WALES PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Jenner Park
Referee: R. Kenny
Barry Town
Match Timeline
The New Saints
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
I. Owen
Barry Town
39'
R. Brobbel
The New Saints
🔄
63'
W. Richards ↔ K. Davies
Barry Town
🔄
63'
D. Barton ↔ K. Patten
Barry Town
🔄
66'
L. Smith ↔ D. Barton
The New Saints
🔄
74'
O. Cuddihy ↔ D. Smith
Barry Town
🔄
88'
R. Willmott ↔ J. Norris
Barry Town

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 71.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 59.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
71.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
59.2%
-
Probability Distribution
Barry Town Win 38%
Draw 6.7%
The New Saints Win 55.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barry Town1.17
The New Saints1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barry Town Barry Town
WWDLW
43 GF / 32 GA
The New Saints The New Saints
WLDWL
81 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
2.31
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
14
BTTS Yes
14
13
Over 2.5
22
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barry Town Barry Town 31 matches
The New Saints The New Saints 35 matches
Barry Town Statistic The New Saints
12 Wins 25
10 Draws 3
9 Losses 7
43 Goals For 81
32 Goals Against 29
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 2.31
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
14 BTTS Yes 14
20 Over 1.5 29
13 Over 2.5 22
11 Over 3.5 13
13 Clean Sheets 17
9 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The New Saints look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward The New Saints having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors The New Saints. The New Saints carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 53 points while Barry Town sit 5 on 30, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Barry Town Analysis

Barry Town approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 30 points after 22 outings. They have recorded 7 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses, with a 33:25 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on I. Owen (12 goals), O. Hulbert (9 goals), B. Margetson (6 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

The New Saints Analysis

The New Saints come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 53 points after 22 matches. They have recorded 17 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a 59:19 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on J. Williams (26 goals), R. Brobbel (13 goals), B. Wilson (8 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 8 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Barry Town won 1 times, The New Saints won 12 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:40 from Barry Town's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.3%)
Predicted formations: Barry Town - / The New Saints 4-3-3
H2H summary: Barry Town wins 1, draws 2, The New Saints wins 12

Lineups

Barry Town
Formation
The New Saints
G. Ratcliffe
G. Ratcliffe
M. George
M. George
C. Sainty
C. Sainty
B. Margetson
B. Margetson
R. Willmott
R. Willmott
I. Owen
I. Owen
O. Cuddihy
O. Cuddihy
E. Williams
E. Williams
O. Hulbert
O. Hulbert
D. Barton
D. Barton
W. Richards
W. Richards
N. Shepperd
N. Shepperd
J. Marshall
J. Marshall
D. Corness
D. Corness
R. Brobbel
R. Brobbel
D. Redmond
D. Redmond
H. Godsmark-Ford
H. Godsmark-Ford
D. Williams
D. Williams
E. Farrell
E. Farrell
J. Williams
J. Williams
L. Smith
L. Smith
D. Davies
D. Davies
Barry Town 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
31
G. Ratcliffe
2
M. George
4
C. Sainty
5
B. Margetson
7
R. Willmott
↓ 88'
9
I. Owen
🟨 14'
17
O. Cuddihy
↓ 74'
21
E. Williams
22
O. Hulbert
23
D. Barton
↓ 63'
24
W. Richards
↓ 63'
Substitutes
1
J. Thomas
6
K. Davies
↑ 63'
14
D. Smith
↑ 74'
19
J. Bernard
32
J. Norris
↑ 88'
38
K. Patten
↑ 63'
50
J. M. Case
The New Saints 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
N. Shepperd
3
J. Marshall
4
D. Corness
8
R. Brobbel
⚽ 39'
10
D. Redmond
12
H. Godsmark-Ford
14
D. Williams
15
E. Farrell
17
J. Williams
21
L. Smith
↓ 66'
22
D. Davies
Substitutes
38
B. Owen
2
J. Owen
7
D. Barton
↑ 66'
24
J. Nadin
35
B. Summers
40
E. McCue
Last matches: Barry Town
18.07.26
Fri
Barry Town
Weymouth
3
2
W
14.07.26
Fri
Barry Town
Trethomas Bluebirds
5
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Barry Town
Yate Town
1
0
W
07.07.26
Fri
Barry Town
Goytre AFC
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Barry Town
Goytre United
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pre
Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pre
Barry Town
Penybont
2
0
W
29.03.26
Pre
Barry Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pre
Barry Town
Caernarfon Town
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
Barry Town
Colwyn Bay
1
3
L
03.03.26
Pre
Barry Town
Penybont
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Barry Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pre
Barry Town
Caernarfon Town
2
0
W
07.02.26
Pre
Barry Town
Colwyn Bay
0
1
L
24.01.26
Pre
Barry Town
The New Saints
0
1
L
13.01.26
Pre
Barry Town
llanelli AFC
5
1
W
03.01.26
Pre
Barry Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
3
L
31.12.25
Pre
Barry Town
Briton Ferry
1
2
L
26.12.25
Pre
Barry Town
Cardiff MET
1
0
W
09.12.25
Pre
Barry Town
Penybont
1
1
D
Last matches: The New Saints
23.07.26
UEF
The New Saints
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
14.07.26
UEF
The New Saints
Sabah FA
1
2
L
07.07.26
UEF
The New Saints
Sabah FA
0
2
L
26.06.26
Fri
The New Saints
H&W Welders
2
1
W
24.06.26
Fri
The New Saints
Glentoran
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pre
The New Saints
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
W
27.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
4
0
W
20.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
Colwyn Bay
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
Penybont
2
1
W
03.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
W
20.02.26
Pre
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
2
1
W
13.02.26
Pre
The New Saints
Colwyn Bay
2
0
W
07.02.26
Pre
The New Saints
Penybont
6
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
The New Saints
Barry Town
1
0
W
13.01.26
Pre
The New Saints
Colwyn Bay
1
0
W
06.01.26
Pre
The New Saints
Bala Town
2
1
W
31.12.25
Pre
The New Saints
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
3
L
09.12.25
Pre
The New Saints
Briton Ferry
2
0
W
28.11.25
Pre
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
2
0
W
14.11.25
Pre
The New Saints
Flint Town United
3
0
W
H2H: Barry Town vs The New Saints
18.04.26
H2H
Barry Town
The New Saints
0
1
L
28.02.26
H2H
The New Saints
Barry Town
0
2
W
24.01.26
H2H
The New Saints
Barry Town
1
0
L
04.10.25
H2H
The New Saints
Barry Town
4
0
L
30.08.25
H2H
Barry Town
The New Saints
0
0
D
01.12.24
H2H
Barry Town
The New Saints
1
2
L
02.11.24
H2H
Barry Town
The New Saints
1
4
L
14.09.24
H2H
The New Saints
Barry Town
4
0
L
21.10.23
H2H
Barry Town
The New Saints
2
6
L
26.08.23
H2H
The New Saints
Barry Town
2
2
D
11.12.21
H2H
Barry Town
The New Saints
1
2
L
18.09.21
H2H
The New Saints
Barry Town
3
1
L
08.05.21
H2H
The New Saints
Barry Town
3
0
L
13.04.21
H2H
Barry Town
The New Saints
0
6
L
14.11.20
H2H
The New Saints
Barry Town
2
1
L
Last matches: Barry Town
14.07.26
Fri
Barry Town
Trethomas Bluebirds
5
1
W
07.07.26
Fri
Barry Town
Goytre AFC
3
1
W
26.04.26
Pre
Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pre
Barry Town
Caernarfon Town
2
1
W
03.03.26
Pre
Barry Town
Penybont
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Barry Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
0
W
07.02.26
Pre
Barry Town
Colwyn Bay
0
1
L
13.01.26
Pre
Barry Town
llanelli AFC
5
1
W
26.12.25
Pre
Barry Town
Cardiff MET
1
0
W
28.11.25
Pre
Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
4
0
W
08.11.25
Pre
Barry Town
Flint Town United
0
0
D
11.10.25
Pre
Barry Town
Caernarfon Town
2
2
D
07.10.25
Pre
Barry Town
Briton Ferry
0
1
L
27.09.25
Pre
Barry Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
0
D
13.09.25
Pre
Barry Town
Bala Town
4
0
W
30.08.25
Pre
Barry Town
The New Saints
0
0
D
22.08.25
Pre
Barry Town
Penybont
2
3
L
16.08.25
Pre
Barry Town
Colwyn Bay
1
1
D
H2H at home: Barry Town
18.04.26
H2H
Barry Town
The New Saints
0
1
L
30.08.25
H2H
Barry Town
The New Saints
0
0
D
01.12.24
H2H
Barry Town
The New Saints
1
2
L
02.11.24
H2H
Barry Town
The New Saints
1
4
L
21.10.23
H2H
Barry Town
The New Saints
2
6
L
11.12.21
H2H
Barry Town
The New Saints
1
2
L
13.04.21
H2H
Barry Town
The New Saints
0
6
L
Last matches: The New Saints
23.07.26
UEF
The New Saints
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
07.07.26
UEF
The New Saints
Sabah FA
0
2
L
26.06.26
Fri
The New Saints
H&W Welders
2
1
W
24.06.26
Fri
The New Saints
Glentoran
1
1
D
27.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
4
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
Penybont
2
1
W
03.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
W
13.02.26
Pre
The New Saints
Colwyn Bay
2
0
W
31.12.25
Pre
The New Saints
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
3
L
09.12.25
Pre
The New Saints
Briton Ferry
2
0
W
14.11.25
Pre
The New Saints
Flint Town United
3
0
W
01.11.25
Pre
The New Saints
Haverfordwest County AFC
3
2
W
24.10.25
Pre
The New Saints
llanelli AFC
4
0
W
07.10.25
Pre
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
3
1
W
26.09.25
Pre
The New Saints
Bala Town
2
0
W
19.09.25
Pre
The New Saints
Cardiff MET
3
1
W
30.08.25
Pre
The New Saints
Barry Town
0
0
D
25.08.25
Pre
The New Saints
Colwyn Bay
1
1
D
16.08.25
Pre
The New Saints
Penybont
2
0
W
29.07.25
UEF
The New Saints
FC Differdange 03
0
1
L
H2H away: The New Saints
18.04.26
H2H
Barry Town
The New Saints
0
1
W
30.08.25
H2H
Barry Town
The New Saints
0
0
D
01.12.24
H2H
Barry Town
The New Saints
1
2
W
02.11.24
H2H
Barry Town
The New Saints
1
4
W
21.10.23
H2H
Barry Town
The New Saints
2
6
W
11.12.21
H2H
Barry Town
The New Saints
1
2
W
13.04.21
H2H
Barry Town
The New Saints
0
6
W

Standings

Cymru Premier , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 26 2 4 81:25 56 80
W W W L W
2 32 16 10 6 61:38 23 58
D L D W W
3 32 12 10 10 43:33 10 46
L L W D W
4 32 12 9 11 56:47 9 45
W W L L L
5 32 12 9 11 41:37 4 45
L D L D W
6 32 11 8 13 39:49 -10 41
W W L L D
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Qualification Playoffs