BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Barra
Match Timeline
Santa Cruz
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
24'
Matheus Vinicius
Santa Cruz
36'
Quirino
Santa Cruz
🔄
46'
Natan Costa ↔ Betinho
Barra
🔄
46'
Vinicius Popo ↔ Renan Bernabe
Barra
53'
Renan Bernabe
Barra
🟨
55'
Marcelinho
Barra
🟨
55'
Barra
Barra
🔄
62'
Quirino ↔ Eron
Santa Cruz
🔄
62'
Ronald ↔ Nilton
Santa Cruz
🔄
66'
Cleo Silva ↔ Matheuzinho
Barra
🔄
66'
Vava Franca ↔ Da Rocha
Barra
🟨
75'
Da Rocha
Barra
🔄
77'
Renato ↔ Silva
Santa Cruz
🔄
77'
Alex Ruan ↔ Thiago Ennes
Santa Cruz
🔄
78'
Marcelinho ↔ Lucas Vargas
Barra
🟨
83'
William Alves
Santa Cruz
🟨
90'
Lucas Vargas
Barra

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 71.7%
Odds 3.67
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.52
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
71.7%
3.67
BTTS Yes
71.2%
2.20
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.52
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.17
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
Barra Win 23.4%
Draw 5%
Santa Cruz Win 71.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barra1.02
Santa Cruz0.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barra Barra
WWDLW
16 GF / 14 GA
Santa Cruz Santa Cruz
WLDWL
13 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
0.93
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
7
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barra Barra 13 matches
Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 14 matches
Barra Statistic Santa Cruz
3 Wins 6
6 Draws 3
4 Losses 5
16 Goals For 13
14 Goals Against 10
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 0.93
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 0.71
7 BTTS Yes 5
10 Over 1.5 6
6 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Santa Cruz. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Santa Cruz carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 21 points while Barra sit 16 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Santa Cruz having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Barra Analysis

With 15 points from 13 games and a place of 16, Barra still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats with a 16:14 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Santa Cruz Analysis

Santa Cruz approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 21 points after 13 outings. The return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 13:9, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Barra won 1 times, Santa Cruz won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from Barra's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
H2H summary: Barra wins 1, draws 1, Santa Cruz wins 1
Last matches: Barra
04.07.26
Ser
Barra
Confiança
2
1
W
27.06.26
Ser
Barra
Floresta
1
2
L
21.06.26
Ser
Barra
Amazonas
1
1
D
15.06.26
Ser
Barra
Ferroviária
0
1
L
01.06.26
Ser
Barra
Brusque
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ser
Barra
Guarani Campinas
0
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Barra
Anápolis
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Barra
Caxias
0
0
D
04.05.26
Ser
Barra
Figueirense
3
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Barra
Inter De Limeira
2
2
D
18.04.26
Ser
Barra
Paysandu
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Barra
Maranhão
3
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Barra
Botafogo PB
0
1
L
04.10.25
Ser
Barra
Santa Cruz
0
0
D
27.09.25
Ser
Barra
Santa Cruz
2
1
W
20.09.25
Ser
Barra
Inter De Limeira
3
2
W
13.09.25
Ser
Barra
Inter De Limeira
2
0
W
06.09.25
Ser
Barra
Cianorte
1
0
W
31.08.25
Ser
Barra
Cianorte
0
0
D
23.08.25
Ser
Barra
Ceilândia
1
0
W
Last matches: Santa Cruz
04.07.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Ituano
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Paysandu
3
1
W
20.06.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Ypiranga-RS
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Brusque
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Ferroviária
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Maringá
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Volta Redonda
2
0
W
11.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Inter De Limeira
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Guarani Campinas
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Amazonas
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Confiança
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Floresta
1
1
D
06.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
AO Itabaiana
1
0
W
08.01.26
Fri
Santa Cruz
Defensa Y Justicia
0
1
L
04.10.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Barra
0
0
D
27.09.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Barra
1
2
L
20.09.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Maranhão
0
0
D
14.09.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Maranhão
1
0
W
07.09.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
America-RN
1
1
D
30.08.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
America-RN
1
0
W
H2H: Barra vs Santa Cruz
12.07.26
H2H
Barra
Santa Cruz
1
2
L
04.10.25
H2H
Barra
Santa Cruz
0
0
D
27.09.25
H2H
Santa Cruz
Barra
1
2
W
Last matches: Barra
21.06.26
Ser
Barra
Amazonas
1
1
D
01.06.26
Ser
Barra
Brusque
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ser
Barra
Guarani Campinas
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Barra
Caxias
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Barra
Inter De Limeira
2
2
D
11.04.26
Ser
Barra
Maranhão
3
0
W
04.10.25
Ser
Barra
Santa Cruz
0
0
D
13.09.25
Ser
Barra
Inter De Limeira
2
0
W
06.09.25
Ser
Barra
Cianorte
1
0
W
23.08.25
Ser
Barra
Ceilândia
1
0
W
09.08.25
Ser
Barra
Cascavel
3
0
W
27.07.25
Ser
Barra
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
1
L
05.07.25
Ser
Barra
Azuriz
1
0
W
30.06.25
Ser
Barra
Joinville
1
0
W
21.06.25
Ser
Barra
Guarany de Bagé
3
0
W
24.05.25
Ser
Barra
Sao Jose
1
1
D
03.05.25
Ser
Barra
Marcílio Dias
2
1
W
26.04.25
Ser
Barra
São Luiz
3
0
W
H2H at home: Barra
12.07.26
H2H
Barra
Santa Cruz
1
2
L
04.10.25
H2H
Barra
Santa Cruz
0
0
D
Last matches: Santa Cruz
27.06.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Paysandu
3
1
W
14.06.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Brusque
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Maringá
1
1
D
11.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Inter De Limeira
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Guarani Campinas
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Confiança
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Santa Cruz
Floresta
1
1
D
04.10.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Barra
0
0
D
14.09.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Maranhão
1
0
W
07.09.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
America-RN
1
1
D
24.08.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Altos
0
0
D
03.08.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Sergipe
1
2
L
20.07.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Horizonte
0
2
L
06.07.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
America-RN
0
0
D
08.06.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Ferroviario
1
3
L
25.05.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Sousa
1
0
W
18.05.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Central SC
2
1
W
03.05.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Santa Cruz RN
0
0
D
20.04.25
Ser
Santa Cruz
Treze
1
0
W
H2H away: Santa Cruz
12.07.26
H2H
Barra
Santa Cruz
1
2
W
04.10.25
H2H
Barra
Santa Cruz
0
0
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.67
Draw 2.89
Home 2.11
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.25 1.31
Over 1.5 1.47
Over 1.75 1.62
Over 2.0 1.89
Over 2.25 2.22
Over 2.5 2.52
Over 2.75 3.03
Under 1.25 3.21
Under 1.5 2.53
Under 1.75 2.22
Under 2.0 1.89
Under 2.25 1.63
Under 2.5 1.48
Under 2.75 1.34
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 3.00
Home 2.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 1.91
Home 3.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.20
Home 2.60
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.10
Over 1.5 1.50
Over 2.5 2.50
Over 3.5 4.50
Over 4.5 8.50
Over 5.5 15.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Under 0.5 6.50
Under 1.5 2.50
Under 2.5 1.50
Under 3.5 1.17
Under 4.5 1.05
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.56
Draw 3.02
Home 2.04
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.62
Draw 1.87
Home 2.79
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.11
Draw 2.16
Home 2.48
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 0.75 1.06
Over 1.0 1.09
Over 1.25 1.27
Over 1.5 1.44
Over 1.75 1.58
Over 2.0 1.81
Over 2.25 2.15
Over 2.5 2.46
Over 2.75 2.92
Over 3.0 4.00
Over 3.25 4.45
Over 3.5 4.90
Over 3.75 7.50
Over 4.0 8.00
Over 4.25 8.65
Over 4.5 10.50
Over 5.5 15.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Under 0.5 6.95
Under 0.75 6.19
Under 1.0 5.40
Under 1.25 3.14
Under 1.5 2.43
Under 1.75 2.12
Under 2.0 1.81
Under 2.25 1.61
Under 2.5 1.47
Under 2.75 1.31
Under 3.0 1.17
Under 3.25 1.14
Under 3.5 1.11
Under 3.75 1.06
Under 4.0 1.05
Under 4.25 1.01
Under 4.5 1.02
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.35
Draw 3.10
Home 2.18
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.06
Home 2.88
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.28
Home 2.60
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.07
Over 1.0 1.11
Over 1.25 1.27
Over 1.5 1.43
Over 1.75 1.55
Over 2.0 1.76
Over 2.25 2.06
Over 2.5 2.35
Over 2.75 2.80
Over 3.0 3.65
Over 3.25 4.00
Over 3.5 4.35
Under 0.5 6.40
Under 1.0 5.40
Under 1.25 3.35
Under 1.5 2.60
Under 1.75 2.25
Under 2.0 1.93
Under 2.25 1.66
Under 2.5 1.50
Under 2.75 1.37
Under 3.0 1.23
Under 3.25 1.19
Under 3.5 1.17

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 7 4 3 17:14 3 25
W W D L W
2 13 7 3 3 20:14 6 24
W L W L D
3 14 7 3 4 15:10 5 24
W W W L W
4 14 7 2 5 22:19 3 23
W L L W L
5 14 6 5 3 25:14 11 23
L D D L W
6 14 7 1 6 19:15 4 22
W W W W D
7 14 6 4 4 27:24 3 22
W W D D D
8 14 6 4 4 15:12 3 22
W L L W W
9 14 5 6 3 13:10 3 21
D W D D L
10 14 5 5 4 15:14 1 20
D D W L L
11 14 5 4 5 16:16 0 19
L L D D D
12 14 5 3 6 17:19 -2 18
L W D W D
13 13 5 2 6 10:15 -5 17
L W L W W
14 14 5 2 7 13:19 -6 17
L L L D W
15 14 4 5 5 11:14 -3 17
W L D L D
16 13 4 4 5 12:18 -6 16
L D D W W
17
Barra Home
14 3 6 5 17:16 1 15
L W L D L
18 13 3 4 6 11:17 -6 13
W W L D L
19 14 3 2 9 8:14 -6 11
L L D W L
20 14 2 3 9 9:18 -9 9
L L D W L
Play-offs
Relegation