GERMANY BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Allianz Arena
Referee: Deniz Aytekin, Germany
Bayern München
Match Timeline
1. FC Köln
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
H. Kane · Assist: J. Kimmich
Bayern München
13'
H. Kane · Assist: J. Kimmich
Bayern München
18'
S. El Mala
1. FC Köln
22'
T. Bischof · Assist: L. Karl
Bayern München
🟨
34'
Joel Schmied
1. FC Köln
🟨
37'
Konrad Laimer
Bayern München
🔄
46'
K. Laimer ↔ J. Stanisic
Bayern München
🔄
46'
J. Schmied ↔ L. Maina
1. FC Köln
🔄
60'
M. Neuer ↔ J. Urbig
Bayern München
🔄
61'
L. Karl ↔ M. Olise
Bayern München
🔄
69'
A. Castro-Montes ↔ I. Johannesson
1. FC Köln
69'
H. Kane · Assist: L. Goretzka
Bayern München
🔄
70'
J. Musiala ↔ R. Guerreiro
Bayern München
🔄
80'
S. El Mala ↔ J. Thielmann
1. FC Köln
🔄
80'
M. Bulter ↔ Y. Niang
1. FC Köln
🔄
83'
L. Goretzka ↔ N. Jackson
Bayern München
83'
N. Jackson · Assist: L. Diaz
Bayern München
🔄
90+2'
J. Kaminski ↔ F. Kainz
1. FC Köln

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 94.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
94.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Bayern München Win 84.2%
Draw 0%
1. FC Köln Win 15.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bayern München2.73
1. FC Köln1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bayern München Bayern München
WWDLW
162 GF / 56 GA
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
WLDWL
48 GF / 58 GA
Key Stats
3.38
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.76
34
BTTS Yes
26
44
Over 2.5
21
8.29
Shots on Goal
4.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bayern München Bayern München 48 matches
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 33 matches
Bayern München Statistic 1. FC Köln
39 Wins 7
6 Draws 11
3 Losses 15
162 Goals For 48
56 Goals Against 58
3.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.76
34 BTTS Yes 26
47 Over 1.5 28
44 Over 2.5 21
34 Over 3.5 15
14 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 4
8.29 Shots On Goal 4.7
18.92 Total Shots 13.52
6.04 Corners 4.61
65.2% Ball Possession 47.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Bayern München's more proactive style and 1. FC Köln's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward 1. FC Köln. Bayern München arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 86 points compared to 1. FC Köln in 14 on 32, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Bayern München come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Bayern München Analysis

Bayern München approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 86 points after 33 outings. The return of 27 wins, 5 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 117:35, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through H. Kane (33 goals), L. Diaz (15 goals), M. Olise (15 goals), with creative support from M. Olise (19 assists), L. Diaz (13 assists), Konrad Laimer (9 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, the split of 13 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

1. FC Köln Analysis

1. FC Köln sit 14 with 32 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 7 wins, 11 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 48:58, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through S. El Mala (12 goals), J. Kaminski (7 goals), R. Ache (7 goals), with creative support from S. El Mala (5 assists), R. Ache (4 assists), L. Waldschmidt (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bayern München won 13 times, 1. FC Köln won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 45:14 from Bayern München's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Bayern München 4-2-3-1 / 1. FC Köln 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Bayern München 5, 1. FC Köln 4
H2H summary: Bayern München wins 13, draws 1, 1. FC Köln wins 1

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2 34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3 34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4 34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5 34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6 34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D
Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation