium
10.07.26
Wor
Belgium
Spain
1
2
L
07.07.26
Wor
Belgium
USA
4
1
W
27.06.26
Wor
Belgium
New Zealand
5
1
W
21.06.26
Wor
Belgium
Iran
0
0
D
15.06.26
Wor
Belgium
Egypt
1
1
D
06.06.26
Fri
Belgium
Tunisia
5
0
W
02.06.26
Fri
Belgium
Croatia
2
0
W
01.04.26
Fri
Belgium
Mexico
1
1
D
28.03.26
Fri
Belgium
USA
5
2
W
18.11.25
Wor
Belgium
Liechtenstein
7
0
W
15.11.25
Wor
Belgium
Kazakhstan
1
1
D
13.10.25
Wor
Belgium
Wales
4
2
W
10.10.25
Wor
Belgium
FYR Macedonia
0
0
D
07.09.25
Wor
Belgium
Kazakhstan
6
0
W
04.09.25
Wor
Belgium
Liechtenstein
6
0
W
09.06.25
Wor
Belgium
Wales
4
3
W
06.06.25
Wor
Belgium
FYR Macedonia
1
1
D
23.03.25
UEF
Belgium
Ukraine
3
0
W
20.03.25
UEF
Belgium
Ukraine
1
3
L
17.11.24
UEF
Belgium
Israel
0
1
L
Last matches: Senegal
26.06.26
Wor
Senegal
Iraq
5
0
W
23.06.26
Wor
Senegal
Norway
2
3
L
16.06.26
Wor
Senegal
France
1
3
L
09.06.26
Fri
Senegal
Saudi Arabia
0
0
D
31.05.26
Fri
Senegal
USA
2
3
L
31.03.26
Fri
Senegal
Gambia
3
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
Senegal
Peru
2
0
W
H2H: Belgium vs Senegal
01.07.26
H2H
Belgium
Senegal
3
2
W
Last matches: Belgium
21.06.26
Wor
Belgium
Iran
0
0
D
15.06.26
Wor
Belgium
Egypt
1
1
D
06.06.26
Fri
Belgium
Tunisia
5
0
W
18.11.25
Wor
Belgium
Liechtenstein
7
0
W
10.10.25
Wor
Belgium
FYR Macedonia
0
0
D
07.09.25
Wor
Belgium
Kazakhstan
6
0
W
09.06.25
Wor
Belgium
Wales
4
3
W
23.03.25
UEF
Belgium
Ukraine
3
0
W
14.11.24
UEF
Belgium
Italy
0
1
L
14.10.24
UEF
Belgium
France
1
2
L
06.09.24
UEF
Belgium
Israel
3
1
W
H2H at home: Belgium
01.07.26
H2H
Belgium
Senegal
3
2
W
Last matches: Senegal
23.06.26
Wor
Senegal
Norway
2
3
L
16.06.26
Wor
Senegal
France
1
3
L
09.06.26
Fri
Senegal
Saudi Arabia
0
0
D
31.05.26
Fri
Senegal
USA
2
3
L
H2H away: Senegal
01.07.26
H2H
Belgium
Senegal
3
2
L

Standings

Group G
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Belgium Home
3 1 2 0 6:2 4 5
L W W W D
2
Egypt
3 1 2 0 5:3 2 5
L W D W D
3
Iran
3 0 3 0 3:3 0 3
D D D
4
New Zealand
3 0 1 2 4:10 -6 1
L L D
Round of 32

Missing Players

Belgium 1 missing
-
Z. Debast
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
Senegal 1 missing
-
É. Mendy
Missing Fixture Twisted Knee
OUT