COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
27.09.2026 22:00
Estadio Romelio Martinez

Barranquilla vs Real Cundinamarca Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.6%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Barranquilla Win 59.6%
Draw 6.1%
Real Cundinamarca Win 34.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barranquilla1.19
Real Cundinamarca1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barranquilla Barranquilla
WWDLW
35 GF / 39 GA
Real Cundinamarca Real Cundinamarca
WLDWL
27 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.34
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
15
BTTS Yes
13
14
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barranquilla Barranquilla 29 matches
Real Cundinamarca Real Cundinamarca 23 matches
Barranquilla Statistic Real Cundinamarca
9 Wins 6
7 Draws 9
13 Losses 8
35 Goals For 27
39 Goals Against 27
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.34 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
15 BTTS Yes 13
24 Over 1.5 18
14 Over 2.5 8
8 Over 3.5 5
7 Clean Sheets 4
8 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Real Cundinamarca. Barranquilla have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Real Cundinamarca having the stronger overall control.

Barranquilla Analysis

With 34 points from 29 games and a place of 9, Barranquilla still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 35:39, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Cundinamarca Analysis

From their first 23 matches, Real Cundinamarca have collected 27 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. The record of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 27:27 goal balance, points toward good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Barranquilla won 1 times, Real Cundinamarca won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:8 from Barranquilla's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.9%)
H2H summary: Barranquilla wins 1, draws 4, Real Cundinamarca wins 1

Standings

Primera B: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 12 2 1 29:13 16 38
W W W W W
2 15 10 2 3 27:15 12 32
W L W W W
3 15 9 4 2 20:10 10 31
W W L D W
4 15 9 2 4 24:14 10 29
W W L W W
5 15 7 5 3 23:15 8 26
L L W D W
6 15 6 5 4 16:14 2 23
W W D W L
7 15 6 2 7 21:20 1 20
W L W L W
8 15 5 5 5 15:14 1 20
L W W L D
9 15 4 7 4 13:14 -1 19
D D L W L
10 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
D L L D W
11 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
L W W L D
12 15 2 7 6 15:20 -5 13
L D D D D
13 15 2 7 6 14:19 -5 13
D L D L D
14 15 2 4 9 8:24 -16 10
D W L L L
15 15 1 6 8 12:23 -11 9
L L L D W
16 15 1 4 10 9:23 -14 7
L L L L L
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)