Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
80.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
59.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
73.4%
|
- |
Başakşehir
Kasımpaşa
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Başakşehir
36 matches
Kasımpaşa
30 matches
| Başakşehir | Statistic | Kasımpaşa |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 7 |
| 10 | Draws | 10 |
| 10 | Losses | 13 |
| 59 | Goals For | 29 |
| 38 | Goals Against | 41 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.97 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.37 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 29 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 4.42 | Shots On Goal | 2.67 |
| 12.64 | Total Shots | 9.73 |
| 4.75 | Corners | 4.3 |
| 53.7% | Ball Possession | 45% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Başakşehir's more proactive style and Kasımpaşa's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Kasımpaşa. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Başakşehir arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 48 points compared to Kasımpaşa in 13 on 31, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Başakşehir arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 48 points after 30 matches. Their overall return of 13 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 47:30 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by E. Shomurodov (18 goals), D. Selke (8 goals), B. Yildirim (6 goals), with creative support from Miguel Crespo (5 assists), Yusuf Sarı (5 assists), E. Shomurodov (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with A. Fayzullaev, J. Opoku unavailable.
Kasımpaşa are currently 13 in the standings with 31 points from 30 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 10 draws, and 13 losses, while the 28:41 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Benedyczak (6 goals), P. Gueye (5 goals), Cláudio Winck (3 goals), with creative support from M. Ben Ouanes (5 assists), İrfan Can Kahveci (3 assists), F. Diabate (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with H. Hajradinovic, J. Allevinah, K. Corekci unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Başakşehir won 11 times, Kasımpaşa won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 40:18 from Başakşehir's perspective. 14 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.87 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 77:30 | 47 | 77 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 77:37 | 40 | 74 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 61:39 | 22 | 69 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 59:40 | 19 | 60 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 |
Başakşehir
Home
|
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58:35 | 23 | 57 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
| 6 | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 42:32 | 10 | 55 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 46:45 | 1 | 51 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 41 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 40 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 26:38 | -12 | 37 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 37 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43:58 | -15 | 37 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 |
Kasımpaşa
Away
|
34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 33:49 | -16 | 35 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 36:47 | -11 | 34 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:48 | -15 | 33 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 33:55 | -22 | 32 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 27:62 | -35 | 30 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 31:54 | -23 | 30 |
W
W
W
D
L
|