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--.--.---- --:--
Bayern München
FT
2 - 1
Aston Villa
Kai Tak Sports Park
Referee: C. K. Poon
Bayern München
Match Timeline
Aston Villa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
26'
M. Cardozo
Bayern München
⚽
37'
Kim Min-Jae · Assist: T. Bischof
Bayern München
🔄
46'
K. Laimer ↔ J. Stanisic
Bayern München
🔄
60'
B. Kamara ↔ L. Bogarde
Aston Villa
🔄
60'
B. Madjo ↔ T. Abraham
Aston Villa
🔄
63'
M. Cardozo ↔ L. Diaz
Bayern München
🔄
63'
A. Pavlovic ↔ J. Palhinha
Bayern München
🔄
63'
Kim Min-Jae ↔ H. Ito
Bayern München
🔄
67'
P. Torres ↔ T. Mings
Aston Villa
🔄
67'
E. Guessand ↔ L. Lynch
Aston Villa
⚽
73'
L. Diaz · Assist: A. Ibrahimovic
Bayern München
🔄
76'
J. Tah ↔ F. Pavic
Bayern München
🔄
77'
N. Brown ↔ B. Assomo
Bayern München
🟨
78'
S. Boey
Bayern München
🔄
78'
M. Cash ↔ K. Nedeljkovic
Aston Villa
🔄
79'
E. Buendia ↔ B. Burrowes
Aston Villa
🔄
80'
S. Boey ↔ G. Della Rovere
Bayern München
🔄
80'
I. Maatsen ↔ T. Rowe
Aston Villa
⚽
83'
Joao Gomes · Assist: L. Bogarde
Aston Villa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Bayern München Win 46.4%
Draw 11.6%
Aston Villa Win 42%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bayern München2.32
Aston Villa1.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bayern München Bayern München
WWDLW
8 GF / 3 GA
Aston Villa Aston Villa
WLDWL
12 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
2.67
Average Goals Scored
2.4
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
2
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bayern München Bayern München 3 matches
Aston Villa Aston Villa 5 matches
Bayern München Statistic Aston Villa
2 Wins 2
0 Draws 0
1 Losses 3
8 Goals For 12
3 Goals Against 9
2.67 Avg Goals Scored 2.4
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
2 BTTS Yes 4
3 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Bayern München won 1 times, Aston Villa won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from Bayern München's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.4%)
Predicted formations: Bayern München 4-2-3-1 / Aston Villa 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bayern München wins 1, draws 0, Aston Villa wins 1

Lineups

Bayern München
Formation
Aston Villa
M. Neuer
M. Neuer
S. Boey
↓
S. Boey
J. Tah
↓
J. Tah
Kim Min-Jae
⚽ ↓
Kim Min-Jae
N. Brown
↓
N. Brown
A. Pavlovic
↓
A. Pavlovic
T. Bischof
🎯
T. Bischof
T. Binder
T. Binder
A. Ibrahimovic
🎯
A. Ibrahimovic
M. Cardozo
↓
M. Cardozo
K. Laimer
↓
K. Laimer
M. Bizot
M. Bizot
M. Cash
↓
M. Cash
V. Lindelof
V. Lindelof
P. Torres
↓
P. Torres
I. Maatsen
↓
I. Maatsen
G. Hemmings
G. Hemmings
B. Kamara
↓
B. Kamara
Joao Gomes
⚽
Joao Gomes
E. Buendia
↓
E. Buendia
E. Guessand
↓
E. Guessand
B. Madjo
↓
B. Madjo
Bayern München 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Neuer
23
S. Boey
↓ 80' 🟨 78'
4
J. Tah
↓ 76'
3
Kim Min-Jae
⚽ 37' ↓ 63'
11
N. Brown
↓ 77'
45
A. Pavlovic
↓ 63'
8
T. Bischof
🎯 37'
31
T. Binder
22
A. Ibrahimovic
🎯 73'
35
M. Cardozo
↓ 63' 🟨 26'
27
K. Laimer
↓ 46'
Substitutes
26
S. Ulreich
40
J. Urbig
38
D. Podar-Stiube
14
L. Diaz
⚽ 73' ↑ 63'
16
J. Palhinha
↑ 63'
30
F. Chavez
6
J. Kimmich
21
H. Ito
↑ 63'
44
J. Stanisic
↑ 46'
41
V. Manuba
47
G. Della Rovere
↑ 80'
48
B. Assomo
↑ 77'
32
F. Pavic
↑ 76'
39
B. Sapoko Ndiaye
Aston Villa 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
40
M. Bizot
2
M. Cash
↓ 78'
3
V. Lindelof
14
P. Torres
↓ 67'
22
I. Maatsen
↓ 80'
53
G. Hemmings
8
B. Kamara
↓ 60'
35
Joao Gomes
⚽ 83'
10
E. Buendia
↓ 79'
29
E. Guessand
↓ 67'
39
B. Madjo
↓ 60'
Substitutes
60
O. Asemota
42
J. Wright
5
T. Mings
↑ 67'
26
L. Bogarde
🎯 83' ↑ 60'
45
T. Rowe
↑ 80'
74
L. Lynch
↑ 67'
49
B. Burrowes
↑ 79'
18
T. Abraham
↑ 60'
32
K. Nedeljkovic
↑ 78'
71
T. Carroll
Last matches: Bayern München
28.08.26
Bun
Bayern München
VfB Stuttgart
5
1
W
22.08.26
Sup
Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
2
1
W
18.08.26
Fri
Bayern München
1. FC Heidenheim
4
2
W
15.08.26
Fri
Bayern München
RB Leipzig
3
1
W
04.08.26
Fri
Bayern München
Jeju United FC
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Bayern München
SV Wehen
1
2
L
16.05.26
Bun
Bayern München
1. FC Köln
5
1
W
09.05.26
Bun
Bayern München
VfL Wolfsburg
1
0
W
06.05.26
UEF
Bayern München
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
02.05.26
Bun
Bayern München
1. FC Heidenheim
3
3
D
28.04.26
UEF
Bayern München
Paris Saint Germain
4
5
L
25.04.26
Bun
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
4
3
W
19.04.26
Bun
Bayern München
VfB Stuttgart
4
2
W
15.04.26
UEF
Bayern München
Real Madrid
4
3
W
11.04.26
Bun
Bayern München
FC St. Pauli
5
0
W
07.04.26
UEF
Bayern München
Real Madrid
2
1
W
04.04.26
Bun
Bayern München
SC Freiburg
3
2
W
21.03.26
Bun
Bayern München
Union Berlin
4
0
W
18.03.26
UEF
Bayern München
Atalanta
4
1
W
14.03.26
Bun
Bayern München
Bayer Leverkusen
1
1
D
Last matches: Aston Villa
23.08.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Brighton
0
4
L
15.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
2
L
12.08.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Paris Saint Germain
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
BG Pathum United
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Real Sociedad
2
4
L
25.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
FC Porto
1
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Walsall
5
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester City
2
1
W
20.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
SC Freiburg
3
0
W
15.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Liverpool
4
2
W
10.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Burnley
2
2
D
07.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Tottenham
1
2
L
30.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Fulham
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Sunderland
4
3
W
16.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
4
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
3
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Elche
1
2
L
H2H: Bayern München vs Aston Villa
07.08.26
H2H
Bayern München
Aston Villa
2
1
W
02.10.24
H2H
Aston Villa
Bayern München
1
0
L
Last matches: Bayern München
28.08.26
Bun
Bayern München
VfB Stuttgart
5
1
W
15.08.26
Fri
Bayern München
RB Leipzig
3
1
W
16.05.26
Bun
Bayern München
1. FC Köln
5
1
W
06.05.26
UEF
Bayern München
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
02.05.26
Bun
Bayern München
1. FC Heidenheim
3
3
D
19.04.26
Bun
Bayern München
VfB Stuttgart
4
2
W
15.04.26
UEF
Bayern München
Real Madrid
4
3
W
21.03.26
Bun
Bayern München
Union Berlin
4
0
W
18.03.26
UEF
Bayern München
Atalanta
4
1
W
06.03.26
Bun
Bayern München
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4
1
W
21.02.26
Bun
Bayern München
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
2
W
08.02.26
Bun
Bayern München
1899 Hoffenheim
5
1
W
24.01.26
Bun
Bayern München
FC Augsburg
1
2
L
21.01.26
UEF
Bayern München
Union St. Gilloise
2
0
W
11.01.26
Bun
Bayern München
VfL Wolfsburg
8
1
W
14.12.25
Bun
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
2
2
D
09.12.25
UEF
Bayern München
Sporting CP
3
1
W
29.11.25
Bun
Bayern München
FC St. Pauli
3
1
W
22.11.25
Bun
Bayern München
SC Freiburg
6
2
W
01.11.25
Bun
Bayern München
Bayer Leverkusen
3
0
W
H2H at home: Bayern München
07.08.26
H2H
Bayern München
Aston Villa
2
1
W
Last matches: Aston Villa
23.08.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Brighton
0
4
L
15.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
2
L
12.08.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Paris Saint Germain
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
BG Pathum United
3
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
FC Porto
1
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Walsall
5
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester City
2
1
W
20.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
SC Freiburg
3
0
W
10.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Burnley
2
2
D
30.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Fulham
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
3
1
W
15.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester United
1
3
L
12.03.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Lille
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Wolves
0
2
L
07.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
1
1
D
25.01.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Newcastle
2
0
W
22.01.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Fenerbahçe
1
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Aston Villa
Tottenham
2
1
W
H2H away: Aston Villa
07.08.26
H2H
Bayern München
Aston Villa
2
1
L