Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
75.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Beijing Guoan
Sichuan Jiuniu
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Beijing Guoan
20 matches
Sichuan Jiuniu
21 matches
| Beijing Guoan | Statistic | Sichuan Jiuniu |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 7 |
| 7 | Draws | 2 |
| 5 | Losses | 12 |
| 34 | Goals For | 30 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 37 |
| 1.7 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.43 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 5.3 | Shots On Goal | 4.1 |
| 16.15 | Total Shots | 11.71 |
| 6.55 | Corners | 5.1 |
| 62.2% | Ball Possession | 44.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with Beijing Guoan's more proactive style and Sichuan Jiuniu's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Beijing Guoan expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Sichuan Jiuniu in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sichuan Jiuniu having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sichuan Jiuniu. Sichuan Jiuniu arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.
So far, Beijing Guoan have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 23 points from 19 matches. The record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 32:26 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Zhang Yuning (2 goals), Sai Erjini'ao (1 goals), with creative support from Aboubacar Konte (1 assists), Fabio Abreu (1 assists), Feifan Jia (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Sichuan Jiuniu sit 11 with 20 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 28:37, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Wesley Moraes (1 goals), Yiming Yang (1 goals), Tim Chow (1 goals), with creative support from Wesley Moraes (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Beijing Guoan won 3 times, Sichuan Jiuniu won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:7 from Beijing Guoan's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.
Beijing Guoan
8
4
2
4
4
3
Lineups
Beijing Guoan
Dalian Zhixing
Beijing Guoan
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
Tianjin Teda
Beijing Guoan
Hangzhou Greentown
Beijing Guoan
Chengdu Better City
Beijing Guoan
Shenyang Urban
Beijing Guoan
Shandong Luneng
Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns
Beijing Guoan
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Beijing Guoan
Henan Jianye
Beijing Guoan
Qingdao Youth Island
Beijing Guoan
Qingdao Jonoon
Beijing Guoan
SHANGHAI SIPG
Beijing Guoan
Dalian Zhixing
Beijing Guoan
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Guoan
Tianjin Teda
Beijing Guoan
Sichuan Jiuniu
Beijing Guoan
Hangzhou Greentown
Beijing Guoan
Chengdu Better City
Sichuan Jiuniu
SHANGHAI SIPG
Sichuan Jiuniu
Hangzhou Greentown
Sichuan Jiuniu
Shenyang Urban
Sichuan Jiuniu
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Sichuan Jiuniu
Yunnan Yukun
Sichuan Jiuniu
Wuhan Three Towns
Sichuan Jiuniu
Qingdao Youth Island
Sichuan Jiuniu
Tianjin Teda
Sichuan Jiuniu
Chengdu Better City
Sichuan Jiuniu
Qingdao Jonoon
Sichuan Jiuniu
Shanghai Shenhua
Sichuan Jiuniu
Dalian Zhixing
Sichuan Jiuniu
Henan Jianye
Sichuan Jiuniu
Shandong Luneng
Sichuan Jiuniu
SHANGHAI SIPG
Sichuan Jiuniu
Hangzhou Greentown
Sichuan Jiuniu
Shenyang Urban
Sichuan Jiuniu
Beijing Guoan
Sichuan Jiuniu
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Sichuan Jiuniu
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Guoan
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Guoan
Hangzhou Greentown
Beijing Guoan
Shenyang Urban
Beijing Guoan
Shandong Luneng
Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns
Beijing Guoan
Henan Jianye
Beijing Guoan
Qingdao Jonoon
Beijing Guoan
SHANGHAI SIPG
Beijing Guoan
Dalian Zhixing
Beijing Guoan
Tianjin Teda
Beijing Guoan
Chengdu Better City
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua
Sichuan Jiuniu
Shenyang Urban
Sichuan Jiuniu
Yunnan Yukun
Sichuan Jiuniu
Wuhan Three Towns
Sichuan Jiuniu
Tianjin Teda
Sichuan Jiuniu
Shanghai Shenhua
Sichuan Jiuniu
Henan Jianye
Sichuan Jiuniu
SHANGHAI SIPG
Sichuan Jiuniu
Hangzhou Greentown
Sichuan Jiuniu
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Sichuan Jiuniu
Qingdao Youth Island
Sichuan Jiuniu
Chengdu Better City
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 49:29 | 20 | 48 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 2 |
Beijing Guoan
Home
|
25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 49:33 | 16 | 37 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 36:41 | -5 | 37 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 28:29 | -1 | 36 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 45:42 | 3 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 49:45 | 4 | 35 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 40:33 | 7 | 32 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 30 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 49:45 | 4 | 28 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 |
Sichuan Jiuniu
Away
|
25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
| 11 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:40 | -6 | 25 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 33:39 | -6 | 25 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 31:33 | -2 | 24 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 32:30 | 2 | 18 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 30:38 | -8 | 16 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 32:46 | -14 | 14 |
L
L
L
L
L
|