ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia
Referee: Pablo Dovalo, Argentina
Barracas Central
Match Timeline
Rosario Central
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
Sebastian Zaracho
Rosario Central
🟨
23'
Juan Giménez
Rosario Central
39'
A. Rodriguez · Assist: S. Zaracho
Rosario Central
🟨
77'
Facundo Mallo
Rosario Central

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.5%
Odds 2.86
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.5%
Odds 1.41
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.5%
2.86
BTTS No
50.8%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.5%
1.41
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84.7%
1.77
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.00
Correct Score 2-0
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Barracas Central Win 54.5%
Draw 7.5%
Rosario Central Win 38%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barracas Central0.89
Rosario Central1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barracas Central Barracas Central
WWDLW
21 GF / 19 GA
Rosario Central Rosario Central
WLDWL
40 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.95
Average Goals Scored
1.25
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
0.81
10
BTTS Yes
14
7
Over 2.5
15
3.4
Shots on Goal
4.73

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barracas Central Barracas Central 22 matches
Rosario Central Rosario Central 32 matches
Barracas Central Statistic Rosario Central
9 Wins 17
7 Draws 7
6 Losses 8
21 Goals For 40
19 Goals Against 26
0.95 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 0.81
10 BTTS Yes 14
13 Over 1.5 21
7 Over 2.5 15
1 Over 3.5 3
8 Clean Sheets 13
7 Failed To Score 10
3.4 Shots On Goal 4.73
10.15 Total Shots 13.9
1.9 Corners 5.03
40.6% Ball Possession 56.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Rosario Central's more proactive style and Barracas Central's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Rosario Central. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Barracas Central expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Rosario Central in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rosario Central having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Barracas Central Analysis

Barracas Central are currently 9 in the standings with 21 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 15:15 reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by Tomás Porra (1 goals), Rodrigo Insúa (1 goals), Nicolás Demartini (1 goals), with creative support from Tomás Porra (2 assists), Rodrigo Insúa (1 assists), Iván Tapia (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rosario Central Analysis

Rosario Central come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 28 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 20:16 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Enzo Copetti (3 goals), Julián Fernández (2 goals), Ángel Di María (1 goals), with creative support from Ángel Di María (2 assists), Carlos Quintana (2 assists), Julián Fernández (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Barracas Central won 4 times, Rosario Central won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:8 from Barracas Central's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.5%)
Predicted formations: Barracas Central 5-3-2 / Rosario Central 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Barracas Central wins 4, draws 2, Rosario Central wins 2
Stats
Barracas Central Barracas Central
Rosario Central Rosario Central
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
1
7 Corner Kicks 1
10 Fouls 7
2 Offsides 1
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 3
6 Blocked Shots 1
8 Shots insidebox 2
8 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Goalkeeper Saves 5
423 Total passes 625
319 Passes accurate 532
1.78 expected_goals 0.58
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Barracas Central
Formation
Rosario Central
Marcelo Agustín Miño
Marcelo Agustín Miño
Rafael Barrios
Rafael Barrios
Kevin Jappert
Kevin Jappert
Fernando Tobio
Fernando Tobio
Gastón Campi
Gastón Campi
Rodrigo Insúa
Rodrigo Insúa
Tomás Porra
Tomás Porra
Esteban Rolón
Esteban Rolón
Iván Tapia
Iván Tapia
Facundo Bruera
Facundo Bruera
Gonzalo Maroni
Gonzalo Maroni
Axel Werner
Axel Werner
Juan Giménez
Juan Giménez
Facundo Mallo
Facundo Mallo
Sebastian Zaracho
🎯
Sebastian Zaracho
Elías Verón
Elías Verón
Pol Fernández
Pol Fernández
Vicente Pizarro
Vicente Pizarro
Alexis Soto
Alexis Soto
Alan Rodríguez
Alan Rodríguez
Tomás Badaloni
Tomás Badaloni
Julián Fernández
Julián Fernández
Barracas Central 5-3-2
Starting XI
30
Marcelo Agustín Miño
G
13
Rafael Barrios
D
14
Kevin Jappert
D
32
Fernando Tobio
D
37
Gastón Campi
D
6
Rodrigo Insúa
D
8
Tomás Porra
M
35
Esteban Rolón
M
10
Iván Tapia
M
77
Facundo Bruera
F
33
Gonzalo Maroni
F
Substitutes
17
Elías Pereyra
D
5
Dardo Miloc
M
18
Manuel Duarte
M
20
Jhonatan Candia
F
24
Enzo Taborda
F
1
Juan Espínola
G
31
Nicolás Demartini
D
2
Nicolas Capraro
D
16
Ivan Guaraz
F
79
Maximiliano Puig
M
28
Rodrigo Bogarín
M
7
Juan Ignacio Barbieri
F
Rosario Central 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
Axel Werner
G
24
Juan Giménez
🟨 23'
D
15
Facundo Mallo
🟨 77'
D
2
Sebastian Zaracho
🎯 39' 🟨 20'
D
42
Elías Verón
M
28
Pol Fernández
M
20
Vicente Pizarro
M
33
Alexis Soto
M
88
Alan Rodríguez
⚽ 39'
F
16
Tomás Badaloni
F
18
Julián Fernández
F
Substitutes
36
Alvaro Guich
D
32
Emanuel Coronel
D
35
Lucas Ramos
D
47
Luca Raffin
D
53
Valentino Felici
M
23
Jeremías Ledesma
G
55
Felipe Carnicero
D
54
Gino Pavoni
F
19
Santiago Segovia
M
7
Marcelo Cabrera
F
39
Fabricio Oviedo
F
Last matches: Barracas Central
09.08.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Gimnasia L.P.
0
2
L
02.08.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Deportivo Riestra
1
0
W
29.07.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Aldosivi
1
0
W
25.07.26
Lig
Barracas Central
River Plate
1
0
W
03.06.26
Cop
Barracas Central
Huracan
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Banfield
1
2
L
25.04.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Racing Club
1
1
D
20.04.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Belgrano Cordoba
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2
1
W
02.04.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Sarmiento Junin
1
2
L
24.03.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Huracan
0
0
D
16.03.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Atletico Tucuman
2
1
W
12.03.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Independ. Rivadavia
2
1
W
01.03.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Argentinos JRS
1
1
D
25.02.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Tigre
2
1
W
21.02.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Platense
0
1
L
16.02.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Rosario Central
0
2
L
09.02.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Gimnasia L.P.
2
0
W
06.02.26
Cop
Barracas Central
Temperley
2
2
D
01.02.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Deportivo Riestra
1
1
D
Last matches: Rosario Central
14.08.26
CON
Rosario Central
Corinthians
0
0
D
07.08.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Aldosivi
2
1
W
02.08.26
Lig
Rosario Central
River Plate
1
0
W
29.07.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Racing Club
0
0
D
23.07.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Belgrano Cordoba
1
2
L
31.05.26
Cop
Rosario Central
Estudiantes L.P.
0
3
L
27.05.26
CON
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
0
1
L
19.05.26
CON
Rosario Central
UCV
4
0
W
16.05.26
Lig
Rosario Central
River Plate
0
1
L
13.05.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Racing Club
2
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Independiente
3
1
W
05.05.26
CON
Rosario Central
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Tigre
1
1
D
29.04.26
CON
Rosario Central
UCV
3
0
W
24.04.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Sarmiento Junin
2
1
W
15.04.26
CON
Rosario Central
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Huracan
1
3
L
09.04.26
CON
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
0
0
D
05.04.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Atletico Tucuman
2
1
W
H2H: Barracas Central vs Rosario Central
16.02.26
H2H
Rosario Central
Barracas Central
2
0
L
01.11.24
H2H
Rosario Central
Barracas Central
0
1
W
08.07.24
H2H
Rosario Central
Barracas Central
0
1
W
28.03.24
H2H
Rosario Central
Barracas Central
1
2
W
06.11.23
H2H
Barracas Central
Rosario Central
1
1
D
09.06.23
H2H
Barracas Central
Rosario Central
0
0
D
13.08.22
H2H
Rosario Central
Barracas Central
3
1
L
12.03.22
H2H
Rosario Central
Barracas Central
1
3
W
Last matches: Barracas Central
29.07.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Aldosivi
1
0
W
03.06.26
Cop
Barracas Central
Huracan
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Banfield
1
2
L
20.04.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Belgrano Cordoba
0
0
D
02.04.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Sarmiento Junin
1
2
L
16.03.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Atletico Tucuman
2
1
W
25.02.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Tigre
2
1
W
09.02.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Gimnasia L.P.
2
0
W
06.02.26
Cop
Barracas Central
Temperley
2
2
D
01.02.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Deportivo Riestra
1
1
D
24.01.26
Lig
Barracas Central
River Plate
0
1
L
18.05.19
Pri
Barracas Central
Fénix
2
0
W
06.05.19
Pri
Barracas Central
San Telmo
0
0
D
15.04.19
Pri
Barracas Central
UAI Urquiza
1
0
W
01.04.19
Pri
Barracas Central
Acassuso
1
0
W
19.03.19
Pri
Barracas Central
Deportivo Español
4
0
W
08.03.19
Pri
Barracas Central
Tristan Suarez
3
0
W
26.02.19
Pri
Barracas Central
Deportivo Riestra
1
0
W
22.02.19
Pri
Barracas Central
Comunicaciones
6
0
W
09.02.19
Pri
Barracas Central
JJ Urquiza
4
1
W
H2H at home: Barracas Central
06.11.23
H2H
Barracas Central
Rosario Central
1
1
D
09.06.23
H2H
Barracas Central
Rosario Central
0
0
D
Last matches: Rosario Central
02.08.26
Lig
Rosario Central
River Plate
1
0
W
23.07.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Belgrano Cordoba
1
2
L
31.05.26
Cop
Rosario Central
Estudiantes L.P.
0
3
L
27.05.26
CON
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
0
1
L
16.05.26
Lig
Rosario Central
River Plate
0
1
L
29.04.26
CON
Rosario Central
UCV
3
0
W
24.04.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2
1
W
15.04.26
CON
Rosario Central
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Huracan
1
3
L
23.03.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Independ. Rivadavia
0
2
L
11.03.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Argentinos JRS
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Newells Old Boys
2
0
W
25.02.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Gimnasia L.P.
2
1
W
07.02.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Aldosivi
1
1
D
28.01.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Racing Club
2
1
W
H2H away: Rosario Central
06.11.23
H2H
Barracas Central
Rosario Central
1
1
D
09.06.23
H2H
Barracas Central
Rosario Central
0
0
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.77
Draw 2.96
Home 2.86
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.58
Draw 1.89
Home 3.99
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.13
Over 1.25 1.41
Over 1.5 1.62
Over 1.75 1.82
Over 2.0 2.17
Over 2.25 2.56
Over 2.5 2.93
Over 3.5 6.22
Under 0.5 6.09
Under 1.25 2.98
Under 1.5 2.35
Under 1.75 2.05
Under 2.0 1.72
Under 2.25 1.53
Under 2.5 1.41
Under 3.5 1.13
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.88
Home 3.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 1.83
Home 3.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 2.05
Home 3.25
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.14
Over 1.5 1.57
Over 2.5 2.88
Over 3.5 6.00
Over 4.5 15.00
Over 5.5 29.00
Under 0.5 5.50
Under 1.5 2.25
Under 2.5 1.40
Under 3.5 1.12
Under 4.5 1.03
Under 5.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.91
Home 2.90
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.55
Draw 1.79
Home 3.78
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.12
Draw 2.07
Home 3.32
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.07
Over 0.75 1.11
Over 1.0 1.15
Over 1.25 1.40
Over 1.5 1.61
Over 1.75 1.80
Over 2.0 2.06
Over 2.25 2.39
Over 2.5 2.72
Over 2.75 3.34
Over 3.0 4.80
Over 3.25 5.29
Over 3.5 5.75
Over 3.75 8.45
Over 4.0 10.00
Over 4.5 13.00
Over 5.5 25.00
Under 0.5 5.85
Under 0.75 5.23
Under 1.0 4.55
Under 1.25 2.97
Under 1.5 2.31
Under 1.75 2.01
Under 2.0 1.65
Under 2.25 1.46
Under 2.5 1.36
Under 2.75 1.24
Under 3.0 1.11
Under 3.25 1.09
Under 3.5 1.07
Under 3.75 1.03
Under 4.0 1.01
Under 4.5 1.03
Under 5.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.55
Draw 2.85
Home 3.10
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 1.81
Home 3.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.95
Draw 2.17
Home 3.40
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.25 1.38
Over 1.5 1.57
Over 1.75 1.75
Over 2.0 2.08
Over 2.25 2.45
Over 2.5 2.80
Over 2.75 3.45
Over 3.5 5.75
Over 4.5 12.00
Under 0.5 5.80
Under 1.25 2.90
Under 1.5 2.33
Under 1.75 2.00
Under 2.0 1.70
Under 2.25 1.50
Under 2.5 1.40
Under 2.75 1.28
Under 3.5 1.12
Under 4.5 1.01

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
L W L W D
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
W L L L L
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
L W W W W
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W W W D L
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W W D L W
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
L W W W L
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
L W D L W
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L L L D W
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
L L W W W
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
D W D W L
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
W W W L L
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
W L D W L
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
W L D W D
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
D L L L D
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L D L W
Knockout Phase