BELARUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Haradski Stadium
BATE II
Match Timeline
Dinamo Minsk II
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
A. Lutskovich · Assist: G. Drozd
Dinamo Minsk II
15'
A. Chumak
Dinamo Minsk II
🟨
28'
Y. Kuzmenok
BATE II
🟨
34'
E. Shakhnovich
BATE II
38'
M. Mardas · Assist: I. Kuimov
BATE II
🔄
46'
G. Protasenya ↔ R. Aliyev
BATE II
🔄
46'
M. Dubatovka ↔ S. Zhigimont
Dinamo Minsk II
🟨
52'
N. Shcherbakov
BATE II
🔄
57'
D. Degtyarenko ↔ V. Voronin
Dinamo Minsk II
🔄
63'
M. Mardas ↔ A. Apanasevich
BATE II
🔄
63'
I. Chernykh ↔ M. Gavrilov
BATE II
🟨
64'
G. Sereda
Dinamo Minsk II
🔄
73'
N. Mirskiy ↔ M. Tolkach
BATE II
🔄
75'
A. Grabtsevich ↔ T. Gudach
Dinamo Minsk II
🔄
75'
A. Chumak ↔ D. Leonenko
Dinamo Minsk II
🔄
76'
V. Kisel ↔ M. Karpovich
BATE II
81'
P. Kolosovskiy · Assist: R. Aliyev
BATE II
84'
P. Kolosovskiy · Assist: I. Kuimov
BATE II
🟨
90+2'
V. Voronin
Dinamo Minsk II
🟨
90+3'
N. Shcherbakov
BATE II
🟥
90+3'
N. Shcherbakov
BATE II

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
82.2%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
BATE II Win 11.9%
Draw 5.9%
Dinamo Minsk II Win 82.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
BATE II1.45
Dinamo Minsk II1.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
BATE II BATE II
WWDLW
13 GF / 20 GA
Dinamo Minsk II Dinamo Minsk II
WLDWL
23 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.92
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
8
BTTS Yes
8
5
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

BATE II BATE II 10 matches
Dinamo Minsk II Dinamo Minsk II 12 matches
BATE II Statistic Dinamo Minsk II
1 Wins 6
5 Draws 2
4 Losses 4
13 Goals For 23
20 Goals Against 20
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.92
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
8 BTTS Yes 8
9 Over 1.5 12
5 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 6
1 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Dinamo Minsk II's more proactive style and BATE II's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Dinamo Minsk II having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Dinamo Minsk II. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Dinamo Minsk II carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 17 points while BATE II sit 16 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

BATE II Analysis

BATE II sit 16 with 8 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats with a 13:20 goal balance points toward poor form . Going forward they depend heavily on A. Apanasevich (3 goals), N. Mirskiy (3 goals), P. Kolosovskiy (3 goals), with creative support from P. Kolosovskiy (3 assists), Y. Kuzmenok (3 assists), M. Tolkach (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dinamo Minsk II Analysis

Placed 5 with 17 points from 9 outings, Dinamo Minsk II continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while the 21:12 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on A. Lutskovich (6 goals), K. Kaplenko (4 goals), A. Voskoboynikov (3 goals), with creative support from S. Zhivushko (5 assists), G. Drozd (4 assists), A. Lutskovich (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, BATE II won 3 times, Dinamo Minsk II won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:10 from BATE II's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.1%)
H2H summary: BATE II wins 3, draws 1, Dinamo Minsk II wins 1

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 14 3 5 57:26 31 45
W L W W W
2 22 13 5 4 43:23 20 44
W D D L L
3 22 13 3 6 42:35 7 42
W W L W W
4 22 12 5 5 43:26 17 41
W L W L L
5 22 12 2 8 38:34 4 38
W W W W D
6 22 11 3 8 40:28 12 36
L W L W L
7 22 10 4 8 41:33 8 34
L W W L W
8 22 9 4 9 40:35 5 31
W W L L L
9 22 9 4 9 37:39 -2 31
L L L D D
10 22 8 5 9 42:40 2 29
L L L L W
11 22 9 2 11 30:38 -8 29
L D W L W
12 22 6 9 7 27:31 -4 27
W W L W W
13 22 7 4 11 25:40 -15 25
W L L D L
14 22 6 6 10 21:28 -7 24
L W D D W
15 22 6 5 11 26:33 -7 23
L L W W L
16 22 5 6 11 30:39 -9 21
D L L W L
17 22 4 6 12 31:51 -20 18
D W W L L
18 22 5 2 15 23:57 -34 17
L W D W L