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06.10.2026 18:45
Illovszky Rudolf Stadion
Referee: Sascha Stegemann
Belarus
Match Timeline
Finland
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
1'
Artem Shumanskiy · Assist: German Barkovskiy
Belarus
⚽
15'
Zakhar Volkov
Belarus
🟨
27'
Artem Shumanskiy
Belarus
🟨
27'
German Barkovskiy
Belarus
🟨
38'
Valery Bocherov
Belarus
🔄
45'
Valery Bocherov ↔ Vitali Lisakovich
Belarus
🔄
45'
Artem Shumanskiy ↔ Anton Kovalev
Belarus
🔄
58'
adrian svanback ↔ Joel Pohjanpalo
Finland
🔄
58'
Onni Valakari ↔ Oiva Jukkola
Finland
🔄
62'
German Barkovskiy ↔ Trofim Melnichenko
Belarus
🔄
67'
Matti Peltola ↔ Santeri Väänänen
Finland
🔄
67'
Juho Lähteenmäki ↔ Benjamin Källman
Finland
🔄
74'
Ryan Mahuta ↔ Daniel Håkans
Finland
🟨
75'
Benjamin Källman
Finland
🟨
83'
Kirill Pechenin
Belarus
🔄
84'
Aleksandr Selyava ↔ Evgeni Yablonski
Belarus
🟨
90+2'
Samuli Miettinen
Finland

Belarus vs Finland Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 65.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
65.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
77.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Belarus Win 34.1%
Draw 30.4%
Finland Win 35.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Belarus1.68
Finland1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Belarus Belarus
W D L D W
10 GF / 5 GA
Finland Finland
W D W L L
10 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.86
Average Goals Scored
2
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
3
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
4
2.29
Shots on Goal
3.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Belarus Belarus 7 matches
Finland Finland 5 matches
Belarus Statistic Finland
4 Wins 2
2 Draws 1
1 Losses 2
13 Goals For 10
6 Goals Against 7
1.86 Avg Goals Scored 2
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
3 BTTS Yes 2
5 Over 1.5 4
4 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 2
2.29 Shots On Goal 3.8
6.43 Total Shots 12
2.14 Corners 6
30.7% Ball Possession 55.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Belarus won 0 times, Finland won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:2 from Belarus's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (69.6%)
Predicted formations: Belarus 4-2-3-1 / Finland 4-3-3
H2H summary: Belarus wins 0, draws 0, Finland wins 1

Standings

League C - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 3 0 1 8:3 5 9
W L W W
2 4 2 1 1 5:2 3 7
W W D L
3 4 2 1 1 9:2 7 7
L W D W
4 4 0 0 4 1:16 -15 0
L L L L
Promotion
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