BRAZIL SERIE C
16.08.2026 21:30
Referee: A. Gomes
Barra
Match Timeline
AO Itabaiana
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
19'
Warley Jr ↔ Natan Costa
Barra
🟨
26'
AO Itabaiana
AO Itabaiana
🟨
46'
Barra
Barra
🔄
63'
Cleo Silva ↔ Betinho
Barra
🔄
63'
Saymon ↔ Gabriel Silva
Barra
🔄
67'
Renatinho ↔ Dyego
AO Itabaiana
🔄
67'
Cleiton ↔ Everton Kanela
AO Itabaiana
🔄
74'
Adriel ↔ Da Rocha
Barra
🔄
74'
Renan Bernabe ↔ Vinicius Popo
Barra
🔄
74'
Ricardo Cerqueira ↔ Julio Henrique
AO Itabaiana
🔄
85'
Fabricio Oya ↔ Lucao
AO Itabaiana
🔄
85'
Leilson ↔ Valdenilson
AO Itabaiana
🟨
90+2'
AO Itabaiana
AO Itabaiana
🟨
90+2'
Barra
Barra
90'
Vava Franca
Barra

Barra vs AO Itabaiana Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.4%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Barra Win 24%
Draw 19.6%
AO Itabaiana Win 56.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barra1.14
AO Itabaiana0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barra Barra
WWDLW
17 GF / 19 GA
AO Itabaiana AO Itabaiana
WLDWL
13 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
0.81
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
8
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barra Barra 16 matches
AO Itabaiana AO Itabaiana 16 matches
Barra Statistic AO Itabaiana
3 Wins 4
6 Draws 5
7 Losses 7
17 Goals For 13
19 Goals Against 20
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 0.81
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
8 BTTS Yes 6
12 Over 1.5 9
7 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward AO Itabaiana. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward AO Itabaiana having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Barra have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Barra Analysis

With 15 points from 16 games and a place of 18, Barra still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 17:19 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

AO Itabaiana Analysis

With 17 points from 15 games and a place of 17, AO Itabaiana still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 13:18 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Barra won 1 times, AO Itabaiana won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Barra's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.4%)
H2H summary: Barra wins 1, draws 0, AO Itabaiana wins 0

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L L W W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D W D D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W D W L W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W L W W W
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
L W L W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W W D W
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17
Barra Home
19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation