Bayern München vs Union Berlin Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
88%
|
1.06 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
1.80 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87%
|
2.50 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
2.07 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
1.28 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
15.00 |
Probability Distribution
Bayern München Win 88%
Draw 6%
Union Berlin Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bayern München2.58
Union Berlin1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bayern München
WWDLW
31 GF / 10 GA
Union Berlin
WLDWL
29 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
2.82
Average Goals Scored
2.23
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
2.23
8
BTTS Yes
11
10
Over 2.5
10
7.6
Shots on Goal
6
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bayern München
11 matches
Union Berlin
13 matches
| Bayern München | Statistic | Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 3 |
| 1 | Draws | 4 |
| 1 | Losses | 6 |
| 31 | Goals For | 29 |
| 10 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 2.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.23 |
| 0.91 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.23 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 7.6 | Shots On Goal | 6 |
| 21.2 | Total Shots | 14.67 |
| 8.2 | Corners | 3.33 |
| 68.8% | Ball Possession | 50.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bayern München won 10 times, Union Berlin won 0 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 38:12 from Bayern München's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
Predicted formations: Bayern München 4-2-3-1 / Union Berlin 4-3-1-2
Missing players: Bayern München 1, Union Berlin 7
H2H summary: Bayern München wins 10, draws 5, Union Berlin wins 0
Standings
Bundesliga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 9 | 9 |
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 9 |
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 7 |
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Bayern München
Home
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 7 |
W
D
W
|
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 6 |
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 4 |
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
D
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 3 |
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 1 |
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 |
Union Berlin
Away
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:10 | -6 | 1 |
L
L
D
|
| 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:12 | -9 | 0 |
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:12 | -12 | 0 |
L
L
L
|
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation