CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Beijing Workers' Stadium
Referee: J. Jin
Beijing Guoan
Match Timeline
Wuhan Three Towns
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Yiming Liu
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
10'
Zhang Xizhe ↔ Serginho
Beijing Guoan
🔄
45'
Zheng Kaimu ↔ Li Ang
Wuhan Three Towns
VAR
55'
Gustavo Sauer
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
61'
Yue Tze-Nam ↔ He Yupeng
Beijing Guoan
🔄
61'
Lin Liangming ↔ B. Nkololo
Beijing Guoan
🟨
64'
Jizheng Xiong
Wuhan Three Towns
66'
G. Ramos · Assist: Serginho
Beijing Guoan
🔄
68'
Wang Jinxian ↔ K. Bevis
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
68'
J. Xiong ↔ Li Shenyuan
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
75'
Wang Gang ↔ Deng Jiefu
Beijing Guoan
🔄
77'
Xu Haofeng ↔ Liu Binbin
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
77'
Liao Chengjian ↔ Long Wei
Wuhan Three Towns
🟨
90+1'
Zhang Yuning
Beijing Guoan
🟨
90+7'
Gustavo Sauer
Wuhan Three Towns

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.8%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Beijing Guoan Win 65.8%
Draw 5.9%
Wuhan Three Towns Win 28.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Beijing Guoan1.84
Wuhan Three Towns1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan
WWDLW
26 GF / 23 GA
Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns
WLDWL
22 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
2
11
BTTS Yes
11
10
Over 2.5
9
5.27
Shots on Goal
3.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 15 matches
Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 15 matches
Beijing Guoan Statistic Wuhan Three Towns
5 Wins 2
5 Draws 7
5 Losses 6
26 Goals For 22
23 Goals Against 30
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 2
11 BTTS Yes 11
13 Over 1.5 14
10 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 3
5.27 Shots On Goal 3.8
14.47 Total Shots 11.33
6.6 Corners 4.73
61.3% Ball Possession 45.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Beijing Guoan's more proactive style and Wuhan Three Towns's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Wuhan Three Towns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Beijing Guoan expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Wuhan Three Towns in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Wuhan Three Towns having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Beijing Guoan Analysis

Beijing Guoan are currently 10 in the standings with 15 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 26:23 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Wuhan Three Towns Analysis

Wuhan Three Towns sit 15 with 8 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 22:30, reflects poor form . Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Beijing Guoan won 4 times, Wuhan Three Towns won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:15 from Beijing Guoan's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.2%)
Predicted formations: Beijing Guoan 4-4-2 / Wuhan Three Towns 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Beijing Guoan wins 4, draws 3, Wuhan Three Towns wins 3
Stats
Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
7 Corner Kicks 2
17 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 1
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Goal 2
8 Shots off Goal 5
3 Blocked Shots 2
14 Shots insidebox 6
5 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 7
488 Total passes 256
433 Passes accurate 185
2.83 expected_goals 0.64
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Beijing Guoan
Formation
Wuhan Three Towns
Hou Sen
Hou Sen
Yue Tze-Nam
Yue Tze-Nam
Wang Gang
Wang Gang
G. Ramos
G. Ramos
Bai Yang
Bai Yang
Zhang Xizhe
Zhang Xizhe
Dawhan
Dawhan
A. Konte
A. Konte
Lin Liangming
Lin Liangming
Zhang Yuning
