ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE
19.09.2026 14:00
Holker Street

Barrow vs Aldershot Town Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
51.3%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Barrow Win 36.9%
Draw 11.8%
Aldershot Town Win 51.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barrow1.22
Aldershot Town1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barrow Barrow
WWDLW
19 GF / 14 GA
Aldershot Town Aldershot Town
WLDWL
22 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
6
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barrow Barrow 12 matches
Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 15 matches
Barrow Statistic Aldershot Town
5 Wins 10
4 Draws 3
3 Losses 2
19 Goals For 22
14 Goals Against 10
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
6 BTTS Yes 7
10 Over 1.5 11
6 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Aldershot Town's more proactive style and Barrow's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Aldershot Town. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Aldershot Town having the stronger overall control. Aldershot Town carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 11 points while Barrow sit 18 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Barrow Analysis

Barrow approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 5 points from 6 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 8:9, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Aldershot Town Analysis

So far, Aldershot Town have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 11 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 7:4 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Barrow won 7 times, Aldershot Town won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:9 from Barrow's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)
H2H summary: Barrow wins 7, draws 2, Aldershot Town wins 1

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 2 0 17:9 8 17
D W W W W
2 7 5 1 1 18:10 8 16
W W W L D
3 7 4 2 1 17:10 7 14
W D W W L
4 7 4 2 1 12:7 5 14
W W D W D
5 7 4 2 1 14:10 4 14
D W D L W
6 7 4 2 1 9:5 4 14
W W D W D
7 7 4 0 3 11:10 1 12
W W L L L
8 7 4 0 3 10:11 -1 12
L L W W L
9 7 4 0 3 7:8 -1 12
L L L W W
10 7 3 2 2 13:12 1 11
L L W W W
11 7 3 2 2 9:8 1 11
D L D W W
12 7 2 3 2 15:12 3 9
D L W D W
13 7 3 0 4 12:10 2 9
W L W L W
14 7 3 0 4 5:6 -1 9
L W L L L
15 7 3 0 4 8:13 -5 9
L W W W L
16 7 2 2 3 13:14 -1 8
D D L L W
17 7 2 2 3 10:12 -2 8
W L W D L
18 7 2 1 4 10:12 -2 7
W L L W L
19 7 2 1 4 9:11 -2 7
W L D L W
20 7 2 1 4 9:11 -2 7
L D L L W
21 7 1 3 3 10:11 -1 6
D W D L D
22 7 1 2 4 13:19 -6 5
L D L W L
23 7 1 1 5 5:13 -8 4
L D L L L
24 7 0 1 6 7:19 -12 1
L D L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation