GERMANY BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
BayArena
Referee: Benjamin Brand, Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
Match Timeline
FC Augsburg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
P. Schick · Assist: E. Tapsoba
Bayer Leverkusen
15'
F. Rieder · Assist: D. Giannoulis
FC Augsburg
🟨
48'
Jarell Quansah
Bayer Leverkusen
🟨
52'
Fabian Rieder
FC Augsburg
🔄
60'
A. Claude-Maurice ↔ E. Rexhbecaj
FC Augsburg
🔄
65'
Lucas ↔ M. Culbreath
Bayer Leverkusen
🔄
72'
J. Quansah ↔ C. Kofane
Bayer Leverkusen
🔄
74'
R. Ribeiro ↔ U. Ogundu
FC Augsburg
🔄
81'
N. Tella ↔ J. Hofmann
Bayer Leverkusen
🔄
81'
E. Palacios ↔ M. Tillman
Bayer Leverkusen
🔄
81'
R. Fellhauer ↔ M. Wolf
FC Augsburg
🔄
82'
A. Kade ↔ M. Komur
FC Augsburg
🟨
86'
Aleix García
Bayer Leverkusen
VAR
86'
Aleix García
Bayer Leverkusen
90'
F. Rieder
FC Augsburg

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 60.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
60.2%
-
Probability Distribution
Bayer Leverkusen Win 75.4%
Draw 0%
FC Augsburg Win 24.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bayer Leverkusen1.83
FC Augsburg1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
WWDLW
75 GF / 56 GA
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg
WLDWL
36 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
22
BTTS Yes
17
20
Over 2.5
17
4.59
Shots on Goal
4.52

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 41 matches
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 29 matches
Bayer Leverkusen Statistic FC Augsburg
19 Wins 9
12 Draws 6
10 Losses 14
75 Goals For 36
56 Goals Against 53
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
22 BTTS Yes 17
34 Over 1.5 24
20 Over 2.5 17
15 Over 3.5 11
13 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 8
4.59 Shots On Goal 4.52
13.39 Total Shots 13.1
5.1 Corners 4.48
57.2% Ball Possession 45%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Bayer Leverkusen's more proactive style and FC Augsburg's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Bayer Leverkusen arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 52 points compared to FC Augsburg in 10 on 33, which underlines the gap in season consistency. FC Augsburg arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC Augsburg.

Bayer Leverkusen Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 52 points from 29 matches. Their overall return of 15 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 59:39 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by P. Schick (10 goals), A. Grimaldo (8 goals), M. Tillman (6 goals), with creative support from A. Grimaldo (7 assists), A. Garcia (6 assists), E. Poku (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with Arthur, M. Terrier unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

FC Augsburg Analysis

FC Augsburg approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 33 points from 29 matches. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 6 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 36:53 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Alexis Claude-Maurice (5 goals), F. Rieder (4 goals), Michael Gregoritsch (4 goals), with creative support from Alexis Claude-Maurice (5 assists), F. Rieder (3 assists), D. Giannoulis (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with J. Gouweleeuw, C. Matsima, N. Labrovic unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Bayer Leverkusen 3-4-2-1 / FC Augsburg 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Bayer Leverkusen 2, FC Augsburg 3
Stats
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg
Shots on Goal
10
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
13
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
13
Blocked Shots
4
11 Corner Kicks 4
5 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 0
71% Ball Possession 29%
36 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Goal 5
13 Shots off Goal 2
13 Blocked Shots 4
27 Shots insidebox 7
9 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Goalkeeper Saves 9
690 Total passes 286
637 Passes accurate 220
3.80 expected_goals 1.33
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Bayer Leverkusen
Formation
FC Augsburg
M. Flekken
M. Flekken
J. Quansah
J. Quansah
L. Bade
L. Bade
E. Tapsoba
🎯
E. Tapsoba
Lucas
Lucas
E. Palacios
E. Palacios
A. Garcia
A. Garcia
A. Grimaldo
A. Grimaldo
I. Maza
I. Maza
N. Tella
N. Tella
P. Schick
P. Schick
F. Dahmen
F. Dahmen
Arthur Chaves
Arthur Chaves
J. Gouweleeuw
J. Gouweleeuw
C. Zesiger
C. Zesiger
R. Fellhauer
R. Fellhauer
H. Massengo
H. Massengo
F. Rieder
⚽ 2
F. Rieder
D. Giannoulis
🎯
D. Giannoulis
A. Kade
A. Kade
A. Claude-Maurice
A. Claude-Maurice
R. Ribeiro
R. Ribeiro
Bayer Leverkusen 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
M. Flekken
G
4
J. Quansah
↓ 72' 🟨 48'
D
5
L. Bade
D
12
E. Tapsoba
🎯 12'
D
21
Lucas
↓ 65'
M
25
E. Palacios
↓ 81'
M
24
A. Garcia
🟨 86'
M
20
A. Grimaldo
M
30
I. Maza
F
23
N. Tella
↓ 81'
F
14
P. Schick
⚽ 12'
F
Substitutes
28
J. Blaswich
G
15
T. Oermann
D
7
J. Hofmann
↑ 81'
M
8
R. Andrich
M
10
M. Tillman
↑ 81'
M
19
E. Poku
F
17
E. Ben Seghir
F
42
M. Culbreath
↑ 65'
M
35
C. Kofane
↑ 72'
F
FC Augsburg 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
F. Dahmen
G
34
Arthur Chaves
D
6
J. Gouweleeuw
D
16
C. Zesiger
D
19
R. Fellhauer
↓ 81'
M
4
H. Massengo
M
32
F. Rieder
⚽ 15' ⚽ 90' 🟨 52'
M
13
D. Giannoulis
🎯 15'
M
30
A. Kade
↓ 82'
F
20
A. Claude-Maurice
↓ 60'
F
21
R. Ribeiro
↓ 74'
F
Substitutes
22
N. Labrovic
G
3
M. Pedersen
D
8
E. Rexhbecaj
↑ 60'
M
11
I. Gharbi
F
36
M. Komur
↑ 82'
M
40
N. Banks
D
39
U. Ogundu
↑ 74'
F
27
M. Wolf
↑ 81'
M
31
K. Schlotterbeck
D
Last matches: Bayer Leverkusen
16.05.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
Hamburger SV
1
1
D
09.05.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
VfB Stuttgart
1
3
L
02.05.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
RB Leipzig
4
1
W
25.04.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
1. FC Köln
2
1
W
11.04.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Dortmund
1
0
W
04.04.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
VfL Wolfsburg
6
3
W
21.03.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
1. FC Heidenheim
3
3
D
17.03.26
UEF
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
0
2
L
14.03.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayern München
1
1
D
11.03.26
UEF
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
1
1
D
07.03.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
SC Freiburg
3
3
D
04.03.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
Hamburger SV
1
0
W
28.02.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
FSV Mainz 05
1
1
D
24.02.26
UEF
Bayer Leverkusen
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
0
D
21.02.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
Union Berlin
0
1
L
18.02.26
UEF
Bayer Leverkusen
Olympiakos Piraeus
2
0
W
14.02.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
FC St. Pauli
4
0
W
07.02.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
1
D
31.01.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
1
W
28.01.26
UEF
Bayer Leverkusen
Villarreal
3
0
W
Last matches: FC Augsburg
16.05.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
Union Berlin
0
4
L
09.05.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3
1
W
02.05.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
Werder Bremen
3
1
W
25.04.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
1
1
D
10.04.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
1899 Hoffenheim
2
2
D
04.04.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
Hamburger SV
1
1
D
22.03.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
VfB Stuttgart
2
5
L
14.03.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
Borussia Dortmund
0
2
L
07.03.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
RB Leipzig
1
2
L
27.02.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
1. FC Köln
2
0
W
21.02.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
3
2
W
15.02.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
1. FC Heidenheim
1
0
W
07.02.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
FSV Mainz 05
0
2
L
31.01.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
FC St. Pauli
2
1
W
24.01.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
Bayern München
2
1
W
18.01.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
SC Freiburg
2
2
D
15.01.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
Union Berlin
1
1
D
11.01.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0
4
L
20.12.25
Bun
FC Augsburg
Werder Bremen
0
0
D
13.12.25
Bun
FC Augsburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
1
L
Last matches: Bayer Leverkusen
16.05.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
Hamburger SV
1
1
D
02.05.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
RB Leipzig
4
1
W
04.04.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
VfL Wolfsburg
6
3
W
14.03.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayern München
1
1
D
11.03.26
UEF
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
1
1
D
28.02.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
FSV Mainz 05
1
1
D
24.02.26
UEF
Bayer Leverkusen
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
0
D
14.02.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
FC St. Pauli
4
0
W
28.01.26
UEF
Bayer Leverkusen
Villarreal
3
0
W
24.01.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
Werder Bremen
1
0
W
10.01.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
VfB Stuttgart
1
4
L
13.12.25
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
1. FC Köln
2
0
W
10.12.25
UEF
Bayer Leverkusen
Newcastle
2
2
D
29.11.25
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Dortmund
1
2
L
08.11.25
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
1. FC Heidenheim
6
0
W
26.10.25
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
SC Freiburg
2
0
W
21.10.25
UEF
Bayer Leverkusen
Paris Saint Germain
2
7
L
04.10.25
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
Union Berlin
2
0
W
01.10.25
UEF
Bayer Leverkusen
PSV Eindhoven
1
1
D
21.09.25
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
1
D
Last matches: FC Augsburg
16.05.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
Union Berlin
0
4
L
02.05.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
Werder Bremen
3
1
W
04.04.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
Hamburger SV
1
1
D
14.03.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
Borussia Dortmund
0
2
L
07.03.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
RB Leipzig
1
2
L
21.02.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
3
2
W
07.02.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
FSV Mainz 05
0
2
L
24.01.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
Bayern München
2
1
W
11.01.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0
4
L
13.12.25
Bun
FC Augsburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
1
L
29.11.25
Bun
FC Augsburg
1899 Hoffenheim
0
3
L
09.11.25
Bun
FC Augsburg
VfB Stuttgart
2
3
L
18.10.25
Bun
FC Augsburg
1. FC Köln
1
1
D
27.09.25
Bun
FC Augsburg
1. FC Heidenheim
1
2
L
14.09.25
Bun
FC Augsburg
FC St. Pauli
1
2
L
23.08.25
Bun
FC Augsburg
SC Freiburg
3
1
W

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2 34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3 34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4 34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5 34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6 34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D
Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Bayer Leverkusen 2 missing
-
Arthur
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
M. Terrier
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
FC Augsburg 3 missing
-
J. Gouweleeuw
Questionable Knee Injury
OUT
-
C. Matsima
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
N. Labrovic
Questionable Personal Reasons
OUT