Zhang Yuning
F. Abreu
F. Abreu
Fang Jingqi
Fang Jingqi
Ming Tian
Ming Tian
He Guan
He Guan
Zheng Kaimu
Zheng Kaimu
Xu Haofeng
Xu Haofeng
J. Xiong
J. Xiong
Liao Chengjian
Liao Chengjian
Adriano Firmino
Adriano Firmino
Wang Jinxian
Wang Jinxian
Gustavo Sauer
Gustavo Sauer
J. Cadiz
J. Cadiz
Beijing Guoan 4-4-2
Starting XI
34
Hou Sen
G
21
Yue Tze-Nam
↓ 61'
D
27
Wang Gang
↓ 75'
D
5
G. Ramos
⚽ 66'
D
26
Bai Yang
D
10
Zhang Xizhe
↓ 10'
M
23
Dawhan
M
8
A. Konte
M
11
Lin Liangming
↓ 61'
M
9
Zhang Yuning
🟨 90+1'
F
29
F. Abreu
F
Substitutes
39
Zhang Jianzhi
G
6
Chi Zhongguo
M
37
Cao Yongjing
M
3
He Yupeng
↑ 61'
D
36
Jia Feifan
M
17
Yang Liyu
F
7
Serginho
🎯 66' ↑ 10'
M
20
B. Nkololo
↑ 61'
F
30
Fan Shuangjie
D
47
Deng Jiefu
↑ 75'
D
Wuhan Three Towns 4-4-2
Starting XI
22
Fang Jingqi
G
23
Ming Tian
D
2
He Guan
D
13
Zheng Kaimu
↓ 45'
D
4
Xu Haofeng
↓ 77'
D
21
J. Xiong
↓ 68' 🟨 64'
M
12
Liao Chengjian
↓ 77'
M
20
Adriano Firmino
M
8
Wang Jinxian
↓ 68'
M
7
Gustavo Sauer
🟨 90+7'
F
29
J. Cadiz
F
Substitutes
31
Guo Jiayu
G
11
Li Ang
↑ 45'
D
33
Liu Binbin
↑ 77'
M
30
Zhong Jinbao
M
10
K. Bevis
↑ 68'
F
3
M. Yamkam
D
16
Min Zixi
M
19
Liu Yiming
🟨 -5'
D
6
Long Wei
↑ 77'
M
9
Zheng Haoqian
F
5
Li Shenyuan
↑ 68'
D
37
Wang Kang
D
Last matches: Beijing Guoan
22.08.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Yunnan Yukun
3
3
D
18.08.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua
3
0
W
15.08.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Tianjin Teda
4
2
W
07.08.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Sichuan Jiuniu
4
0
W
01.08.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Hangzhou Greentown
2
1
W
26.07.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Chengdu Better City
2
2
D
17.07.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Shenyang Urban
1
1
D
04.07.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Shandong Luneng
2
0
W
30.05.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Chongqing Tongliang Long
3
2
W
23.05.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Henan Jianye
1
2
L
19.05.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Qingdao Youth Island
1
1
D
15.05.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Qingdao Jonoon
4
2
W
10.05.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
SHANGHAI SIPG
2
2
D
06.05.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Dalian Zhixing
3
0
W
02.05.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Yunnan Yukun
3
3
D
25.04.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Tianjin Teda
2
4
L
21.04.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Sichuan Jiuniu
1
0
W
17.04.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Hangzhou Greentown
0
0
D
12.04.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Chengdu Better City
1
2
L
04.04.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Shenyang Urban
1
2
L
Last matches: Wuhan Three Towns
22.08.26
Sup
Wuhan Three Towns
Tianjin Teda
0
0
D
14.08.26
Sup
Wuhan Three Towns
SHANGHAI SIPG
2
3
L
01.08.26
Sup
Wuhan Three Towns
Chengdu Better City
1
1
D
25.07.26
Sup
Wuhan Three Towns
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1
0
W
18.07.26
Sup
Wuhan Three Towns
Sichuan Jiuniu
2
0
W
04.07.26
Sup
Wuhan Three Towns
Dalian Zhixing
2
3
L
31.05.26
Sup
Wuhan Three Towns
Yunnan Yukun
1
1
D
24.05.26
Sup
Wuhan Three Towns
Shandong Luneng
3
3
D
20.05.26
Sup
Wuhan Three Towns
Shanghai Shenhua
2
2
D
16.05.26
Sup
Wuhan Three Towns
Shenyang Urban
2
2
D
10.05.26
Sup
Wuhan Three Towns
Qingdao Youth Island
1
1
D
06.05.26
Sup
Wuhan Three Towns
Qingdao Jonoon
1
3
L
01.05.26
Sup
Wuhan Three Towns
Tianjin Teda
2
2
D
25.04.26
Sup
Wuhan Three Towns
SHANGHAI SIPG
0
4
L
21.04.26
Sup
Wuhan Three Towns
Hangzhou Greentown
2
0
W
17.04.26
Sup
Wuhan Three Towns
Chengdu Better City
0
1
L
11.04.26
Sup
Wuhan Three Towns
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1
2
L
05.04.26
Sup
Wuhan Three Towns
Sichuan Jiuniu
2
5
L
21.03.26
Sup
Wuhan Three Towns
Henan Jianye
1
1
D
13.03.26
Sup
Wuhan Three Towns
Dalian Zhixing
4
1
W
H2H: Beijing Guoan vs Wuhan Three Towns
27.06.26
H2H
Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns
1
0
W
08.03.26
H2H
Wuhan Three Towns
Beijing Guoan
0
2
W
25.08.25
H2H
Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns
4
0
W
15.04.25
H2H
Wuhan Three Towns
Beijing Guoan
4
4
D
07.07.24
H2H
Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns
1
2
L
30.03.24
H2H
Wuhan Three Towns
Beijing Guoan
0
1
W
16.07.23
H2H
Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns
1
1
D
20.04.23
H2H
Wuhan Three Towns
Beijing Guoan
1
1
D
08.11.22
H2H
Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns
0
2
L
12.08.22
H2H
Wuhan Three Towns
Beijing Guoan
5
1
L
Last matches: Beijing Guoan
22.08.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Yunnan Yukun
3
3
D
07.08.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Sichuan Jiuniu
4
0
W
01.08.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Hangzhou Greentown
2
1
W
17.07.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Shenyang Urban
1
1
D
04.07.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Shandong Luneng
2
0
W
23.05.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Henan Jianye
1
2
L
15.05.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Qingdao Jonoon
4
2
W
10.05.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
SHANGHAI SIPG
2
2
D
06.05.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Dalian Zhixing
3
0
W
25.04.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Tianjin Teda
2
4
L
12.04.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Chengdu Better City
1
2
L
21.03.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua
1
1
D
H2H at home: Beijing Guoan
27.06.26
H2H
Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns
1
0
W
25.08.25
H2H
Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns
4
0
W
07.07.24
H2H
Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns
1
2
L
16.07.23
H2H
Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns
1
1
D
08.11.22
H2H
Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns
0
2
L
Last matches: Wuhan Three Towns
01.08.26
Sup
Wuhan Three Towns
Chengdu Better City
1
1
D
04.07.26
Sup
Wuhan Three Towns
Dalian Zhixing
2
3
L
24.05.26
Sup
Wuhan Three Towns
Shandong Luneng
3
3
D
20.05.26
Sup
Wuhan Three Towns
Shanghai Shenhua
2
2
D
10.05.26
Sup
Wuhan Three Towns
Qingdao Youth Island
1
1
D
01.05.26
Sup
Wuhan Three Towns
Tianjin Teda
2
2
D
25.04.26
Sup
Wuhan Three Towns
SHANGHAI SIPG
0
4
L
11.04.26
Sup
Wuhan Three Towns
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1
2
L
05.04.26
Sup
Wuhan Three Towns
Sichuan Jiuniu
2
5
L
21.03.26
Sup
Wuhan Three Towns
Henan Jianye
1
1
D
H2H away: Wuhan Three Towns
27.06.26
H2H
Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns
1
0
L
25.08.25
H2H
Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns
4
0
L
07.07.24
H2H
Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns
1
2
W
16.07.23
H2H
Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns
1
1
D
08.11.22
H2H
Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns
0
2
W

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 14 6 4 49:29 20 48
L W L D D
2 24 11 8 5 48:32 16 36
D W W W W
3 24 8 12 4 28:29 -1 36
W D D W W
4 24 11 3 10 35:40 -5 36
W D L W D
5 24 10 5 9 49:45 4 35
D W W L W
6 24 12 3 9 42:40 2 33
L W W W L
7 24 7 9 8 25:28 -3 30
L D L L L
8 24 9 7 8 39:33 6 29
W D W W L
9 24 11 5 8 47:42 5 28
W L W W L
10 24 8 3 13 33:43 -10 27
D W L W L
11 23 8 6 9 34:40 -6 25
D L L W D
12 23 7 4 12 33:39 -6 25
D L L W L
13 23 8 6 9 31:33 -2 24
D L D D W
14 23 7 7 9 32:30 2 18
D L L W W
15 22 4 9 9 30:38 -8 16
D L D W W
16 24 6 3 15 32:46 -14 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation