ENGLAND LEAGUE ONE
--.--.---- --:--
Oakwell
Referee: S. Stockbridge
Barnsley
Match Timeline
Stockport County
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
23'
A. Sidibeh
Stockport County
🟨
40'
Jonathan Bland
Barnsley
52'
A. Phillips · Assist: C. O'Keeffe
Barnsley
🔄
64'
A. Phillips ↔ C. Lennon
Barnsley
71'
O. Norwood
Stockport County
🔄
72'
M. de Gevigney ↔ M. Roberts
Barnsley
🔄
72'
T. Bradshaw ↔ L. Farrell
Barnsley
🔄
73'
A. Sidibeh ↔ T. Olaofe
Stockport County
🔄
73'
L. Barry ↔ B. Andresson
Stockport County
🔄
81'
J. Dacres-Cogley ↔ R. Dixon
Stockport County
🔄
81'
J. Stokes ↔ L. Fiorini
Stockport County
🔄
82'
J. Bland ↔ S. Banks
Barnsley
🔄
82'
L. Connell ↔ K. Nwakali
Barnsley
🟨
90+9'
Ethan Pye
Stockport County
🟨
90+6'
Oliver Norwood
Stockport County
🟨
90'
Lewis Fiorini
Stockport County
🔄
90+10'
O. Bailey ↔ C. Gardner
Stockport County
90'
B. Andresson · Assist: O. Bailey
Stockport County

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 81.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
81.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Barnsley Win 18.6%
Draw 0%
Stockport County Win 81.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barnsley1.39
Stockport County1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barnsley Barnsley
WWDLW
72 GF / 76 GA
Stockport County Stockport County
WLDWL
71 GF / 58 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.51
1.58
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
32
BTTS Yes
28
30
Over 2.5
28
3.81
Shots on Goal
4.59

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barnsley Barnsley 48 matches
Stockport County Stockport County 47 matches
Barnsley Statistic Stockport County
17 Wins 22
14 Draws 12
17 Losses 13
72 Goals For 71
76 Goals Against 58
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.51
1.58 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
32 BTTS Yes 28
39 Over 1.5 37
30 Over 2.5 28
22 Over 3.5 11
5 Clean Sheets 13
12 Failed To Score 9
3.81 Shots On Goal 4.59
11.46 Total Shots 12.96
4.77 Corners 4.96
50.5% Ball Possession 54.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Stockport County's more proactive style and Barnsley's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Stockport County. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Stockport County carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 74 points while Barnsley sit 13 on 59, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Barnsley Analysis

So far, Barnsley have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 59 points from 45 matches. Their overall return of 15 wins, 14 draws, and 16 losses with goals at 67:70 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by David McGoldrick (15 goals), D. Keillor-Dunn (13 goals), A. Phillips (8 goals), with creative support from Reyes Cleary (13 assists), Patrick Kelly (6 assists), A. Phillips (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Stockport County Analysis

Placed 4 with 74 points from 45 outings, Stockport County continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 21 wins, 11 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 68:57 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by K. Wootton (20 goals), N. Lowe (7 goals), O. Norwood (7 goals), with creative support from O. Norwood (11 assists), Jack Diamond (7 assists), B. Osborn (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Barnsley won 0 times, Stockport County won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:7 from Barnsley's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Barnsley 4-2-3-1 / Stockport County 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Barnsley wins 0, draws 2, Stockport County wins 2
Stats
Barnsley Barnsley
Stockport County Stockport County
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
9
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
1
5 Corner Kicks 11
11 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 2
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Goal 9
3 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 1
7 Shots insidebox 11
2 Shots outsidebox 3
6 Goalkeeper Saves 3
404 Total passes 354
310 Passes accurate 262
1.69 expected_goals 2.51
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Barnsley
Formation
Stockport County
K. Flavell
K. Flavell
C. O'Keeffe
🎯
C. O'Keeffe
M. de Gevigney
M. de Gevigney
E. O'Connell
E. O'Connell
J. Earl
J. Earl
J. Bland
J. Bland
L. Connell
L. Connell
A. Phillips
A. Phillips
P. Kelly
P. Kelly
R. Cleary
R. Cleary
T. Bradshaw
T. Bradshaw
C. Addai
C. Addai
J. Dacres-Cogley
J. Dacres-Cogley
K. Wootton
K. Wootton
E. Pye
E. Pye
T. Edun
T. Edun
O. Bailey
🎯
O. Bailey
O. Norwood
O. Norwood
J. Stokes
J. Stokes
B. Osborn
B. Osborn
A. Sidibeh
A. Sidibeh
L. Barry
L. Barry
Barnsley 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
51
K. Flavell
7
C. O'Keeffe
🎯 52'
D
6
M. de Gevigney
↓ 72'
D
15
E. O'Connell
D
32
J. Earl
D
30
J. Bland
↓ 82' 🟨 40'
M
48
L. Connell
↓ 82'
M
8
A. Phillips
⚽ 52' ↓ 64'
M
22
P. Kelly
M
19
R. Cleary
M
9
T. Bradshaw
↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
1
O. Goodman
G
4
M. Roberts
↑ 72'
D
18
S. Banks
↑ 82'
F
17
G. Gent
D
20
C. Lennon
↑ 64'
F
50
K. Nwakali
↑ 82'
M
39
L. Farrell
↑ 72'
F
Stockport County 4-2-2-2
Starting XI
34
C. Addai
G
2
J. Dacres-Cogley
↓ 81'
D
19
K. Wootton
D
15
E. Pye
🟨 90+9'
D
14
T. Edun
D
27
O. Bailey
🎯 90' ↓ 90+10'
M
26
O. Norwood
⚽ 71' 🟨 90+6'
M
28
J. Stokes
↓ 81'
M
23
B. Osborn
M
29
A. Sidibeh
⚽ 23' ↓ 73'
F
20
L. Barry
↓ 73'
F
Substitutes
1
B. Hinchliffe
G
9
T. Olaofe
↑ 73'
F
12
R. Dixon
↑ 81'
48
C. Gardner
↑ 90+10'
M
18
L. Fiorini
↑ 81' 🟨 90'
M
11
M. Mothersille
F
22
B. Andresson
⚽ 90' ↑ 73'
Last matches: Barnsley
28.04.26
Lea
Barnsley
Northampton
1
0
W
25.04.26
Lea
Barnsley
Luton
1
2
L
21.04.26
Lea
Barnsley
Stevenage
0
1
L
18.04.26
Lea
Barnsley
Bradford
2
2
D
14.04.26
Lea
Barnsley
Port Vale
0
0
D
11.04.26
Lea
Barnsley
Rotherham
3
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Barnsley
Plymouth
0
3
L
03.04.26
Lea
Barnsley
Burton Albion
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lea
Barnsley
Doncaster
0
1
L
17.03.26
Lea
Barnsley
Wigan
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lea
Barnsley
Mansfield Town
2
2
D
10.03.26
Lea
Barnsley
Cardiff
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Barnsley
Exeter City
2
1
W
03.03.26
Lea
Barnsley
Wycombe
0
1
L
28.02.26
Lea
Barnsley
Leyton Orient
3
1
W
21.02.26
Lea
Barnsley
Huddersfield
1
2
L
17.02.26
Lea
Barnsley
Peterborough
2
1
W
14.02.26
Lea
Barnsley
AFC Wimbledon
3
3
D
07.02.26
Lea
Barnsley
Bolton
2
3
L
03.02.26
Lea
Barnsley
Northampton
2
2
D
Last matches: Stockport County
24.05.26
Lea
Stockport County
Bolton
1
4
L
13.05.26
Lea
Stockport County
Stevenage
2
0
W
09.05.26
Lea
Stockport County
Stevenage
1
0
W
28.04.26
Lea
Stockport County
Port Vale
1
2
L
25.04.26
Lea
Stockport County
Peterborough
3
1
W
21.04.26
Lea
Stockport County
Mansfield Town
0
1
L
18.04.26
Lea
Stockport County
Exeter City
3
3
D
15.04.26
Lea
Stockport County
AFC Wimbledon
2
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Stockport County
Bolton
2
2
D
03.04.26
Lea
Stockport County
Wycombe
3
0
W
28.03.26
Lea
Stockport County
AFC Wimbledon
3
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Stockport County
Luton
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Stockport County
Northampton
2
1
W
14.03.26
Lea
Stockport County
Lincoln
1
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Stockport County
Stevenage
1
2
L
24.02.26
Lea
Stockport County
Burton Albion
0
3
L
21.02.26
Lea
Stockport County
Wigan
4
2
W
17.02.26
Lea
Stockport County
Bradford
0
1
L
07.02.26
Lea
Stockport County
Leyton Orient
0
0
D
31.01.26
Lea
Stockport County
Plymouth
2
1
W
H2H: Barnsley vs Stockport County
02.05.26
H2H
Barnsley
Stockport County
1
3
L
29.11.25
H2H
Stockport County
Barnsley
1
1
D
08.02.25
H2H
Stockport County
Barnsley
2
1
L
28.09.24
H2H
Barnsley
Stockport County
1
1
D
Last matches: Barnsley
18.04.26
Lea
Barnsley
Bradford
2
2
D
06.04.26
Lea
Barnsley
Plymouth
0
3
L
21.03.26
Lea
Barnsley
Doncaster
0
1
L
17.03.26
Lea
Barnsley
Wigan
1
1
D
10.03.26
Lea
Barnsley
Cardiff
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Barnsley
Exeter City
2
1
W
03.03.26
Lea
Barnsley
Wycombe
0
1
L
17.02.26
Lea
Barnsley
Peterborough
2
1
W
14.02.26
Lea
Barnsley
AFC Wimbledon
3
3
D
03.02.26
Lea
Barnsley
Northampton
2
2
D
31.01.26
Lea
Barnsley
Stevenage
3
1
W
17.01.26
Lea
Barnsley
Blackpool
2
1
W
29.12.25
Lea
Barnsley
Lincoln
0
2
L
26.12.25
Lea
Barnsley
Mansfield Town
2
3
L
13.12.25
Lea
Barnsley
Leyton Orient
3
2
W
22.11.25
Lea
Barnsley
Luton
5
0
W
01.11.25
FA
Barnsley
York
3
2
W
25.10.25
Lea
Barnsley
Rotherham
0
1
L
27.09.25
Lea
Barnsley
Port Vale
0
2
L
13.09.25
Lea
Barnsley
Reading
3
2
W
H2H at home: Barnsley
02.05.26
H2H
Barnsley
Stockport County
1
3
L
28.09.24
H2H
Barnsley
Stockport County
1
1
D
Last matches: Stockport County
24.05.26
Lea
Stockport County
Bolton
1
4
L
09.05.26
Lea
Stockport County
Stevenage
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Stockport County
Exeter City
3
3
D
15.04.26
Lea
Stockport County
AFC Wimbledon
2
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Stockport County
Bolton
2
2
D
21.03.26
Lea
Stockport County
Luton
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lea
Stockport County
Lincoln
1
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Stockport County
Stevenage
1
2
L
24.02.26
Lea
Stockport County
Burton Albion
0
3
L
17.02.26
Lea
Stockport County
Bradford
0
1
L
27.01.26
Lea
Stockport County
Blackpool
2
1
W
24.01.26
Lea
Stockport County
Cardiff
1
1
D
04.01.26
Lea
Stockport County
Reading
0
1
L
01.01.26
Lea
Stockport County
Northampton
0
0
D
20.12.25
Lea
Stockport County
Mansfield Town
2
1
W
09.12.25
Lea
Stockport County
Doncaster
2
0
W
20.11.25
Lea
Stockport County
Peterborough
0
3
L
01.11.25
FA
Stockport County
Tranmere
3
1
W
27.10.25
Lea
Stockport County
Port Vale
3
0
W
04.10.25
Lea
Stockport County
Huddersfield
2
1
W
H2H away: Stockport County
02.05.26
H2H
Barnsley
Stockport County
1
3
W
28.09.24
H2H
Barnsley
Stockport County
1
1
D

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2 46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3 46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4 46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5 46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6 46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7 46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8 46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9 46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10 46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11 46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12 46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13 46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14 46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15 46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16 46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17 46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18 46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19 46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20 46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21 46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22 46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23 46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24 46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two