GERMANY BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Allianz Arena
Referee: Deniz Aytekin, Germany
Bayern München
Match Timeline
1. FC Köln
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
H. Kane · Assist: J. Kimmich
Bayern München
13'
H. Kane · Assist: J. Kimmich
Bayern München
18'
S. El Mala
1. FC Köln
22'
T. Bischof · Assist: L. Karl
Bayern München
🟨
34'
Joel Schmied
1. FC Köln
🟨
37'
Konrad Laimer
Bayern München
🔄
46'
K. Laimer ↔ J. Stanisic
Bayern München
🔄
46'
J. Schmied ↔ L. Maina
1. FC Köln
🔄
60'
M. Neuer ↔ J. Urbig
Bayern München
🔄
61'
L. Karl ↔ M. Olise
Bayern München
🔄
69'
A. Castro-Montes ↔ I. Johannesson
1. FC Köln
69'
H. Kane · Assist: L. Goretzka
Bayern München
🔄
70'
J. Musiala ↔ R. Guerreiro
Bayern München
🔄
80'
S. El Mala ↔ J. Thielmann
1. FC Köln
🔄
80'
M. Bulter ↔ Y. Niang
1. FC Köln
🔄
83'
L. Goretzka ↔ N. Jackson
Bayern München
83'
N. Jackson · Assist: L. Diaz
Bayern München
🔄
90+2'
J. Kaminski ↔ F. Kainz
1. FC Köln

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 94.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
94.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Bayern München Win 84.2%
Draw 0%
1. FC Köln Win 15.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bayern München2.73
1. FC Köln1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bayern München Bayern München
WWDLW
162 GF / 56 GA
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
WLDWL
48 GF / 58 GA
Key Stats
3.38
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.76
34
BTTS Yes
26
44
Over 2.5
21
8.29
Shots on Goal
4.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bayern München Bayern München 48 matches
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 33 matches
Bayern München Statistic 1. FC Köln
39 Wins 7
6 Draws 11
3 Losses 15
162 Goals For 48
56 Goals Against 58
3.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.76
34 BTTS Yes 26
47 Over 1.5 28
44 Over 2.5 21
34 Over 3.5 15
14 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 4
8.29 Shots On Goal 4.7
18.92 Total Shots 13.52
6.04 Corners 4.61
65.2% Ball Possession 47.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Bayern München's more proactive style and 1. FC Köln's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward 1. FC Köln. Bayern München arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 86 points compared to 1. FC Köln in 14 on 32, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Bayern München come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Bayern München Analysis

Bayern München approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 86 points after 33 outings. The return of 27 wins, 5 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 117:35, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through H. Kane (33 goals), L. Diaz (15 goals), M. Olise (15 goals), with creative support from M. Olise (19 assists), L. Diaz (13 assists), Konrad Laimer (9 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, the split of 13 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

1. FC Köln Analysis

1. FC Köln sit 14 with 32 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 7 wins, 11 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 48:58, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through S. El Mala (12 goals), J. Kaminski (7 goals), R. Ache (7 goals), with creative support from S. El Mala (5 assists), R. Ache (4 assists), L. Waldschmidt (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bayern München won 13 times, 1. FC Köln won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 45:14 from Bayern München's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Bayern München 4-2-3-1 / 1. FC Köln 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Bayern München 5, 1. FC Köln 4
H2H summary: Bayern München wins 13, draws 1, 1. FC Köln wins 1
Stats
Bayern München Bayern München
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
4
5 Corner Kicks 5
6 Fouls 4
5 Offsides 1
69% Ball Possession 31%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Goal 2
7 Shots off Goal 3
5 Blocked Shots 4
11 Shots insidebox 8
8 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
724 Total passes 327
659 Passes accurate 266
3.05 expected_goals 0.98
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Bayern München
Formation
1. FC Köln
M. Neuer
M. Neuer
K. Laimer
K. Laimer
D. Upamecano
D. Upamecano
J. Tah
J. Tah
T. Bischof
T. Bischof
J. Kimmich
🎯
J. Kimmich
L. Goretzka
🎯
L. Goretzka
L. Karl
🎯
L. Karl
J. Musiala
J. Musiala
L. Diaz
🎯
L. Diaz
H. Kane
⚽ 3
H. Kane
M. Schwabe
M. Schwabe
S. Sebulonsen
S. Sebulonsen
J. Schmied
J. Schmied
J. Simpson-Pusey
J. Simpson-Pusey
C. Ozkacar
C. Ozkacar
K. Lund
K. Lund
J. Kaminski
J. Kaminski
E. Martel
E. Martel
A. Castro-Montes
A. Castro-Montes
M. Bulter
M. Bulter
S. El Mala
S. El Mala
Bayern München 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
M. Neuer
↓ 60'
G
27
K. Laimer
↓ 46' 🟨 37'
D
2
D. Upamecano
D
4
J. Tah
D
20
T. Bischof
⚽ 22'
D
6
J. Kimmich
🎯 10' 🎯 13'
M
8
L. Goretzka
🎯 69' ↓ 83'
M
42
L. Karl
🎯 22' ↓ 61'
M
10
J. Musiala
↓ 70'
M
14
L. Diaz
🎯 83'
M
9
H. Kane
⚽ 10' ⚽ 13' ⚽ 69'
F
Substitutes
26
S. Ulreich
G
40
J. Urbig
↑ 60'
G
22
R. Guerreiro
↑ 70'
D
17
M. Olise
↑ 61'
M
11
N. Jackson
⚽ 83' ↑ 83'
F
45
A. Pavlovic
M
21
H. Ito
D
44
J. Stanisic
↑ 46'
D
39
B. Ndiaye
F
1. FC Köln 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
M. Schwabe
G
28
S. Sebulonsen
D
2
J. Schmied
↓ 46' 🟨 34'
D
22
J. Simpson-Pusey
D
39
C. Ozkacar
D
32
K. Lund
D
16
J. Kaminski
↓ 90+2'
M
6
E. Martel
M
17
A. Castro-Montes
↓ 69'
M
30
M. Bulter
↓ 80'
F
13
S. El Mala
⚽ 18' ↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
20
R. Zieler
G
11
F. Kainz
↑ 90+2'
M
7
L. Waldschmidt
F
37
L. Maina
↑ 46'
M
18
I. Johannesson
↑ 69'
M
29
J. Thielmann
↑ 80'
M
27
F. Chavez
M
33
R. van den Berg
D
38
Y. Niang
↑ 80'
F
Last matches: Bayern München
09.05.26
Bun
Bayern München
VfL Wolfsburg
1
0
W
06.05.26
UEF
Bayern München
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
02.05.26
Bun
Bayern München
1. FC Heidenheim
3
3
D
28.04.26
UEF
Bayern München
Paris Saint Germain
4
5
L
25.04.26
Bun
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
4
3
W
19.04.26
Bun
Bayern München
VfB Stuttgart
4
2
W
15.04.26
UEF
Bayern München
Real Madrid
4
3
W
11.04.26
Bun
Bayern München
FC St. Pauli
5
0
W
07.04.26
UEF
Bayern München
Real Madrid
2
1
W
04.04.26
Bun
Bayern München
SC Freiburg
3
2
W
21.03.26
Bun
Bayern München
Union Berlin
4
0
W
18.03.26
UEF
Bayern München
Atalanta
4
1
W
14.03.26
Bun
Bayern München
Bayer Leverkusen
1
1
D
10.03.26
UEF
Bayern München
Atalanta
6
1
W
06.03.26
Bun
Bayern München
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4
1
W
28.02.26
Bun
Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
3
2
W
21.02.26
Bun
Bayern München
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
2
W
14.02.26
Bun
Bayern München
Werder Bremen
3
0
W
08.02.26
Bun
Bayern München
1899 Hoffenheim
5
1
W
31.01.26
Bun
Bayern München
Hamburger SV
2
2
D
Last matches: 1. FC Köln
10.05.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
1. FC Heidenheim
1
3
L
02.05.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Union Berlin
2
2
D
25.04.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
1
2
L
17.04.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
FC St. Pauli
1
1
D
12.04.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Werder Bremen
3
1
W
05.04.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Eintracht Frankfurt
2
2
D
21.03.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3
3
D
14.03.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Hamburger SV
1
1
D
07.03.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Borussia Dortmund
1
2
L
27.02.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
FC Augsburg
0
2
L
21.02.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
1899 Hoffenheim
2
2
D
14.02.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
VfB Stuttgart
1
3
L
08.02.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
RB Leipzig
1
2
L
30.01.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
VfL Wolfsburg
1
0
W
25.01.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
SC Freiburg
1
2
L
17.01.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
FSV Mainz 05
2
1
W
14.01.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Bayern München
1
3
L
10.01.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
1. FC Heidenheim
2
2
D
05.01.26
Fri
1. FC Köln
FC Lugano
2
1
W
20.12.25
Bun
1. FC Köln
Union Berlin
0
1
L
H2H: Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln
16.05.26
H2H
Bayern München
1. FC Köln
5
1
W
14.01.26
H2H
1. FC Köln
Bayern München
1
3
W
29.10.25
H2H
1. FC Köln
Bayern München
1
4
W
13.04.24
H2H
Bayern Munich
1. FC Köln
2
0
L
24.11.23
H2H
1. FC Köln
Bayern Munich
0
1
W
27.05.23
H2H
1. FC Köln
Bayern Munich
1
2
W
24.01.23
H2H
Bayern Munich
1. FC Köln
1
1
D
15.01.22
H2H
1. FC Köln
Bayern Munich
0
4
W
22.08.21
H2H
Bayern Munich
1. FC Köln
3
2
L
17.07.21
H2H
1. FC Köln
Bayern Munich
3
2
L
27.02.21
H2H
Bayern Munich
1. FC Köln
5
1
L
31.10.20
H2H
1. FC Köln
Bayern Munich
1
2
W
16.02.20
H2H
1. FC Köln
Bayern Munich
1
4
W
21.09.19
H2H
Bayern Munich
1. FC Köln
4
0
L
05.05.18
H2H
1. FC Köln
Bayern Munich
1
3
W
Last matches: Bayern München
06.05.26
UEF
Bayern München
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
02.05.26
Bun
Bayern München
1. FC Heidenheim
3
3
D
19.04.26
Bun
Bayern München
VfB Stuttgart
4
2
W
15.04.26
UEF
Bayern München
Real Madrid
4
3
W
21.03.26
Bun
Bayern München
Union Berlin
4
0
W
18.03.26
UEF
Bayern München
Atalanta
4
1
W
06.03.26
Bun
Bayern München
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4
1
W
21.02.26
Bun
Bayern München
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
2
W
08.02.26
Bun
Bayern München
1899 Hoffenheim
5
1
W
24.01.26
Bun
Bayern München
FC Augsburg
1
2
L
21.01.26
UEF
Bayern München
Union St. Gilloise
2
0
W
11.01.26
Bun
Bayern München
VfL Wolfsburg
8
1
W
14.12.25
Bun
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
2
2
D
09.12.25
UEF
Bayern München
Sporting CP
3
1
W
29.11.25
Bun
Bayern München
FC St. Pauli
3
1
W
22.11.25
Bun
Bayern München
SC Freiburg
6
2
W
01.11.25
Bun
Bayern München
Bayer Leverkusen
3
0
W
22.10.25
UEF
Bayern München
Club Brugge KV
4
0
W
18.10.25
Bun
Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
2
1
W
26.09.25
Bun
Bayern München
Werder Bremen
4
0
W
H2H at home: Bayern München
16.05.26
H2H
Bayern München
1. FC Köln
5
1
W
Last matches: 1. FC Köln
02.05.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Union Berlin
2
2
D
17.04.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
FC St. Pauli
1
1
D
05.04.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Eintracht Frankfurt
2
2
D
14.03.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Hamburger SV
1
1
D
27.02.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
FC Augsburg
0
2
L
14.02.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
VfB Stuttgart
1
3
L
25.01.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
SC Freiburg
1
2
L
10.01.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
1. FC Heidenheim
2
2
D
05.01.26
Fri
1. FC Köln
FC Lugano
2
1
W
13.12.25
Bun
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
0
2
L
29.11.25
Bun
1. FC Köln
Werder Bremen
1
1
D
08.11.25
Bun
1. FC Köln
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
3
L
25.10.25
Bun
1. FC Köln
Borussia Dortmund
0
1
L
03.10.25
Bun
1. FC Köln
1899 Hoffenheim
1
0
W
20.09.25
Bun
1. FC Köln
RB Leipzig
1
3
L
13.09.25
Bun
1. FC Köln
VfL Wolfsburg
3
3
D
24.08.25
Bun
1. FC Köln
FSV Mainz 05
1
0
W
09.05.25
2.
1. FC Köln
1. FC Nürnberg
2
1
W
27.04.25
2.
1. FC Köln
Hannover 96
0
1
L
11.04.25
2.
1. FC Köln
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1
1
D
H2H away: 1. FC Köln
16.05.26
H2H
Bayern München
1. FC Köln
5
1
L
13.04.24
H2H
Bayern Munich
1. FC Köln
2
0
L
24.01.23
H2H
Bayern Munich
1. FC Köln
1
1
D
22.08.21
H2H
Bayern Munich
1. FC Köln
3
2
L
27.02.21
H2H
Bayern Munich
1. FC Köln
5
1
L
21.09.19
H2H
Bayern Munich
1. FC Köln
4
0
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2 34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3 34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4 34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5 34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6 34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D

Missing Players

Bayern München 5 missing
-
C. Kiala
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
W. Mike
Missing Fixture Hip Injury
OUT
-
A. Davies
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
M. Cardozo
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
S. Gnabry
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
1. FC Köln 4 missing
-
T. Hubers
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
L. Kilian
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
T. Krauss
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
R. Ache
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT