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BELARUS › PREMIER LEAGUE
10.10.2026 14:00
Borisov Arena
Bate Borisov
Match Timeline
Slavia Mozyr
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
19'
Ilya Rashchenya
Slavia Mozyr
⚽
27'
E. Kress · Assist: E. Puerto
Bate Borisov
⚽
36'
V. Varaksa · Assist: Y. Kovalev
Bate Borisov
🔄
42'
D. Yashin ↔ P. Chikida
Slavia Mozyr
🔄
42'
R. Ngatchou ↔ D. Fedorenko
Slavia Mozyr
🟨
50'
Denis·Fedorenko
Slavia Mozyr
⚽
50'
D. Fedorenko
Slavia Mozyr
🔄
70'
E. Shevchenko ↔ A. Derzhinskiy
Slavia Mozyr
🔄
70'
T. Lutsevich ↔ N. Romanov
Slavia Mozyr
🔄
83'
Y. Kovalev ↔ Y. Khramtsevich
Bate Borisov
🟨
87'
Yuli Kuznetsov
Slavia Mozyr
🟨
90+3'
Ivan Bionchik
Slavia Mozyr
🟨
90+4'
Vitaliy·Likhtin
Slavia Mozyr
🔄
90+4'
I. Mikhnyuk ↔ M. Sakuta
Bate Borisov
🔄
90+4'
E. Puerto ↔ E. Rusakov
Bate Borisov
🔄
90+2'
A. Dzhigero ↔ V. Likhtin
Slavia Mozyr

Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.3%
Odds 2.77
BTTS
No
Probability 71.7%
Odds 1.84
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.61
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.3%
2.77 ▥
BTTS No
71.7%
1.84 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.61 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.70 ▥
Correct Score 1-0
-
4.90 ▥
Probability Distribution
Bate Borisov Win 53.3%
Draw 10.1%
Slavia Mozyr Win 36.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bate Borisov0.84
Slavia Mozyr1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bate Borisov Bate Borisov
WWDLW
22 GF / 41 GA
Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr
WLDWL
34 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
0.65
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
13
BTTS Yes
15
10
Over 2.5
13
1.12
Shots on Goal
1.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bate Borisov Bate Borisov 34 matches
Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 30 matches
Bate Borisov Statistic Slavia Mozyr
4 Wins 11
15 Draws 8
15 Losses 11
22 Goals For 34
41 Goals Against 34
0.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
13 BTTS Yes 15
20 Over 1.5 19
10 Over 2.5 13
4 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 11
19 Failed To Score 8
1.12 Shots On Goal 1.5
0.56 Total Shots 0
1.52 Corners 2
19.4% Ball Possession 18.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Slavia Mozyr. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bate Borisov expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Slavia Mozyr in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Slavia Mozyr having the stronger overall control.

Bate Borisov Analysis

Bate Borisov sit 14 with 18 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 16:27, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Slavia Mozyr Analysis

Slavia Mozyr approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 25 points from 22 matches. The overall return of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats with a 23:26 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Bate Borisov won 2 times, Slavia Mozyr won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:3 from Bate Borisov's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.9%)
Predicted formations: Bate Borisov 4-2-3-1 / Slavia Mozyr 3-4-3
H2H summary: Bate Borisov wins 2, draws 3, Slavia Mozyr wins 0

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 13 8 1 47:18 29 47
W W D D D
2 23 13 7 3 37:18 19 46
D L W D W
3 22 14 4 4 40:18 22 46
W W L D W
4 24 13 4 7 31:20 11 43
W W W W D
5 24 13 4 7 39:23 16 43
W W W W L
6 24 11 6 7 34:23 11 39
L W L W W
7 24 10 7 7 28:21 7 37
D W D L W
8 24 10 4 10 30:29 1 34
L L W W L
9 23 8 6 9 29:29 0 30
W L L L W
10 23 6 7 10 24:28 -4 25
L L L W L
11 24 6 7 11 24:41 -17 25
L L D W W
12 24 5 8 11 24:42 -18 23
L L D D L
13 24 4 9 11 18:30 -12 21
L W L D L
14 23 5 6 12 23:40 -17 21
L W D D D
15 24 4 5 15 24:55 -31 17
W W D L L
16 24 2 10 12 22:39 -17 16
L L D L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga