Login Register
BRAZIL › SERIE C
12.07.2026 14:00
Referee: A. de Morais
Barra
Match Timeline
Santa Cruz
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
24'
Matheus Vinicius
Santa Cruz
⚽
37'
Quirino
Santa Cruz
🔄
46'
Vinicius Popo ↔ Renan Bernabe
Barra
🔄
46'
Natan Costa ↔ Betinho
Barra
⚽
53'
Renan Bernabe
Barra
🟨
55'
Marcelinho
Barra
🟨
55'
Barra
Barra
🔄
62'
Ronald ↔ Nilton
Santa Cruz
🔄
62'
Quirino ↔ Eron
Santa Cruz
🔄
66'
Vava Franca ↔ Da Rocha
Barra
🔄
66'
Cleo Silva ↔ Matheuzinho
Barra
🔄
71'
Everaldo ↔ Fabinho
Santa Cruz
🟨
75'
Da Rocha
Barra
🔄
77'
Alex Ruan ↔ Thiago Ennes
Santa Cruz
🔄
77'
Renato ↔ Silva
Santa Cruz
🔄
78'
Marcelinho ↔ Lucas Vargas
Barra
🟨
83'
William Alves
Santa Cruz
🟨
90'
Lucas Vargas
Barra

Barra vs Santa Cruz Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 71.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
71.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Barra Win 23.4%
Draw 5%
Santa Cruz Win 71.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barra1.02
Santa Cruz0.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barra Barra
W L D L D
6 GF / 7 GA
Santa Cruz Santa Cruz
W W L W D
6 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
0.93
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
7
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barra Barra 13 matches
Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 14 matches
Barra Statistic Santa Cruz
3 Wins 6
6 Draws 3
4 Losses 5
16 Goals For 13
14 Goals Against 10
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 0.93
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 0.71
7 BTTS Yes 5
10 Over 1.5 6
6 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Santa Cruz. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Santa Cruz carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 21 points while Barra sit 16 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Santa Cruz having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Barra Analysis

With 15 points from 13 games and a place of 16, Barra still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats with a 16:14 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Santa Cruz Analysis

Santa Cruz approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 21 points after 13 outings. The return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 13:9, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Barra won 1 times, Santa Cruz won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from Barra's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
H2H summary: Barra wins 1, draws 1, Santa Cruz wins 1

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
W D D L L
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D D D L D
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
L D W L D
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W D W D D
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
L D D L W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
L D W D D
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
D W L D L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
L D D W W
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17
Barra Home
19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation