GERMANY BUNDESLIGA
05.09.2026 13:30
BayArena
Referee: Robin Braun, Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
Match Timeline
Union Berlin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
E. Fernandez · Assist: M. Gutierrez
Bayer Leverkusen
🟨
4'
Felix Uduokhai
Union Berlin
28'
F. Medina · Assist: M. Gutierrez
Bayer Leverkusen
🟨
47'
Zeno Van Den Bosch
Union Berlin
48'
P. Schick · Assist: J. Quansah
Bayer Leverkusen
🟨
61'
Miguel Gutiérrez
Bayer Leverkusen
🔄
63'
A. Kemlein ↔ J. Haberer
Union Berlin
🔄
63'
M. Aebischer ↔ Jeong Woo-Yeong
Union Berlin
🔄
63'
E. Latte Lath ↔ T. Skarke
Union Berlin
66'
I. Maza · Assist: P. Schick
Bayer Leverkusen
🔄
67'
M. Tillman ↔ M. Diaby
Bayer Leverkusen
🔄
67'
P. Schick ↔ C. Kofane
Bayer Leverkusen
🔄
71'
F. Medina ↔ L. Bade
Bayer Leverkusen
🔄
71'
E. Fernandez ↔ R. Andrich
Bayer Leverkusen
🔄
74'
J. Juranovic ↔ C. Trimmel
Union Berlin
🔄
79'
L. Burcu ↔ A. Schafer
Union Berlin
🔄
83'
M. Gutierrez ↔ Lucas
Bayer Leverkusen
🟨
88'
Ibrahim Maza
Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81.1%
Odds 1.38
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds 1.40
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81.1%
1.38
BTTS Yes
78.9%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88%
1.40
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.17
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.10
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Bayer Leverkusen Win 81.1%
Draw 5.3%
Union Berlin Win 13.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bayer Leverkusen2.6
Union Berlin1.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
WWDLW
24 GF / 8 GA
Union Berlin Union Berlin
WLDWL
28 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
3
Average Goals Scored
2.55
1
Average Goals Conceded
2
5
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
8
4
Shots on Goal
10

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 8 matches
Union Berlin Union Berlin 11 matches
Bayer Leverkusen Statistic Union Berlin
6 Wins 3
0 Draws 4
2 Losses 4
24 Goals For 28
8 Goals Against 22
3 Avg Goals Scored 2.55
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2
5 BTTS Yes 10
8 Over 1.5 11
8 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 1
4 Shots On Goal 10
21 Total Shots 19
3 Corners 5
67% Ball Possession 49%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 8 times, Union Berlin won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:10 from Bayer Leverkusen's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Bayer Leverkusen 4-2-3-1 / Union Berlin 4-3-1-2
Missing players: Bayer Leverkusen 6, Union Berlin 6
H2H summary: Bayer Leverkusen wins 8, draws 5, Union Berlin wins 2

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 4 0 0 9:2 7 12
W W W W
2 4 3 1 0 14:2 12 10
W W D W
3 4 3 1 0 12:3 9 10
D W W W
4 4 2 1 1 11:6 5 7
L D W W
5 4 2 1 1 10:5 5 7
W D W L
6 4 2 1 1 10:6 4 7
W L W D
7 4 2 1 1 8:7 1 7
D L W W
8 4 2 1 1 8:8 0 7
W D W L
9 4 2 0 2 9:5 4 6
L W L W
10 4 1 2 1 9:10 -1 5
D W L D
11 4 1 2 1 3:4 -1 5
D W D L
12 4 1 1 2 3:5 -2 4
W L L D
13 4 1 1 2 6:9 -3 4
L D L W
14 4 1 0 3 7:10 -3 3
L W L L
15 4 1 0 3 6:9 -3 3
L L W L
16 4 1 0 3 2:13 -11 3
W L L L
17 4 0 1 3 4:17 -13 1
L L L D
18 4 0 0 4 6:16 -10 0
L L L L
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation