07.08.2026 12:00
Kai Tak Sports Park
Referee: C. K. Poon
Bayern München
Match Timeline
Aston Villa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
26'
M. Cardozo
Bayern München
37'
Kim Min-Jae · Assist: T. Bischof
Bayern München
🔄
46'
K. Laimer ↔ J. Stanisic
Bayern München
🔄
60'
B. Kamara ↔ L. Bogarde
Aston Villa
🔄
60'
B. Madjo ↔ T. Abraham
Aston Villa
🔄
63'
M. Cardozo ↔ L. Diaz
Bayern München
🔄
63'
A. Pavlovic ↔ J. Palhinha
Bayern München
🔄
63'
Kim Min-Jae ↔ H. Ito
Bayern München
🔄
67'
P. Torres ↔ T. Mings
Aston Villa
🔄
67'
E. Guessand ↔ L. Lynch
Aston Villa
73'
L. Diaz · Assist: A. Ibrahimovic
Bayern München
🔄
76'
J. Tah ↔ F. Pavic
Bayern München
🔄
77'
N. Brown ↔ B. Assomo
Bayern München
🟨
78'
S. Boey
Bayern München
🔄
78'
M. Cash ↔ K. Nedeljkovic
Aston Villa
🔄
79'
E. Buendia ↔ B. Burrowes
Aston Villa
🔄
80'
S. Boey ↔ G. Della Rovere
Bayern München
🔄
80'
I. Maatsen ↔ T. Rowe
Aston Villa
83'
Joao Gomes · Assist: L. Bogarde
Aston Villa

Bayern München vs Aston Villa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.4%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Bayern München Win 46.4%
Draw 11.6%
Aston Villa Win 42%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bayern München2.32
Aston Villa1.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bayern München Bayern München
WWDLW
8 GF / 3 GA
Aston Villa Aston Villa
WLDWL
12 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
2.67
Average Goals Scored
2.4
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
2
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bayern München Bayern München 3 matches
Aston Villa Aston Villa 5 matches
Bayern München Statistic Aston Villa
2 Wins 2
0 Draws 0
1 Losses 3
8 Goals For 12
3 Goals Against 9
2.67 Avg Goals Scored 2.4
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
2 BTTS Yes 4
3 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Bayern München won 1 times, Aston Villa won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from Bayern München's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.4%)
Predicted formations: Bayern München 4-2-3-1 / Aston Villa 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bayern München wins 1, draws 0, Aston Villa wins 1