Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
92.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
23.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Barrow
Newport County
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Barrow
47 matches
Newport County
47 matches
| Barrow | Statistic | Newport County |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 11 |
| 10 | Draws | 8 |
| 27 | Losses | 28 |
| 48 | Goals For | 47 |
| 78 | Goals Against | 80 |
| 1.02 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.66 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.7 |
| 26 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 34 | Over 1.5 | 36 |
| 29 | Over 2.5 | 26 |
| 16 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 17 | Failed To Score | 18 |
| 3 | Shots On Goal | 3.39 |
| 10.04 | Total Shots | 10.46 |
| 4.07 | Corners | 3.93 |
| 44.9% | Ball Possession | 46.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Newport County. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Barrow expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Newport County in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Newport County having the stronger overall control.
Barrow sit 24 with 36 points after 45 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 9 draws, and 27 defeats, and the 44:76 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Josh Gordon (9 goals), I. Fletcher (7 goals), C. McCann (4 goals), with creative support from B. Whitfield (3 assists), Tom Barkhuizen (3 assists), I. Fletcher (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 13 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Newport County approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 21 with 40 points from 45 matches. The overall return of 11 wins, 7 draws, and 27 defeats with a 46:76 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on N. Opoku (6 goals), M. Spellman (5 goals), B. Kamwa (4 goals), with creative support from Kai Whitmore (4 assists), Sammy Braybrooke (4 assists), B. Kamwa (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 14 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Barrow won 7 times, Newport County won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:17 from Barrow's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Barrow
7
4
9
7
8
5
Lineups
Barrow
Cambridge United
Barrow
Walsall
Barrow
Oldham
Barrow
Barnet
Barrow
Chesterfield
Barrow
Milton Keynes Dons
Barrow
Bromley
Barrow
Grimsby
Barrow
Salford City
Barrow
Accrington ST
Barrow
Bristol Rovers
Barrow
Cheltenham
Barrow
Gillingham
Barrow
Fleetwood Town
Barrow
Harrogate Town
Barrow
Colchester
Barrow
Shrewsbury
Barrow
Notts County
Barrow
Swindon Town
Barrow
Crawley Town
Newport County
Oldham
Newport County
Cheltenham
Newport County
Harrogate Town
Newport County
Notts County
Newport County
Crawley Town
Newport County
Shrewsbury
Newport County
Walsall
Newport County
Bromley
Newport County
Barnet
Newport County
Colchester
Newport County
Tranmere
Newport County
Fleetwood Town
Newport County
Cambridge United
Newport County
Salford City
Newport County
Milton Keynes Dons
Newport County
Swindon Town
Newport County
Grimsby
Newport County
Bristol Rovers
Newport County
Accrington ST
Newport County
Chesterfield
Barrow
Walsall
Barrow
Oldham
Barrow
Chesterfield
Barrow
Bromley
Barrow
Accrington ST
Barrow
Bristol Rovers
Barrow
Gillingham
Barrow
Harrogate Town
Barrow
Colchester
Barrow
Crawley Town
Barrow
Salford City
Barrow
Cheltenham
Barrow
Tranmere
Barrow
Cambridge United
Barrow
Grimsby
Barrow
Barnet
Barrow
Shrewsbury
Barrow
Crewe
Barrow
Swindon Town
Barrow
Fleetwood Town
Newport County
Cheltenham
Newport County
Notts County
Newport County
Walsall
Newport County
Barnet
Newport County
Fleetwood Town
Newport County
Salford City
Newport County
Milton Keynes Dons
Newport County
Swindon Town
Newport County
Bristol Rovers
Newport County
Gillingham
Newport County
Bromley
Newport County
Colchester
Newport County
Crewe
Newport County
Boreham Wood
Newport County
Oldham
Newport County
Shrewsbury
Newport County
Harrogate Town
Newport County
Accrington ST
Newport County
Chesterfield
Newport County
Tranmere
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 20 |
Newport County
Away
|
46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
| 21 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 24 |
Barrow
Home
|
46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
L
L
L
W
L
|