WORLD FRIENDLIES CLUBS
--.--.---- --:--
Kai Tak Sports Park
Bayern München
Live Timeline
Aston Villa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
26'
M. Cardozo
Bayern München
37'
Kim Min-Jae · Assist: T. Bischof
Bayern München
🔄
46'
K. Laimer ↔ J. Stanisic
Bayern München
🔄
60'
B. Madjo ↔ T. Abraham
Aston Villa
🔄
60'
B. Kamara ↔ L. Bogarde
Aston Villa
🔄
63'
Kim Min-Jae ↔ H. Ito
Bayern München
🔄
63'
M. Cardozo ↔ L. Diaz
Bayern München
🔄
63'
A. Pavlovic ↔ J. Palhinha
Bayern München
🔄
67'
P. Torres ↔ T. Mings
Aston Villa
🔄
67'
E. Guessand ↔ L. Lynch
Aston Villa
74'
L. Diaz · Assist: A. Ibrahimovic
Bayern München
🔄
76'
J. Tah ↔ F. Pavic
Bayern München
🔄
77'
N. Brown ↔ B. Assomo
Bayern München
🟨
78'
S. Boey
Bayern München
🔄
79'
M. Cash ↔ K. Nedeljkovic
Aston Villa
🔄
79'
E. Buendia ↔ B. Burrowes
Aston Villa
🔄
80'
I. Maatsen ↔ T. Rowe
Aston Villa
🔄
80'
S. Boey ↔ G. Della Rovere
Bayern München
83'
Aston Villa
Aston Villa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.4%
Odds 1.18
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.38
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.4%
1.18
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.38
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.52
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Bayern München Win 46.4%
Draw 11.6%
Aston Villa Win 42%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bayern München2.32
Aston Villa1.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bayern München Bayern München
WWDLW
8 GF / 3 GA
Aston Villa Aston Villa
WLDWL
12 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
2.67
Average Goals Scored
2.4
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
2
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bayern München Bayern München 3 matches
Aston Villa Aston Villa 5 matches
Bayern München Statistic Aston Villa
2 Wins 2
0 Draws 0
1 Losses 3
8 Goals For 12
3 Goals Against 9
2.67 Avg Goals Scored 2.4
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
2 BTTS Yes 4
3 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Bayern München won 0 times, Aston Villa won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:1 from Bayern München's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.4%)
Predicted formations: Bayern München 4-2-3-1 / Aston Villa -
H2H summary: Bayern München wins 0, draws 0, Aston Villa wins 1
Last matches: Bayern München
04.08.26
Fri
Bayern München
Jeju United FC
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Bayern München
SV Wehen
1
2
L
16.05.26
Bun
Bayern München
1. FC Köln
5
1
W
09.05.26
Bun
Bayern München
VfL Wolfsburg
1
0
W
06.05.26
UEF
Bayern München
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
02.05.26
Bun
Bayern München
1. FC Heidenheim
3
3
D
28.04.26
UEF
Bayern München
Paris Saint Germain
4
5
L
25.04.26
Bun
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
4
3
W
19.04.26
Bun
Bayern München
VfB Stuttgart
4
2
W
15.04.26
UEF
Bayern München
Real Madrid
4
3
W
11.04.26
Bun
Bayern München
FC St. Pauli
5
0
W
07.04.26
UEF
Bayern München
Real Madrid
2
1
W
04.04.26
Bun
Bayern München
SC Freiburg
3
2
W
21.03.26
Bun
Bayern München
Union Berlin
4
0
W
18.03.26
UEF
Bayern München
Atalanta
4
1
W
14.03.26
Bun
Bayern München
Bayer Leverkusen
1
1
D
10.03.26
UEF
Bayern München
Atalanta
6
1
W
06.03.26
Bun
Bayern München
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4
1
W
28.02.26
Bun
Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
3
2
W
21.02.26
Bun
Bayern München
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
2
W
Last matches: Aston Villa
04.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
BG Pathum United
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Real Sociedad
2
4
L
25.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
FC Porto
1
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Walsall
5
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester City
2
1
W
20.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
SC Freiburg
3
0
W
15.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Liverpool
4
2
W
10.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Burnley
2
2
D
07.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Tottenham
1
2
L
30.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Fulham
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Sunderland
4
3
W
16.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
4
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
3
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Elche
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
West Ham
2
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Lille
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester United
1
3
L
H2H: Bayern München vs Aston Villa
02.10.24
H2H
Aston Villa
Bayern München
1
0
L
Last matches: Bayern München
16.05.26
Bun
Bayern München
1. FC Köln
5
1
W
06.05.26
UEF
Bayern München
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
02.05.26
Bun
Bayern München
1. FC Heidenheim
3
3
D
19.04.26
Bun
Bayern München
VfB Stuttgart
4
2
W
15.04.26
UEF
Bayern München
Real Madrid
4
3
W
21.03.26
Bun
Bayern München
Union Berlin
4
0
W
18.03.26
UEF
Bayern München
Atalanta
4
1
W
06.03.26
Bun
Bayern München
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4
1
W
21.02.26
Bun
Bayern München
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
2
W
08.02.26
Bun
Bayern München
1899 Hoffenheim
5
1
W
24.01.26
Bun
Bayern München
FC Augsburg
1
2
L
21.01.26
UEF
Bayern München
Union St. Gilloise
2
0
W
11.01.26
Bun
Bayern München
VfL Wolfsburg
8
1
W
14.12.25
Bun
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
2
2
D
09.12.25
UEF
Bayern München
Sporting CP
3
1
W
29.11.25
Bun
Bayern München
FC St. Pauli
3
1
W
22.11.25
Bun
Bayern München
SC Freiburg
6
2
W
01.11.25
Bun
Bayern München
Bayer Leverkusen
3
0
W
22.10.25
UEF
Bayern München
Club Brugge KV
4
0
W
18.10.25
Bun
Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
2
1
W
Last matches: Aston Villa
04.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
BG Pathum United
3
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
FC Porto
1
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Walsall
5
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester City
2
1
W
20.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
SC Freiburg
3
0
W
10.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Burnley
2
2
D
30.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Fulham
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
3
1
W
15.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester United
1
3
L
12.03.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Lille
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Wolves
0
2
L
07.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
1
1
D
25.01.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Newcastle
2
0
W
22.01.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Fenerbahçe
1
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Aston Villa
Tottenham
2
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
30.12.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Arsenal
1
4
L
27.12.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Chelsea
2
1
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.27
Draw 3.98
Home 1.87
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.38
Over 2.75 1.42
Over 3.0 1.52
Over 3.25 1.73
Over 3.5 1.94
Over 3.75 2.17
Over 4.0 2.56
Over 4.25 2.85
Under 2.5 2.84
Under 2.75 2.71
Under 3.0 2.41
Under 3.25 2.05
Under 3.5 1.84
Under 3.75 1.65
Under 4.0 1.46
Under 4.25 1.38
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.20
Draw 4.00
Home 1.83
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 2.50
Home 2.38
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 2.88
Home 2.20
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.11
Over 2.5 1.40
Over 3.5 1.91
Over 4.5 3.25
Over 5.5 5.00
Over 6.5 8.50
Over 7.5 12.00
Over 8.5 17.00
Under 0.5 12.00
Under 1.5 6.00
Under 2.5 2.75
Under 3.5 1.80
Under 4.5 1.33
Under 5.5 1.14
Under 6.5 1.05
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.44
Draw 4.03
Home 1.95
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.46
Home 2.38
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.34
Draw 2.96
Home 2.14
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.25 1.06
Over 1.5 1.06
Over 1.75 1.08
Over 2.0 1.10
Over 2.25 1.21
Over 2.5 1.33
Over 2.75 1.41
Over 3.0 1.51
Over 3.25 1.76
Over 3.5 1.95
Over 3.75 2.17
Over 4.0 2.46
Over 4.25 2.67
Over 4.5 2.94
Over 4.75 3.50
Over 5.0 4.50
Over 5.25 4.80
Over 5.5 5.10
Over 6.0 8.60
Over 6.5 8.50
Over 7.5 12.00
Over 8.5 17.00
Under 0.5 13.90
Under 1.0 10.50
Under 1.25 6.41
Under 1.5 6.15
Under 1.75 5.69
Under 2.0 5.20
Under 2.25 3.59
Under 2.5 2.85
Under 2.75 2.62
Under 3.0 2.33
Under 3.25 2.06
Under 3.5 1.86
Under 3.75 1.69
Under 4.0 1.46
Under 4.25 1.37
Under 4.5 1.31
Under 4.75 1.22
Under 5.0 1.13
Under 5.25 1.12
Under 5.5 1.10
Under 6.0 1.01
Under 6.5 1.05
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.55
Draw 4.25
Home 1.81
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.65
Draw 2.65
Home 2.25
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 3.05
Home 2.07
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.09
Over 2.0 1.11
Over 2.25 1.22
Over 2.5 1.33
Over 2.75 1.38
Over 3.0 1.48
Over 3.25 1.66
Over 3.5 1.84
Over 3.75 2.04
Over 4.0 2.35
Over 4.25 2.60
Over 4.5 2.85
Over 4.75 3.35
Over 5.0 4.25
Over 5.25 4.50
Over 5.5 4.80
Over 5.75 5.80
Over 6.0 8.00
Under 1.5 5.80
Under 2.0 5.10
Under 2.25 3.65
Under 2.5 2.95
Under 2.75 2.70
Under 3.0 2.40
Under 3.25 2.05
Under 3.5 1.83
Under 3.75 1.66
Under 4.0 1.50
Under 4.25 1.41
Under 4.5 1.35
Under 4.75 1.26
Under 5.0 1.17
Under 5.25 1.15
Under 5.5 1.13
Under 5.75 1.09
Under 6.0 1.05