Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
64.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
90.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
93.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Bayer Leverkusen
Hamburger SV
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bayer Leverkusen
45 matches
Hamburger SV
33 matches
| Bayer Leverkusen | Statistic | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wins | 9 |
| 12 | Draws | 10 |
| 12 | Losses | 14 |
| 83 | Goals For | 39 |
| 63 | Goals Against | 53 |
| 1.84 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.61 |
| 26 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 38 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 17 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 4.76 | Shots On Goal | 4.52 |
| 13.82 | Total Shots | 12.09 |
| 5.29 | Corners | 3.7 |
| 57.3% | Ball Possession | 45.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Bayer Leverkusen's more proactive style and Hamburger SV's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Bayer Leverkusen arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 58 points compared to Hamburger SV in 11 on 37, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bayer Leverkusen expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Hamburger SV in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Hamburger SV having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Hamburger SV. Hamburger SV arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.
Bayer Leverkusen sit 6 with 58 points after 33 league matches. The record of 17 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 67:46 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through P. Schick (16 goals), A. Grimaldo (8 goals), M. Tillman (6 goals), with creative support from A. Grimaldo (8 assists), A. Garcia (7 assists), E. Poku (5 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 9 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
With 37 points from 33 games and a place of 11, Hamburger SV still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 39:53, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through F. Vieira (6 goals), L. Vuskovic (6 goals), A. S. Lokonga (5 goals), with creative support from F. Vieira (5 assists), Miro Muheim (4 assists), W. Mikelbrencis (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 9 times, Hamburger SV won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:11 from Bayer Leverkusen's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Bayer Leverkusen
9
6
12
8
5
5
Lineups
Bayer Leverkusen
VfB Stuttgart
Bayer Leverkusen
RB Leipzig
Bayer Leverkusen
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
FC Augsburg
Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Dortmund
Bayer Leverkusen
VfL Wolfsburg
Bayer Leverkusen
1. FC Heidenheim
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayern München
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
SC Freiburg
Bayer Leverkusen
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
FSV Mainz 05
Bayer Leverkusen
Olympiakos Piraeus
Bayer Leverkusen
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
Olympiakos Piraeus
Bayer Leverkusen
FC St. Pauli
Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Bayer Leverkusen
Eintracht Frankfurt
Bayer Leverkusen
Villarreal
Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg
Hamburger SV
Eintracht Frankfurt
Hamburger SV
1899 Hoffenheim
Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen
Hamburger SV
VfB Stuttgart
Hamburger SV
FC Augsburg
Hamburger SV
Borussia Dortmund
Hamburger SV
1. FC Köln
Hamburger SV
VfL Wolfsburg
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
Hamburger SV
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
Union Berlin
Hamburger SV
1. FC Heidenheim
Hamburger SV
Bayern München
Hamburger SV
FC St. Pauli
Hamburger SV
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg
Hamburger SV
Eintracht Frankfurt
Hamburger SV
1899 Hoffenheim
Bayer Leverkusen
RB Leipzig
Bayer Leverkusen
FC Augsburg
Bayer Leverkusen
VfL Wolfsburg
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayern München
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
FSV Mainz 05
Bayer Leverkusen
Olympiakos Piraeus
Bayer Leverkusen
FC St. Pauli
Bayer Leverkusen
Villarreal
Bayer Leverkusen
Werder Bremen
Bayer Leverkusen
VfB Stuttgart
Bayer Leverkusen
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
Newcastle
Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Dortmund
Bayer Leverkusen
1. FC Heidenheim
Bayer Leverkusen
SC Freiburg
Bayer Leverkusen
Paris Saint Germain
Bayer Leverkusen
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
PSV Eindhoven
Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Hamburger SV
Eintracht Frankfurt
Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen
Hamburger SV
VfB Stuttgart
Hamburger SV
Borussia Dortmund
Hamburger SV
VfL Wolfsburg
Hamburger SV
FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
1. FC Heidenheim
Hamburger SV
FC St. Pauli
Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg
Hamburger SV
1899 Hoffenheim
Hamburger SV
FC Augsburg
Hamburger SV
1. FC Köln
Hamburger SV
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
Union Berlin
Hamburger SV
Bayern München
Hamburger SV
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Hamburger SV
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hamburger SV
SV Darmstadt 98
Hamburger SV
FC Schalke 04
Hamburger SV
1. FC Nürnberg
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 86 | 89 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 36 | 73 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 19 | 65 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 22 | 62 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 13 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
Home
|
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 21 | 59 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | -6 | 47 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | -4 | 44 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | -16 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | -9 | 40 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | -14 | 39 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 38 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 |
Hamburger SV
Away
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | -14 | 38 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | -14 | 32 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | -24 | 29 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | -31 | 26 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | -31 | 26 |
L
L
L
L
D
|