Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
83%
|
1.22 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
1.40 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
1.39 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.15 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.62 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Beijing Guoan
Shandong Luneng
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Beijing Guoan
16 matches
Shandong Luneng
16 matches
| Beijing Guoan | Statistic | Shandong Luneng |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 8 |
| 5 | Draws | 3 |
| 5 | Losses | 5 |
| 27 | Goals For | 30 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 1.69 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.88 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.63 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 5.44 | Shots On Goal | 4.69 |
| 14.75 | Total Shots | 14.81 |
| 6.63 | Corners | 4.75 |
| 61.6% | Ball Possession | 51.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Beijing Guoan's more proactive style and Shandong Luneng's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Beijing Guoan expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Shandong Luneng in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shandong Luneng having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Shandong Luneng. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
So far, Beijing Guoan have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 15 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, while the 26:23 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Shandong Luneng arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 18 points after 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, while the 25:25 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Beijing Guoan won 3 times, Shandong Luneng won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:25 from Beijing Guoan's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.
Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns
Beijing Guoan
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Beijing Guoan
Henan Jianye
Beijing Guoan
Qingdao Youth Island
Beijing Guoan
Qingdao Jonoon
Beijing Guoan
SHANGHAI SIPG
Beijing Guoan
Dalian Zhixing
Beijing Guoan
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Guoan
Tianjin Teda
Beijing Guoan
Sichuan Jiuniu
Beijing Guoan
Hangzhou Greentown
Beijing Guoan
Chengdu Better City
Beijing Guoan
Shenyang Urban
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
Shandong Luneng
Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns
Shandong Luneng
Shenyang Urban
Shandong Luneng
Chengdu Better City
Shandong Luneng
Wuhan Three Towns
Shandong Luneng
Hangzhou Greentown
Shandong Luneng
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Shandong Luneng
Sichuan Jiuniu
Shandong Luneng
Shanghai Shenhua
Shandong Luneng
Qingdao Youth Island
Shandong Luneng
Qingdao Jonoon
Shandong Luneng
Tianjin Teda
Shandong Luneng
SHANGHAI SIPG
Shandong Luneng
Henan Jianye
Shandong Luneng
Dalian Zhixing
Shandong Luneng
Yunnan Yukun
Shandong Luneng
Beijing Guoan
Shandong Luneng
Shenyang Urban
Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns
Beijing Guoan
Henan Jianye
Beijing Guoan
Qingdao Jonoon
Beijing Guoan
SHANGHAI SIPG
Beijing Guoan
Dalian Zhixing
Beijing Guoan
Tianjin Teda
Beijing Guoan
Chengdu Better City
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua
Shandong Luneng
Shenyang Urban
Shandong Luneng
Chengdu Better City
Shandong Luneng
Hangzhou Greentown
Shandong Luneng
Sichuan Jiuniu
Shandong Luneng
Qingdao Jonoon
Shandong Luneng
Tianjin Teda
Shandong Luneng
Henan Jianye
Shandong Luneng
Yunnan Yukun
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 36:15 | 21 | 40 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21:19 | 2 | 27 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 25:31 | -6 | 25 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 31:29 | 2 | 24 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 22:25 | -3 | 24 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 |
Beijing Guoan
Home
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 29:23 | 6 | 21 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
| 7 |
Shandong Luneng
Away
|
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 30:28 | 2 | 21 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
| 8 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 24:29 | -5 | 20 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21:26 | -5 | 17 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22:28 | -6 | 17 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 33:25 | 8 | 16 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 15 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 18:22 | -4 | 15 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 13 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 24:34 | -10 | 8 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 19:22 | -3 | 5 |
L
W
D
L
L
|