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BELARUS › 1. DIVISION
02.10.2026 14:00
Haradski Stadium
BATE II
Match Timeline
Ostrovets FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
18'
M. Boychenko · Assist: R. Medvedev
Ostrovets FC
🔄
23'
N. Shcherbakov ↔ M. Karpovich
BATE II
🔄
38'
M. Kunskiy ↔ R. Aliyev
BATE II
🔄
38'
E. Nikolaev ↔ M. Tolkach
BATE II
⚽
46'
D. Tsyk
BATE II
🔄
61'
↔ E. Shakhnovich
BATE II
🔄
61'
K. Goncharik ↔ A. Fedosenko
Ostrovets FC
🔄
61'
D. Tsyk ↔ E. Mikhey
Ostrovets FC
🔄
61'
R. Davyskiba ↔ A. Gonzhurov
Ostrovets FC
🔄
61'
R. Medvedev ↔ N. Yakimovich
Ostrovets FC
🟨
67'
A. Davidovich
Ostrovets FC
🔄
74'
M. Boychenko ↔ T. Statkevich
Ostrovets FC
🟨
81'
N. Yakimovich
Ostrovets FC
🟨
86'
V. Kisel
BATE II

BATE II vs Ostrovets FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
BATE II Win 33.7%
Draw 13.7%
Ostrovets FC Win 52.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
BATE II1.39
Ostrovets FC1.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
BATE II BATE II
L L W L D
6 GF / 11 GA
Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC
D L W W W
11 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.38
2.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
18
BTTS Yes
19
18
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

BATE II BATE II 26 matches
Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC 26 matches
BATE II Statistic Ostrovets FC
5 Wins 8
6 Draws 10
15 Losses 8
35 Goals For 36
60 Goals Against 38
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
2.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
18 BTTS Yes 19
24 Over 1.5 22
18 Over 2.5 13
11 Over 3.5 10
1 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ostrovets FC having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ostrovets FC. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Ostrovets FC look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

BATE II Analysis

With 21 points from 26 games and a place of 17, BATE II still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 35:60 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ostrovets FC Analysis

From their first 25 matches, Ostrovets FC have collected 33 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. The record of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 35:37 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, BATE II won 1 times, Ostrovets FC won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:10 from BATE II's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.3%)
H2H summary: BATE II wins 1, draws 1, Ostrovets FC wins 3

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 19 6 4 58:28 30 63
W W W W W
2 29 19 4 6 76:35 41 61
W W D W L
3 29 19 3 7 53:43 10 60
W W W W L
4 29 17 5 7 61:35 26 56
L W W W W
5 29 16 5 8 53:33 20 53
W W D W W
6 28 14 3 11 48:49 -1 45
L L L W D
7 29 12 8 9 56:46 10 44
D W D W W
8 29 12 5 12 53:45 8 41
L L W D W
9 29 11 6 12 36:36 0 39
W W W L W
10 29 8 12 9 39:42 -3 36
D L D D L
11 26 10 5 11 42:39 3 35
L W D L W
12 29 10 5 14 42:55 -13 35
L D L L L
13 29 10 3 16 41:53 -12 33
W L L L D
14 28 7 8 13 28:36 -8 29
W L D L L
15 29 7 6 16 30:55 -25 27
L L D L L
16 29 6 5 18 33:70 -37 23
W D L D D
17 28 5 7 16 36:62 -26 22
L D L L W
18 29 5 6 18 38:61 -23 21
L L L L L