WORLD WORLD CUP
01.07.2026 20:00
Lumen Field
Referee: Said Martinez, Honduras
Belgium
Match Timeline
Senegal
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
24'
H. Diarra
Senegal
🔄
46'
C. De Ketelaere ↔ R. Lukaku
Belgium
51'
I. Sarr · Assist: M. Niakhate
Senegal
🔄
56'
K. De Bruyne ↔ N. Raskin
Belgium
🔄
56'
J. Doku ↔ D. Lukebakio
Belgium
🔄
63'
H. Vanaken ↔ D. Moreira
Belgium
🟨
64'
Brandon Mechele
Belgium
🔄
66'
P. Gueye ↔ L. Camara
Senegal
🟨
67'
Lamine Camara
Senegal
🔄
73'
H. Diarra ↔ P. M. Sarr
Senegal
🔄
73'
I. Ndiaye ↔ I. Mbaye
Senegal
🔄
78'
M. De Cuyper ↔ T. Meunier
Belgium
86'
R. Lukaku · Assist: T. Meunier
Belgium
89'
Y. Tielemans · Assist: L. Trossard
Belgium
🔄
94'
S. Mane ↔ N. Jackson
Senegal
🔄
94'
I. Jakobs ↔ M. Diouf
Senegal
🔄
96'
I. Gueye ↔ B. Sapoko Ndiaye
Senegal
🔄
109'
L. Trossard ↔ A. Onana
Belgium
VAR
120'
Youri Tielemans
Belgium
120'
Y. Tielemans
Belgium

Belgium vs Senegal Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.6%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Belgium Win 75.6%
Draw 12.8%
Senegal Win 11.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Belgium2.2
Senegal1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Belgium Belgium
WWDLW
19 GF / 5 GA
Senegal Senegal
WLDWL
15 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
2.71
Average Goals Scored
2.14
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
4
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
5
6.86
Shots on Goal
3.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Belgium Belgium 7 matches
Senegal Senegal 7 matches
Belgium Statistic Senegal
4 Wins 3
3 Draws 1
0 Losses 3
19 Goals For 15
5 Goals Against 10
2.71 Avg Goals Scored 2.14
0.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
4 BTTS Yes 4
6 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 1
6.86 Shots On Goal 3.86
19.14 Total Shots 9.86
5.57 Corners 4.86
55.1% Ball Possession 41.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Belgium won 1 times, Senegal won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Belgium's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (88.4%)
Predicted formations: Belgium 4-2-3-1 / Senegal 4-3-3
Missing players: Belgium 1, Senegal 1
H2H summary: Belgium wins 1, draws 0, Senegal wins 0

Standings

Group G
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 1 2 0 6:2 4 5
L W W W D
2 3 1 2 0 5:3 2 5
L W D W D
3 3 0 3 0 3:3 0 3
D D D
4 3 0 1 2 4:10 -6 1
L L D
Round of 32