MACEDONIA FIRST LEAGUE
12.09.2026 14:00
KF Bashkimi Stadium
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Match Timeline
Vardar Skopje
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
20'
F. Ismaili
Bashkimi Kumanovo
33'
A. Da Silva Sanca
Bashkimi Kumanovo
38'
D. Babunski
Vardar Skopje
🟨
39'
A. Omeragic
Vardar Skopje
🟨
53'
M. Januzi
Bashkimi Kumanovo
🔄
58'
B. Nikolov ↔ N. Bosancic
Vardar Skopje
🔄
62'
D. Danev ↔ F. Cvetkovski
Vardar Skopje
🔄
62'
M. Manevski ↔ I. Puleio
Vardar Skopje
70'
G. Zakaric
Vardar Skopje
72'
G. Zakaric
Vardar Skopje
🔄
73'
A. Stafa ↔ B. Limani
Bashkimi Kumanovo
🟨
74'
G. Zakaric
Vardar Skopje
🟨
78'
E. Spahiu
Vardar Skopje
🔄
79'
G. Zakaric ↔ D. Todorovski
Vardar Skopje
🔄
79'
E. Spahiu ↔ D. Castaneda
Vardar Skopje
🔄
85'
M. Januzi ↔ H. Saiti
Bashkimi Kumanovo
86'
H. Saiti
Bashkimi Kumanovo
🟨
88'
Y. Fawzi
Bashkimi Kumanovo
🔄
90+4'
A. Da Silva Sanca ↔ X. Kapllanaj
Bashkimi Kumanovo

Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Vardar Skopje Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 83.5%
Odds 1.17
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 2.09
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.40
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
83.5%
1.17
BTTS Yes
62.8%
2.09
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.40
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
Bashkimi Kumanovo Win 8.3%
Draw 8.3%
Vardar Skopje Win 83.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bashkimi Kumanovo1.39
Vardar Skopje1.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bashkimi Kumanovo Bashkimi Kumanovo
WWDLW
12 GF / 23 GA
Vardar Skopje Vardar Skopje
WLDWL
27 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.09
Average Goals Scored
1.42
2.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.84
5
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bashkimi Kumanovo Bashkimi Kumanovo 11 matches
Vardar Skopje Vardar Skopje 19 matches
Bashkimi Kumanovo Statistic Vardar Skopje
4 Wins 6
1 Draws 4
6 Losses 9
12 Goals For 27
23 Goals Against 35
1.09 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
2.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.84
5 BTTS Yes 10
10 Over 1.5 16
8 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Vardar Skopje's more proactive style and Bashkimi Kumanovo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Vardar Skopje. Bashkimi Kumanovo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Vardar Skopje having the stronger overall control. Vardar Skopje carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 7 points while Bashkimi Kumanovo sit 10 on 0, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Bashkimi Kumanovo Analysis

Bashkimi Kumanovo sit 10 with 0 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 1:17 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Vardar Skopje Analysis

From their first 5 matches, Vardar Skopje have collected 7 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 7:5 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Bashkimi Kumanovo won 0 times, Vardar Skopje won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:3 from Bashkimi Kumanovo's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (91.8%)
H2H summary: Bashkimi Kumanovo wins 0, draws 1, Vardar Skopje wins 2

Standings

First League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 20:8 12 19
W D L W W
2 8 5 2 1 19:5 14 17
W D W W L
3 8 4 2 2 14:8 6 14
W D W D W
4 8 3 4 1 17:7 10 13
D D W D D
5 8 4 1 3 6:9 -3 13
L W W W L
6 8 3 1 4 11:13 -2 10
W D L L W
7 8 2 3 3 13:10 3 9
D D L L L
8 8 2 2 4 6:19 -13 8
L D L D W
9 8 1 1 6 7:25 -18 4
L D W L L
10 8 0 3 5 3:12 -9 3
L L L D D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
1. MFL (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL