WALES PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Jenner Park
Referee: T. Owen
Barry Town
Match Timeline
Haverfordwest County AFC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
O. Hulbert
Barry Town
🟨
26'
J. Bacon
Haverfordwest County AFC
🟨
43'
D. Barton
Barry Town
🟨
44'
C. Shephard
Haverfordwest County AFC
🟨
50'
M. George
Barry Town
🔄
64'
J. Wilson ↔ O. Jones
Haverfordwest County AFC
70'
G. Walters
Haverfordwest County AFC
🔄
76'
K. McCarthy ↔ P. Makwiramiti
Haverfordwest County AFC
🔄
78'
D. Barton ↔ O. Cuddihy
Barry Town
🔄
78'
E. Williams ↔ K. Patten
Barry Town
🟨
90+8'
K. Patten
Barry Town

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 56.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
56.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
56.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Barry Town Win 57%
Draw 0%
Haverfordwest County AFC Win 43%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barry Town1.37
Haverfordwest County AFC1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barry Town Barry Town
WWDLW
43 GF / 33 GA
Haverfordwest County AFC Haverfordwest County AFC
WLDWL
51 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.34
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
14
BTTS Yes
14
13
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barry Town Barry Town 32 matches
Haverfordwest County AFC Haverfordwest County AFC 34 matches
Barry Town Statistic Haverfordwest County AFC
12 Wins 14
10 Draws 6
10 Losses 14
43 Goals For 51
33 Goals Against 48
1.34 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
14 BTTS Yes 14
20 Over 1.5 24
13 Over 2.5 19
11 Over 3.5 14
13 Clean Sheets 14
10 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between Barry Town's more proactive style and Haverfordwest County AFC's more cautious structure, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Barry Town hold an advantage after winning the first leg 4-0, so Haverfordwest County AFC now have a 4-goal deficit to overturn. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Haverfordwest County AFC look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Haverfordwest County AFC having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Haverfordwest County AFC.

Barry Town Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Barry Town arrive from a league campaign that has them 5 with 30 points after 22 matches. The return of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 33:25 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by I. Owen (12 goals), O. Hulbert (9 goals), B. Margetson (6 goals), and at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, which supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

Haverfordwest County AFC Analysis

Haverfordwest County AFC come into this tie placed 9 in their league with 24 points from 22 matches. With 6 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses plus a goal ratio of 30:39, they bring very strong form and are on a winning streak into this tie. Going forward they rely on B. Ahmun (13 goals), C. Shephard (9 goals), D. Hawkins (7 goals), while defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Barry Town won 4 times, Haverfordwest County AFC won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:22 from Barry Town's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Barry Town wins 4, draws 6, Haverfordwest County AFC wins 5

Lineups

Barry Town
Formation
Haverfordwest County AFC
G. Ratcliffe
G. Ratcliffe
M. George
M. George
C. Sainty
C. Sainty
B. Margetson
B. Margetson
K. Davies
K. Davies
R. Willmott
R. Willmott
I. Owen
I. Owen
E. Williams
E. Williams
O. Hulbert
O. Hulbert
D. Barton
D. Barton
W. Richards
W. Richards
I. Knott
I. Knott
J. Wilson
J. Wilson
J. Bacon
J. Bacon
D. Rees
D. Rees
K. McCarthy
K. McCarthy
R. Abbruzzese
R. Abbruzzese
G. Walters
G. Walters
C. Shephard
C. Shephard
K. Kenniford
K. Kenniford
D. Hawkins
D. Hawkins
B. Ahmun
B. Ahmun
Barry Town 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
31
G. Ratcliffe
2
M. George
🟨 50'
4
C. Sainty
5
B. Margetson
6
K. Davies
7
R. Willmott
9
I. Owen
21
E. Williams
↓ 78'
22
O. Hulbert
⚽ 3'
23
D. Barton
↓ 78' 🟨 43'
24
W. Richards
Substitutes
1
J. Thomas
14
D. Smith
17
O. Cuddihy
↑ 78'
19
J. Bernard
32
J. Norris
38
K. Patten
↑ 78' 🟨 90+8'
50
J. M. Case
Haverfordwest County AFC 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
I. Knott
22
J. Wilson
↓ 64'
6
J. Bacon
🟨 26'
2
D. Rees
17
K. McCarthy
↓ 76'
3
R. Abbruzzese
18
G. Walters
⚽ 70'
8
C. Shephard
🟨 44'
19
K. Kenniford
10
D. Hawkins
28
B. Ahmun
Substitutes
31
L. Rees
24
I. Humphreys
23
W. Hughes
11
P. Makwiramiti
↑ 76'
21
A. Watkins
44
H. Thomas
20
O. Jones
↑ 64'
Last matches: Barry Town
18.07.26
Fri
Barry Town
Weymouth
3
2
W
14.07.26
Fri
Barry Town
Trethomas Bluebirds
5
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Barry Town
Yate Town
1
0
W
07.07.26
Fri
Barry Town
Goytre AFC
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Barry Town
Goytre United
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pre
Barry Town
The New Saints
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pre
Barry Town
Penybont
2
0
W
29.03.26
Pre
Barry Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pre
Barry Town
Caernarfon Town
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
Barry Town
Colwyn Bay
1
3
L
03.03.26
Pre
Barry Town
Penybont
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Barry Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pre
Barry Town
Caernarfon Town
2
0
W
07.02.26
Pre
Barry Town
Colwyn Bay
0
1
L
24.01.26
Pre
Barry Town
The New Saints
0
1
L
13.01.26
Pre
Barry Town
llanelli AFC
5
1
W
03.01.26
Pre
Barry Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
3
L
31.12.25
Pre
Barry Town
Briton Ferry
1
2
L
26.12.25
Pre
Barry Town
Cardiff MET
1
0
W
09.12.25
Pre
Barry Town
Penybont
1
1
D
Last matches: Haverfordwest County AFC
21.07.26
Fri
Haverfordwest County AFC
Caerau (Ely)
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Haverfordwest County AFC
Gloucester City
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Haverfordwest County AFC
Hamilton Academical
0
4
L
02.05.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Penybont
0
2
L
18.04.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
llanelli AFC
6
0
W
03.04.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Flint Town United
1
0
W
28.03.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Briton Ferry
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Bala Town
0
1
L
13.03.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Cardiff MET
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Flint Town United
1
3
L
20.02.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
llanelli AFC
1
0
W
13.02.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Bala Town
3
0
W
06.02.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Briton Ferry
2
0
W
23.01.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Cardiff MET
2
0
W
13.01.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Briton Ferry
2
3
L
30.12.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Cardiff MET
0
0
D
26.12.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
llanelli AFC
3
0
W
20.12.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Flint Town United
2
2
D
05.12.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Bala Town
2
0
W
28.11.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Barry Town
0
4
L
H2H: Barry Town vs Haverfordwest County AFC
26.04.26
H2H
Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
1
D
28.11.25
H2H
Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
4
0
W
04.11.25
H2H
Haverfordwest County AFC
Barry Town
0
2
W
23.09.25
H2H
Haverfordwest County AFC
Barry Town
2
3
W
14.01.25
H2H
Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
1
D
24.09.24
H2H
Haverfordwest County AFC
Barry Town
1
1
D
05.04.24
H2H
Haverfordwest County AFC
Barry Town
2
1
L
23.02.24
H2H
Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
1
D
26.12.23
H2H
Haverfordwest County AFC
Barry Town
2
0
L
29.08.23
H2H
Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
2
D
05.08.22
H2H
Haverfordwest County AFC
Barry Town
4
2
L
15.04.22
H2H
Haverfordwest County AFC
Barry Town
2
0
L
05.03.22
H2H
Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
0
1
L
09.11.21
H2H
Haverfordwest County AFC
Barry Town
1
1
D
31.08.21
H2H
Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
3
2
W
Last matches: Barry Town
14.07.26
Fri
Barry Town
Trethomas Bluebirds
5
1
W
07.07.26
Fri
Barry Town
Goytre AFC
3
1
W
18.04.26
Pre
Barry Town
The New Saints
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pre
Barry Town
Caernarfon Town
2
1
W
03.03.26
Pre
Barry Town
Penybont
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Barry Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
0
W
07.02.26
Pre
Barry Town
Colwyn Bay
0
1
L
13.01.26
Pre
Barry Town
llanelli AFC
5
1
W
26.12.25
Pre
Barry Town
Cardiff MET
1
0
W
28.11.25
Pre
Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
4
0
W
08.11.25
Pre
Barry Town
Flint Town United
0
0
D
11.10.25
Pre
Barry Town
Caernarfon Town
2
2
D
07.10.25
Pre
Barry Town
Briton Ferry
0
1
L
27.09.25
Pre
Barry Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
0
D
13.09.25
Pre
Barry Town
Bala Town
4
0
W
30.08.25
Pre
Barry Town
The New Saints
0
0
D
22.08.25
Pre
Barry Town
Penybont
2
3
L
16.08.25
Pre
Barry Town
Colwyn Bay
1
1
D
H2H at home: Barry Town
26.04.26
H2H
Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
1
D
28.11.25
H2H
Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
4
0
W
14.01.25
H2H
Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
1
D
23.02.24
H2H
Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
1
D
29.08.23
H2H
Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
2
D
05.03.22
H2H
Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
0
1
L
31.08.21
H2H
Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
3
2
W
Last matches: Haverfordwest County AFC
18.07.26
Fri
Haverfordwest County AFC
Gloucester City
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Penybont
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Flint Town United
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Bala Town
0
1
L
20.02.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
llanelli AFC
1
0
W
06.02.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Briton Ferry
2
0
W
23.01.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Cardiff MET
2
0
W
30.12.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Cardiff MET
0
0
D
20.12.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Flint Town United
2
2
D
05.12.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Bala Town
2
0
W
28.11.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Barry Town
0
4
L
08.11.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Caernarfon Town
2
2
D
25.10.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
GAP Connah S Quay FC
3
3
D
07.10.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Penybont
1
2
L
26.09.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
llanelli AFC
0
1
L
13.09.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Colwyn Bay
0
3
L
06.09.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
The New Saints
0
5
L
25.08.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Briton Ferry
1
0
W
08.07.25
UEF
Haverfordwest County AFC
Floriana
1
2
L
H2H away: Haverfordwest County AFC
26.04.26
H2H
Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
1
D
28.11.25
H2H
Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
4
0
L
14.01.25
H2H
Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
1
D
23.02.24
H2H
Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
1
D
29.08.23
H2H
Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
2
D
05.03.22
H2H
Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
0
1
W
31.08.21
H2H
Barry Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
3
2
L

Standings

Cymru Premier , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 26 2 4 81:25 56 80
W W W L W
2 32 16 10 6 61:38 23 58
D L D W W
3 32 12 10 10 43:33 10 46
L L W D W
4 32 12 9 11 56:47 9 45
W W L L L
5 32 12 9 11 41:37 4 45
L D L D W
6 32 11 8 13 39:49 -10 41
W W L L D
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Qualification Playoffs