GERMANY BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Allianz Arena
Referee: Frank Willenborg, Germany
Bayern München
Match Timeline
1. FC Heidenheim
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
22'
B. Zivzivadze · Assist: M. Busch
1. FC Heidenheim
31'
E. Dinkci · Assist: M. Busch
1. FC Heidenheim
🟨
44'
Nicolas Jackson
Bayern München
🟨
44'
Diant Ramaj
1. FC Heidenheim
44'
L. Goretzka
Bayern München
🔄
46'
J. Stanisic ↔ L. Diaz
Bayern München
🔄
46'
J. Musiala ↔ M. Olise
Bayern München
🔄
46'
B. Ndiaye ↔ H. Kane
Bayern München
🔄
46'
A. Pavlovic ↔ J. Kimmich
Bayern München
57'
L. Goretzka · Assist: M. Olise
Bayern München
🟨
72'
Jonathan Tah
Bayern München
76'
B. Zivzivadze · Assist: A. Ibrahimovic
1. FC Heidenheim
🔄
77'
J. Tah ↔ A. Davies
Bayern München
🔄
77'
M. Pieringer ↔ S. Schimmer
1. FC Heidenheim
🔄
81'
B. Zivzivadze ↔ M. Kaufmann
1. FC Heidenheim
🔄
81'
A. Ibrahimovic ↔ L. Kerber
1. FC Heidenheim
🟨
85'
Konrad Laimer
Bayern München
🔄
89'
N. Dorsch ↔ T. Siersleben
1. FC Heidenheim
🟨
90'
Marnon Busch
1. FC Heidenheim
90'
M. Olise · Assist: A. Davies
Bayern München

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 98.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 83.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 95.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
98.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
83.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
95.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Bayern München Win 98.4%
Draw 0%
1. FC Heidenheim Win 1.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bayern München2.95
1. FC Heidenheim1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bayern München Bayern München
WWDLW
157 GF / 52 GA
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim
WLDWL
35 GF / 66 GA
Key Stats
3.49
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.16
Average Goals Conceded
2.13
32
BTTS Yes
19
43
Over 2.5
21
8.36
Shots on Goal
3.48

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bayern München Bayern München 45 matches
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 31 matches
Bayern München Statistic 1. FC Heidenheim
38 Wins 5
4 Draws 7
3 Losses 19
157 Goals For 35
52 Goals Against 66
3.49 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.16 Avg Goals Conceded 2.13
32 BTTS Yes 19
45 Over 1.5 28
43 Over 2.5 21
33 Over 3.5 12
13 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 11
8.36 Shots On Goal 3.48
18.91 Total Shots 11.29
6.07 Corners 4.48
64.8% Ball Possession 42.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Bayern München's more proactive style and 1. FC Heidenheim's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward 1. FC Heidenheim. Bayern München arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 82 points compared to 1. FC Heidenheim in 18 on 22, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Bayern München come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bayern München expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and 1. FC Heidenheim in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward 1. FC Heidenheim having the stronger overall control.

Bayern München Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 82 points from 31 games, Bayern München bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 26 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, with a 113:32 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on H. Kane (33 goals), L. Diaz (15 goals), M. Olise (13 goals), with creative support from M. Olise (18 assists), L. Diaz (13 assists), Konrad Laimer (8 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, their record of 13 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

1. FC Heidenheim Analysis

1. FC Heidenheim sit 18 with 22 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 19 losses, together with goals at 35:66, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through S. Schimmer (5 goals), Budu Zivzivadze (4 goals), M. Pieringer (4 goals), with creative support from Jan Schöppner (3 assists), Marnon Busch (3 assists), P. Mainka (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 12 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Bayern München won 5 times, 1. FC Heidenheim won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:14 from Bayern München's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 5.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Bayern München 4-2-3-1 / 1. FC Heidenheim 4-4-2
H2H summary: Bayern München wins 5, draws 1, 1. FC Heidenheim wins 1
Stats
Bayern München Bayern München
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
4
13 Corner Kicks 5
6 Fouls 7
2 Offsides 2
75% Ball Possession 25%
23 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Goal 5
8 Shots off Goal 3
8 Blocked Shots 4
6 Shots insidebox 8
17 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
675 Total passes 229
604 Passes accurate 155
2.31 expected_goals 2.59
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Bayern München
Formation
1. FC Heidenheim
J. Urbig
J. Urbig
J. Stanisic
J. Stanisic
Kim Min-Jae
Kim Min-Jae
J. Tah
J. Tah
H. Ito
H. Ito
A. Pavlovic
A. Pavlovic
B. Ndiaye
B. Ndiaye
K. Laimer
K. Laimer
L. Goretzka
⚽ 2
L. Goretzka
N. Jackson
N. Jackson
J. Musiala
J. Musiala
D. Ramaj
D. Ramaj
M. Busch
🎯
M. Busch
P. Mainka
P. Mainka
J. Fohrenbach
J. Fohrenbach
E. Dinkci
E. Dinkci
J. Schoppner
J. Schoppner
N. Dorsch
N. Dorsch
H. Behrens
H. Behrens
M. Pieringer
M. Pieringer
B. Zivzivadze
⚽ 2
B. Zivzivadze
A. Ibrahimovic
🎯
A. Ibrahimovic
Bayern München 4-3-1-2
Starting XI
40
J. Urbig
G
44
J. Stanisic
↓ 46'
D
3
Kim Min-Jae
D
4
J. Tah
↓ 77' 🟨 72'
D
21
H. Ito
D
45
A. Pavlovic
↓ 46'
M
39
B. Ndiaye
↓ 46'
M
27
K. Laimer
🟨 85'
M
8
L. Goretzka
⚽ 44' ⚽ 57'
M
11
N. Jackson
🟨 44'
F
10
J. Musiala
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Neuer
G
14
L. Diaz
↑ 46'
F
19
A. Davies
🎯 90' ↑ 77'
D
17
M. Olise
⚽ 90' 🎯 57' ↑ 46'
M
20
T. Bischof
M
9
H. Kane
↑ 46'
F
6
J. Kimmich
↑ 46'
M
2
D. Upamecano
D
43
F. Pavic
D
1. FC Heidenheim 3-4-3
Starting XI
41
D. Ramaj
🟨 44'
G
2
M. Busch
🎯 22' 🎯 31' 🟨 90'
D
6
P. Mainka
D
19
J. Fohrenbach
D
8
E. Dinkci
⚽ 31'
M
3
J. Schoppner
M
30
N. Dorsch
↓ 89'
M
26
H. Behrens
M
18
M. Pieringer
↓ 77'
F
11
B. Zivzivadze
⚽ 22' ⚽ 76' ↓ 81'
F
22
A. Ibrahimovic
🎯 76' ↓ 81'
F
Substitutes
40
F. Feller
G
9
S. Schimmer
↑ 77'
F
29
M. Kaufmann
↑ 81'
F
4
T. Siersleben
↑ 89'
D
25
L. Stergiou
D
21
A. Beck
M
23
O. H. Traore
D
16
J. Niehues
M
20
L. Kerber
↑ 81'
M
Last matches: Bayern München
16.05.26
Bun
Bayern München
1. FC Köln
5
1
W
09.05.26
Bun
Bayern München
VfL Wolfsburg
1
0
W
06.05.26
UEF
Bayern München
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
28.04.26
UEF
Bayern München
Paris Saint Germain
4
5
L
25.04.26
Bun
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
4
3
W
19.04.26
Bun
Bayern München
VfB Stuttgart
4
2
W
15.04.26
UEF
Bayern München
Real Madrid
4
3
W
11.04.26
Bun
Bayern München
FC St. Pauli
5
0
W
07.04.26
UEF
Bayern München
Real Madrid
2
1
W
04.04.26
Bun
Bayern München
SC Freiburg
3
2
W
21.03.26
Bun
Bayern München
Union Berlin
4
0
W
18.03.26
UEF
Bayern München
Atalanta
4
1
W
14.03.26
Bun
Bayern München
Bayer Leverkusen
1
1
D
10.03.26
UEF
Bayern München
Atalanta
6
1
W
06.03.26
Bun
Bayern München
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4
1
W
28.02.26
Bun
Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
3
2
W
21.02.26
Bun
Bayern München
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
2
W
14.02.26
Bun
Bayern München
Werder Bremen
3
0
W
08.02.26
Bun
Bayern München
1899 Hoffenheim
5
1
W
31.01.26
Bun
Bayern München
Hamburger SV
2
2
D
Last matches: 1. FC Heidenheim
16.05.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
FSV Mainz 05
0
2
L
10.05.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Köln
3
1
W
25.04.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
2
0
W
19.04.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
SC Freiburg
1
2
L
11.04.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Union Berlin
3
1
W
04.04.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2
2
D
21.03.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Bayer Leverkusen
3
3
D
14.03.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
1
L
07.03.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
2
4
L
28.02.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Werder Bremen
0
2
L
22.02.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
VfB Stuttgart
3
3
D
15.02.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
FC Augsburg
0
1
L
07.02.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Hamburger SV
0
2
L
01.02.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Borussia Dortmund
2
3
L
24.01.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
RB Leipzig
0
3
L
17.01.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
VfL Wolfsburg
1
1
D
13.01.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
FSV Mainz 05
1
2
L
10.01.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Köln
2
2
D
21.12.25
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Bayern München
0
4
L
13.12.25
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
1
2
L
H2H: Bayern München vs 1. FC Heidenheim
02.05.26
H2H
Bayern München
1. FC Heidenheim
3
3
D
21.12.25
H2H
1. FC Heidenheim
Bayern München
0
4
W
19.04.25
H2H
1. FC Heidenheim
Bayern München
0
4
W
07.12.24
H2H
Bayern München
1. FC Heidenheim
4
2
W
06.04.24
H2H
FC Heidenheim
Bayern Munich
3
2
L
11.11.23
H2H
Bayern Munich
FC Heidenheim
4
2
L
03.04.19
H2H
Bayern Munich
FC Heidenheim
5
4
L
Last matches: Bayern München
16.05.26
Bun
Bayern München
1. FC Köln
5
1
W
06.05.26
UEF
Bayern München
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
19.04.26
Bun
Bayern München
VfB Stuttgart
4
2
W
15.04.26
UEF
Bayern München
Real Madrid
4
3
W
21.03.26
Bun
Bayern München
Union Berlin
4
0
W
18.03.26
UEF
Bayern München
Atalanta
4
1
W
06.03.26
Bun
Bayern München
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4
1
W
21.02.26
Bun
Bayern München
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
2
W
08.02.26
Bun
Bayern München
1899 Hoffenheim
5
1
W
24.01.26
Bun
Bayern München
FC Augsburg
1
2
L
21.01.26
UEF
Bayern München
Union St. Gilloise
2
0
W
11.01.26
Bun
Bayern München
VfL Wolfsburg
8
1
W
14.12.25
Bun
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
2
2
D
09.12.25
UEF
Bayern München
Sporting CP
3
1
W
29.11.25
Bun
Bayern München
FC St. Pauli
3
1
W
22.11.25
Bun
Bayern München
SC Freiburg
6
2
W
01.11.25
Bun
Bayern München
Bayer Leverkusen
3
0
W
22.10.25
UEF
Bayern München
Club Brugge KV
4
0
W
18.10.25
Bun
Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
2
1
W
26.09.25
Bun
Bayern München
Werder Bremen
4
0
W
H2H at home: Bayern München
02.05.26
H2H
Bayern München
1. FC Heidenheim
3
3
D
07.12.24
H2H
Bayern München
1. FC Heidenheim
4
2
W
Last matches: 1. FC Heidenheim
10.05.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Köln
3
1
W
19.04.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
SC Freiburg
1
2
L
04.04.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2
2
D
14.03.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
1
L
28.02.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Werder Bremen
0
2
L
15.02.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
FC Augsburg
0
1
L
01.02.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Borussia Dortmund
2
3
L
17.01.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
VfL Wolfsburg
1
1
D
13.01.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
FSV Mainz 05
1
2
L
13.12.25
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
1
2
L
29.11.25
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Union Berlin
2
1
W
08.11.25
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Bayer Leverkusen
0
6
L
25.10.25
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
1
3
L
05.10.25
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
VfB Stuttgart
0
1
L
20.09.25
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Hamburger SV
1
2
L
30.08.25
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
RB Leipzig
0
2
L
H2H away: 1. FC Heidenheim
02.05.26
H2H
Bayern München
1. FC Heidenheim
3
3
D
07.12.24
H2H
Bayern München
1. FC Heidenheim
4
2
L

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2 34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3 34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4 34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5 34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6 34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D
Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation