BELARUS 1. DIVISION
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Haradski Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 72.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
72.6%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
BATE II Win 22%
Draw 5.4%
Bumprom Win 72.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
BATE II1.32
Bumprom1.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
BATE II BATE II
WWDLW
21 GF / 41 GA
Bumprom Bumprom
WLDWL
36 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.71
2.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
12
BTTS Yes
14
10
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

BATE II BATE II 17 matches
Bumprom Bumprom 21 matches
BATE II Statistic Bumprom
2 Wins 8
5 Draws 4
10 Losses 9
21 Goals For 36
41 Goals Against 30
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
2.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
12 BTTS Yes 14
15 Over 1.5 17
10 Over 2.5 12
8 Over 3.5 8
1 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Bumprom's more proactive style and BATE II's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Bumprom. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Bumprom having the stronger overall control. Bumprom carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 24 points while BATE II sit 17 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

BATE II Analysis

With 11 points from 16 games and a place of 17, BATE II still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 21:40 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bumprom Analysis

Bumprom approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 24 points from 16 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 30:22, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, BATE II won 1 times, Bumprom won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:13 from BATE II's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
H2H summary: BATE II wins 1, draws 0, Bumprom wins 4
Last matches: BATE II
02.08.26
1.
BATE II
Minsk II
0
1
L
24.07.26
1.
BATE II
Osipovichy
1
3
L
11.07.26
1.
BATE II
Lida
1
4
L
04.07.26
1.
BATE II
Niva
0
5
L
28.06.26
1.
BATE II
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
3
4
L
21.06.26
1.
BATE II
FC Slutsk
0
2
L
14.06.26
1.
BATE II
Dinamo Minsk II
3
2
W
06.06.26
1.
BATE II
Ostrovets FC
0
0
D
01.06.26
1.
BATE II
Slonim
2
5
L
22.05.26
1.
BATE II
Shakhter Soligorsk
1
1
D
17.05.26
1.
BATE II
Uni Minsk
1
1
D
08.05.26
1.
BATE II
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2
3
L
01.05.26
1.
BATE II
Gomel II
4
3
W
25.04.26
1.
BATE II
Orsha
1
2
L
18.04.26
1.
BATE II
Volna
1
1
D
10.04.26
1.
BATE II
Smorgon
1
1
D
04.04.26
1.
BATE II
Bumprom
0
3
L
Last matches: Bumprom
01.08.26
1.
Bumprom
Uni Minsk
1
1
D
26.07.26
1.
Bumprom
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0
1
L
12.07.26
1.
Bumprom
Gomel II
1
1
D
04.07.26
1.
Bumprom
Orsha
1
3
L
27.06.26
1.
Bumprom
Volna
1
2
L
20.06.26
1.
Bumprom
Smorgon
2
1
W
13.06.26
1.
Bumprom
Shakhter Soligorsk
6
2
W
06.06.26
1.
Bumprom
Minsk II
1
1
D
31.05.26
1.
Bumprom
Osipovichy
5
1
W
23.05.26
1.
Bumprom
Lida
2
0
W
17.05.26
1.
Bumprom
Niva
0
1
L
10.05.26
1.
Bumprom
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
2
0
W
03.05.26
1.
Bumprom
FC Slutsk
1
3
L
25.04.26
1.
Bumprom
Dinamo Minsk II
4
3
W
18.04.26
1.
Bumprom
Ostrovets FC
1
3
L
11.04.26
1.
Bumprom
Slonim
0
0
D
04.04.26
1.
Bumprom
BATE II
3
0
W
13.03.26
Fri
Bumprom
FC Gomel
1
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Bumprom
FC Gomel
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
Bumprom
Belshina
3
1
W
H2H: BATE II vs Bumprom
04.04.26
H2H
Bumprom
BATE II
3
0
L
16.11.25
H2H
Bumprom
BATE II
4
0
L
19.07.25
H2H
BATE II
Bumprom
2
3
L
19.10.24
H2H
Bumprom
BATE II
3
0
L
23.06.24
H2H
BATE II
Bumprom
1
0
W
Last matches: BATE II
02.08.26
1.
BATE II
Minsk II
0
1
L
11.07.26
1.
BATE II
Lida
1
4
L
28.06.26
1.
BATE II
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
3
4
L
14.06.26
1.
BATE II
Dinamo Minsk II
3
2
W
01.06.26
1.
BATE II
Slonim
2
5
L
08.05.26
1.
BATE II
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2
3
L
25.04.26
1.
BATE II
Orsha
1
2
L
10.04.26
1.
BATE II
Smorgon
1
1
D
H2H at home: BATE II
19.07.25
H2H
BATE II
Bumprom
2
3
L
23.06.24
H2H
BATE II
Bumprom
1
0
W
Last matches: Bumprom
01.08.26
1.
Bumprom
Uni Minsk
1
1
D
12.07.26
1.
Bumprom
Gomel II
1
1
D
27.06.26
1.
Bumprom
Volna
1
2
L
06.06.26
1.
Bumprom
Minsk II
1
1
D
23.05.26
1.
Bumprom
Lida
2
0
W
10.05.26
1.
Bumprom
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
2
0
W
25.04.26
1.
Bumprom
Dinamo Minsk II
4
3
W
13.03.26
Fri
Bumprom
FC Gomel
1
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Bumprom
FC Gomel
0
1
L
31.01.26
Fri
Bumprom
Slavia Mozyr
1
2
L
H2H away: Bumprom
19.07.25
H2H
BATE II
Bumprom
2
3
W
23.06.24
H2H
BATE II
Bumprom
1
0
L

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 3 2 37:18 19 39
W D W D L
2 17 10 5 2 37:19 18 35
L D D W W
3 17 10 3 4 39:19 20 33
W W D W W
4 17 9 3 5 31:20 11 30
L W D L W
5 17 9 3 5 31:27 4 30
W L W D W
6 17 9 2 6 32:27 5 29
W W L W W
7 17 7 5 5 36:25 11 26
L D W L L
8 17 7 4 6 31:23 8 25
D L D L L
9 16 7 4 5 30:22 8 25
L D L W D
10 17 8 1 8 25:31 -6 25
W W L W L
11 17 7 1 9 21:32 -11 22
W W W L W
12 16 5 3 8 19:29 -10 18
W L D W L
13 17 4 5 8 24:27 -3 17
L L D W W
14 17 4 5 8 20:27 -7 17
L W D L W
15 17 4 4 9 15:27 -12 16
D L W D L
16 17 2 9 6 19:26 -7 15
L L D D D
17 17 2 5 10 21:41 -20 11
L L L L L
18 17 3 1 13 20:48 -28 10
W W L L L