NIGERIA NPFL
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Samson Siasia Sports Stadium
Bayelsa United
Match Timeline
Kwara United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
47'
P. Ebimobowei
Bayelsa United
60'
S. Loveday
Bayelsa United
65'
S. Wisdom
Bayelsa United
70'
E. Ofem
Bayelsa United

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Bayelsa United Win 53.1%
Draw 0%
Kwara United Win 46.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bayelsa United0.88
Kwara United1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bayelsa United Bayelsa United
WWDLW
33 GF / 42 GA
Kwara United Kwara United
WLDWL
35 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
0.89
Average Goals Scored
0.95
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
18
BTTS Yes
13
11
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bayelsa United Bayelsa United 37 matches
Kwara United Kwara United 37 matches
Bayelsa United Statistic Kwara United
10 Wins 13
10 Draws 11
17 Losses 13
33 Goals For 35
42 Goals Against 32
0.89 Avg Goals Scored 0.95
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
18 BTTS Yes 13
24 Over 1.5 20
11 Over 2.5 10
3 Over 3.5 5
7 Clean Sheets 14
15 Failed To Score 16
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Kwara United. Kwara United carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 11 with 47 points while Bayelsa United sit 19 on 40, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kwara United having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Bayelsa United have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Bayelsa United Analysis

Bayelsa United sit 19 with 40 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 10 wins, 10 draws, and 17 losses, together with goals at 33:42, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through J. Emo (4 goals), E. Ikoi (3 goals), M. Jawad (3 goals), with creative support from S. Loveday (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kwara United Analysis

So far, Kwara United have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 47 points from 37 matches. The record of 13 wins, 11 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 32:32 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through B. Bright (6 goals), J. Aule (6 goals), J. Aimufua (4 goals), with creative support from Y. Ibrahim (1 assists), P. Ozor (1 assists), V. Adeoye (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Bayelsa United won 2 times, Kwara United won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:6 from Bayelsa United's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.17 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Bayelsa United wins 2, draws 1, Kwara United wins 3

Lineups

Bayelsa United
Formation
Kwara United
E. Andy
E. Andy
S. Loveday
S. Loveday
U. Williams
U. Williams
G. Biriduba
G. Biriduba
K. Ihunwo
K. Ihunwo
A. Edwin
A. Edwin
S. Garba
S. Garba
P. Ebimobowei
P. Ebimobowei
S. Wisdom
S. Wisdom
B. Tombiri
B. Tombiri
E. Ofem
E. Ofem
S. Ayeleso
S. Ayeleso
Y. Ibrahim
Y. Ibrahim
J. Gbadamosi
J. Gbadamosi
M. Kabiru
M. Kabiru
G. Abutu
G. Abutu
A. Shola
A. Shola
P. Ozor
P. Ozor
T. Gidado
T. Gidado
B. Bright
B. Bright
J. Aimufua
J. Aimufua
A. Olanrewaju
A. Olanrewaju
Bayelsa United 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
35
E. Andy
4
S. Loveday
⚽ 60'
33
U. Williams
5
G. Biriduba
2
K. Ihunwo
25
A. Edwin
23
S. Garba
17
P. Ebimobowei
⚽ 47'
7
S. Wisdom
⚽ 65'
19
B. Tombiri
10
E. Ofem
⚽ 70'
Substitutes
16
K. Oladipo
21
Abidde
29
A. Ogundare
18
O. Divine
8
E. Chinedu
26
E. Etunuya
27
J. Emo
34
P. Sagbamaowei
Kwara United 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
S. Ayeleso
25
Y. Ibrahim
5
J. Gbadamosi
12
M. Kabiru
6
G. Abutu
8
A. Shola
4
P. Ozor
20
T. Gidado
2
B. Bright
14
J. Aimufua
15
A. Olanrewaju
Substitutes
36
S. Ezenabo
B. Nurudeen
19
J. Hannafin
27
M. Salisu
M. Alao
7
S. Ashimu
A. Abdulsalam
Last matches: Bayelsa United
10.05.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Remo Stars
1
2
L
03.05.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Enugu Rangers
0
2
L
19.04.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Katsina United
2
3
L
12.04.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Wikki Tourist
0
1
L
06.04.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Abia Warriors
0
1
L
29.03.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Kano Pillars
4
1
W
22.03.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Plateau United
0
1
L
15.03.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Warri Wolves
2
1
W
08.03.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Kun Khalifat FC
0
1
L
01.03.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Rivers United
1
0
W
22.02.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Ikorodu City
1
1
D
15.02.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Bendel Insurance
0
0
D
08.02.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Nasarawa United
1
1
D
01.02.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Enyimba
0
1
L
29.01.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Niger Tornadoes
0
0
D
25.01.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Barau FC
1
1
D
18.01.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Shooting Stars
2
0
W
14.01.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
El Kanemi Warriors
0
1
L
28.12.25
NPF
Bayelsa United
El Kanemi Warriors
0
1
L
21.12.25
NPF
Bayelsa United
Kwara United
0
2
L
Last matches: Kwara United
10.05.26
NPF
Kwara United
Enyimba
2
0
W
03.05.26
NPF
Kwara United
Niger Tornadoes
2
2
D
19.04.26
NPF
Kwara United
Barau FC
2
1
W
12.04.26
NPF
Kwara United
Shooting Stars
0
0
D
05.04.26
NPF
Kwara United
El Kanemi Warriors
3
0
W
28.03.26
NPF
Kwara United
Nasarawa United
1
0
W
22.03.26
NPF
Kwara United
Remo Stars
1
3
L
15.03.26
NPF
Kwara United
Enugu Rangers
0
0
D
08.03.26
NPF
Kwara United
Katsina United
2
1
W
28.02.26
NPF
Kwara United
Wikki Tourist
1
0
W
22.02.26
NPF
Kwara United
Abia Warriors
0
1
L
18.02.26
NPF
Kwara United
Rivers United
1
1
D
15.02.26
NPF
Kwara United
Kano Pillars
1
1
D
08.02.26
NPF
Kwara United
Plateau United
0
1
L
02.02.26
NPF
Kwara United
Warri Wolves
2
1
W
29.01.26
NPF
Kwara United
Kun Khalifat FC
0
1
L
18.01.26
NPF
Kwara United
Ikorodu City
0
1
L
14.01.26
NPF
Kwara United
Bendel Insurance
0
1
L
27.12.25
NPF
Kwara United
Bendel Insurance
0
2
L
21.12.25
NPF
Kwara United
Bayelsa United
2
0
W
H2H: Bayelsa United vs Kwara United
24.05.26
H2H
Bayelsa United
Kwara United
4
0
W
21.12.25
H2H
Kwara United
Bayelsa United
2
0
L
15.02.25
H2H
Kwara United
Bayelsa United
1
0
L
29.09.24
H2H
Bayelsa United
Kwara United
1
1
D
13.03.24
H2H
Kwara United
Bayelsa United
1
0
L
29.10.23
H2H
Bayelsa United
Kwara United
2
1
W
Last matches: Bayelsa United
03.05.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Enugu Rangers
0
2
L
12.04.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Wikki Tourist
0
1
L
29.03.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Kano Pillars
4
1
W
15.03.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Warri Wolves
2
1
W
01.03.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Rivers United
1
0
W
15.02.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Bendel Insurance
0
0
D
29.01.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Niger Tornadoes
0
0
D
18.01.26
NPF
Bayelsa United
Shooting Stars
2
0
W
28.12.25
NPF
Bayelsa United
El Kanemi Warriors
0
1
L
14.12.25
NPF
Bayelsa United
Remo Stars
2
1
W
30.11.25
NPF
Bayelsa United
Katsina United
1
1
D
16.11.25
NPF
Bayelsa United
Abia Warriors
2
1
W
02.11.25
NPF
Bayelsa United
Plateau United
2
1
W
19.10.25
NPF
Bayelsa United
Kun Khalifat FC
1
2
L
05.10.25
NPF
Bayelsa United
Ikorodu City
1
1
D
21.09.25
NPF
Bayelsa United
Nasarawa United
1
2
L
14.09.25
NPF
Bayelsa United
Enyimba
0
2
L
31.08.25
NPF
Bayelsa United
Barau FC
2
0
W
H2H at home: Bayelsa United
24.05.26
H2H
Bayelsa United
Kwara United
4
0
W
29.09.24
H2H
Bayelsa United
Kwara United
1
1
D
29.10.23
H2H
Bayelsa United
Kwara United
2
1
W
Last matches: Kwara United
03.05.26
NPF
Kwara United
Niger Tornadoes
2
2
D
12.04.26
NPF
Kwara United
Shooting Stars
0
0
D
22.03.26
NPF
Kwara United
Remo Stars
1
3
L
08.03.26
NPF
Kwara United
Katsina United
2
1
W
22.02.26
NPF
Kwara United
Abia Warriors
0
1
L
08.02.26
NPF
Kwara United
Plateau United
0
1
L
29.01.26
NPF
Kwara United
Kun Khalifat FC
0
1
L
18.01.26
NPF
Kwara United
Ikorodu City
0
1
L
27.12.25
NPF
Kwara United
Bendel Insurance
0
2
L
14.12.25
NPF
Kwara United
Enyimba
1
3
L
30.11.25
NPF
Kwara United
Barau FC
2
3
L
16.11.25
NPF
Kwara United
El Kanemi Warriors
0
2
L
09.11.25
NPF
Kwara United
Nasarawa United
1
1
D
26.10.25
NPF
Kwara United
Enugu Rangers
0
0
D
12.10.25
NPF
Kwara United
Wikki Tourist
1
1
D
08.10.25
NPF
Kwara United
Kano Pillars
0
1
L
14.09.25
NPF
Kwara United
Warri Wolves
0
0
D
31.08.25
NPF
Kwara United
Rivers United
0
1
L
H2H away: Kwara United
24.05.26
H2H
Bayelsa United
Kwara United
4
0
L
29.09.24
H2H
Bayelsa United
Kwara United
1
1
D
29.10.23
H2H
Bayelsa United
Kwara United
2
1
L