16.08.2026 23:15
Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia
Referee: Pablo Dovalo, Argentina
Barracas Central
Match Timeline
Rosario Central
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
Sebastian Zaracho
Rosario Central
🟨
23'
Juan Giménez
Rosario Central
39'
A. Rodriguez · Assist: S. Zaracho
Rosario Central
🔄
59'
R. Insua ↔ E. Pereyra
Barracas Central
🔄
59'
E. Rolon ↔ D. Miloc
Barracas Central
🔄
59'
J. Gimenez ↔ A. Guich
Rosario Central
🔄
73'
E. Veron ↔ E. Coronel
Rosario Central
🔄
73'
V. Pizarro ↔ L. Ramos
Rosario Central
🔄
75'
K. Jappert ↔ M. Duarte
Barracas Central
🔄
75'
I. Tapia ↔ J. Candia
Barracas Central
🟨
77'
Facundo Mallo
Rosario Central
🔄
83'
P. Fernandez ↔ L. Raffin
Rosario Central
🔄
83'
J. Fernandez ↔ V. Felici
Rosario Central
🔄
88'
G. Campi ↔ E. Taborda
Barracas Central

Barracas Central vs Rosario Central Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.5%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Barracas Central Win 54.5%
Draw 7.5%
Rosario Central Win 38%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barracas Central0.89
Rosario Central1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barracas Central Barracas Central
WWDLW
21 GF / 19 GA
Rosario Central Rosario Central
WLDWL
40 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.95
Average Goals Scored
1.25
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
0.81
10
BTTS Yes
14
7
Over 2.5
15
3.4
Shots on Goal
4.73

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barracas Central Barracas Central 22 matches
Rosario Central Rosario Central 32 matches
Barracas Central Statistic Rosario Central
9 Wins 17
7 Draws 7
6 Losses 8
21 Goals For 40
19 Goals Against 26
0.95 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 0.81
10 BTTS Yes 14
13 Over 1.5 21
7 Over 2.5 15
1 Over 3.5 3
8 Clean Sheets 13
7 Failed To Score 10
3.4 Shots On Goal 4.73
10.15 Total Shots 13.9
1.9 Corners 5.03
40.6% Ball Possession 56.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Rosario Central's more proactive style and Barracas Central's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Rosario Central. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Barracas Central expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Rosario Central in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rosario Central having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Barracas Central Analysis

Barracas Central are currently 9 in the standings with 21 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 15:15 reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by Tomás Porra (1 goals), Rodrigo Insúa (1 goals), Nicolás Demartini (1 goals), with creative support from Tomás Porra (2 assists), Rodrigo Insúa (1 assists), Iván Tapia (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rosario Central Analysis

Rosario Central come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 28 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 20:16 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Enzo Copetti (3 goals), Julián Fernández (2 goals), Ángel Di María (1 goals), with creative support from Ángel Di María (2 assists), Carlos Quintana (2 assists), Julián Fernández (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Barracas Central won 4 times, Rosario Central won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:9 from Barracas Central's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.5%)
Predicted formations: Barracas Central 5-3-2 / Rosario Central 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Barracas Central wins 4, draws 2, Rosario Central wins 3

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
W L W D L
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
W W W D W
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
D D W D L
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W D L D W
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
D D D L W
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D W W L L
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
W D D D L
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L L L D L
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
D D L L L
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L D W D
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
D W L W W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
L L L W L
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
L W D D W
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L W L L D
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L D D L L
Knockout Phase