BRAZIL › SERIE C
10.05.2026 20:00
Referee: J. Rabelo
Barra
Match Timeline
Caxias
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
18'
Matheus Nunes
Caxias
🟨
23'
Matheus Barbosa
Barra
🔄
46'
Matheus Nunes ↔ Marcelo Freitas
Caxias
🔄
46'
Joao Lucas ↔ Ravanelli
Caxias
🟨
47'
Henrique Freitas
Barra
🔄
58'
Henrique Freitas ↔ Cleo Silva
Barra
🟨
60'
Ravanelli
Caxias
🟨
65'
Tete
Barra
🔄
66'
Vinicius Popo ↔ Renan Bernabe
Barra
🔄
66'
Gabriel Silva ↔ Warley Jr
Barra
🔄
66'
Calyson ↔ Jhonatan Ribeiro
Caxias
🔄
75'
Marcelinho ↔ Saymon
Barra
🔄
75'
Matheus Barbosa ↔ Pablo Gabriel
Barra
🟨
81'
Fabio
Barra
🔄
83'
Gaspar ↔ Victor Sa
Caxias
🔄
90+2'
Salatiel ↔ Felipe Rangel
Caxias

Barra vs Caxias Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 93.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
93.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Barra Win 93.9%
Draw 0%
Caxias Win 6.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barra1.48
Caxias0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barra Barra
WWDLW
9 GF / 4 GA
Caxias Caxias
WLDWL
5 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
1
2
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barra Barra 5 matches
Caxias Caxias 5 matches
Barra Statistic Caxias
2 Wins 2
2 Draws 1
1 Losses 2
9 Goals For 5
4 Goals Against 5
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1
2 BTTS Yes 3
4 Over 1.5 3
3 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Barra's more proactive style and Caxias's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Caxias having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Caxias. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Barra Analysis

Barra are currently 7 in the standings with 8 points from 5 matches. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 9:4 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Tete (3 goals), Warley Jr (2 goals), Cleo Silva (1 goals), with creative support from Fabio (1 assists), Renan Bernabe (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Caxias Analysis

From their first 5 matches, Caxias have collected 7 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. The record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 5:5 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Salatiel (2 goals), Calyson (1 goals), Joao Lucas (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Barra won 0 times, Caxias won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:0 from Barra's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Barra wins 0, draws 1, Caxias wins 0

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L L W W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
L D W D D
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W W D W L
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W L W W W
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
L W L W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D D
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
D L L L W
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W W D W
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17
Barra Home
19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation