Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
59%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
82.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
91.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Bayer Leverkusen
RB Leipzig
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bayer Leverkusen
43 matches
RB Leipzig
31 matches
| Bayer Leverkusen | Statistic | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wins | 19 |
| 12 | Draws | 5 |
| 11 | Losses | 7 |
| 78 | Goals For | 62 |
| 59 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 1.81 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.23 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 36 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 22 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 15 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.67 | Shots On Goal | 6.06 |
| 13.79 | Total Shots | 16 |
| 5.23 | Corners | 5.55 |
| 57.5% | Ball Possession | 53.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. RB Leipzig look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bayer Leverkusen expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and RB Leipzig in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward RB Leipzig having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward RB Leipzig.
Bayer Leverkusen are currently 6 in the standings with 55 points from 31 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 16 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, while the 62:42 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on P. Schick (13 goals), A. Grimaldo (8 goals), M. Tillman (6 goals), with creative support from A. Grimaldo (7 assists), A. Garcia (6 assists), E. Poku (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
RB Leipzig approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 62 points after 31 outings. They have recorded 19 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a 62:38 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on C. Baumgartner (12 goals), Yan Diomande (12 goals), Romulo Cardoso (10 goals), with creative support from Yan Diomande (8 assists), C. Baumgartner (7 assists), D. Raum (6 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 6 times, RB Leipzig won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:23 from Bayer Leverkusen's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.
Bayer Leverkusen
8
5
8
5
7
4
Lineups
Bayer Leverkusen
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
VfB Stuttgart
Bayer Leverkusen
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
FC Augsburg
Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Dortmund
Bayer Leverkusen
VfL Wolfsburg
Bayer Leverkusen
1. FC Heidenheim
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayern München
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
SC Freiburg
Bayer Leverkusen
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
FSV Mainz 05
Bayer Leverkusen
Olympiakos Piraeus
Bayer Leverkusen
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
Olympiakos Piraeus
Bayer Leverkusen
FC St. Pauli
Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Bayer Leverkusen
Eintracht Frankfurt
Bayer Leverkusen
Villarreal
RB Leipzig
Mamelodi Sundowns
RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
FC St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
Eintracht Frankfurt
RB Leipzig
Borussia Mönchengladbach
RB Leipzig
Werder Bremen
RB Leipzig
1899 Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
RB Leipzig
VfL Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig
1. FC Köln
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
RB Leipzig
FC St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
1. FC Heidenheim
RB Leipzig
Bayern München
RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
FC Augsburg
Bayer Leverkusen
VfL Wolfsburg
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayern München
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
FSV Mainz 05
Bayer Leverkusen
Olympiakos Piraeus
Bayer Leverkusen
FC St. Pauli
Bayer Leverkusen
Villarreal
Bayer Leverkusen
Werder Bremen
Bayer Leverkusen
VfB Stuttgart
Bayer Leverkusen
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
Newcastle
Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Dortmund
Bayer Leverkusen
1. FC Heidenheim
Bayer Leverkusen
SC Freiburg
Bayer Leverkusen
Paris Saint Germain
Bayer Leverkusen
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
PSV Eindhoven
Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Mönchengladbach
RB Leipzig
Mamelodi Sundowns
RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
Eintracht Frankfurt
RB Leipzig
Werder Bremen
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
RB Leipzig
1. FC Köln
RB Leipzig
FC St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
1. FC Heidenheim
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
Borussia Mönchengladbach
RB Leipzig
1899 Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
RB Leipzig
VfL Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
RB Leipzig
Bayern München
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 86 | 89 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 36 | 73 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
Away
|
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 19 | 65 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 22 | 62 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 13 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
Home
|
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 21 | 59 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | -6 | 47 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | -4 | 44 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | -16 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | -9 | 40 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | -14 | 39 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 38 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | -14 | 38 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | -14 | 32 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | -24 | 29 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | -31 | 26 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | -31 | 26 |
L
L
L
L
D
|