MACEDONIA › FIRST LEAGUE
02.05.2026 14:00
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Match Timeline
Vardar Skopje
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
G. Zakaric
Vardar Skopje
⚽
45'
B. Nikolov
Vardar Skopje
🔄
65'
D. Danev ↔ D. Todorovski
Vardar Skopje
🔄
65'
M. Manevski ↔ F. Cvetkovski
Vardar Skopje
🔄
72'
F. Trawally ↔ E. Asani
Bashkimi Kumanovo
🔄
72'
F. Aleksovski ↔ H. Saiti
Bashkimi Kumanovo
🔄
80'
A. Alimi ↔ D. Manasievski
Bashkimi Kumanovo
🔄
84'
S. Cvetkovic ↔ D. Babunski
Vardar Skopje
🔄
84'
N. Bosancic ↔ E. Spahiu
Vardar Skopje

Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Vardar Skopje Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 77%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
77%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
40.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Bashkimi Kumanovo Win 23%
Draw 0%
Vardar Skopje Win 77%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bashkimi Kumanovo1.08
Vardar Skopje2.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bashkimi Kumanovo Bashkimi Kumanovo
WWDLW
36 GF / 47 GA
Vardar Skopje Vardar Skopje
WLDWL
79 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
2.39
1.62
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
15
BTTS Yes
17
16
Over 2.5
21
1
Shots on Goal
2.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bashkimi Kumanovo Bashkimi Kumanovo 29 matches
Vardar Skopje Vardar Skopje 33 matches
Bashkimi Kumanovo Statistic Vardar Skopje
11 Wins 24
7 Draws 6
11 Losses 3
36 Goals For 79
47 Goals Against 28
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 2.39
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
15 BTTS Yes 17
23 Over 1.5 23
16 Over 2.5 21
10 Over 3.5 14
7 Clean Sheets 13
10 Failed To Score 5
1 Shots On Goal 2.14
3 Total Shots 4.57
1.75 Corners 2
13.5% Ball Possession 20.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Vardar Skopje's more proactive style and Bashkimi Kumanovo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Vardar Skopje. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Vardar Skopje look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Vardar Skopje having the stronger overall control. Vardar Skopje carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 71 points while Bashkimi Kumanovo sit 6 on 40, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Bashkimi Kumanovo Analysis

From their first 29 matches, Bashkimi Kumanovo have collected 40 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 7 draws, and 11 losses, while the 36:47 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Avornyo (10 goals), F. Aleksovski (6 goals), M. Simonovski (3 goals), with creative support from B. Panovski (1 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Vardar Skopje Analysis

Vardar Skopje approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 71 points after 29 outings. With 22 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 72:20, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Omeragikj (14 goals), R. Mato (12 goals), G. Zakaric (8 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Bashkimi Kumanovo won 0 times, Vardar Skopje won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:3 from Bashkimi Kumanovo's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Bashkimi Kumanovo wins 0, draws 1, Vardar Skopje wins 2

Standings

1. MFL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 26 5 2 80:21 59 83
W W W W W
2 33 23 5 5 67:30 37 74
L W W D L
3 33 19 5 9 68:28 40 62
L L L L W
4 33 16 5 12 59:36 23 53
L L L D L
5 33 14 6 13 59:47 12 48
W D W D L
6 33 13 7 13 50:53 -3 46
W W D D W
7 33 11 9 13 40:54 -14 42
L D D L W
8 33 10 10 13 41:42 -1 40
D W D W D
9 33 10 10 13 46:56 -10 40
L W L D W
10 33 9 7 17 42:57 -15 34
W D L W W
11 33 9 6 18 45:58 -13 33
L W D D L
12 33 0 1 32 15:130 -115 1
L L L L L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation